Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-3   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (7/3/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-6   Win (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (3/8/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AYY LADIES Dec04 Nov22 Nov07 Sep25 Sep07 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  MIDNIGHT FROST Oct25 Oct16 Oct09 Sep26 Aug30 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
3  METAROSE Dec11 Nov14 May06 Apr19 Mar29 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  SHES GOT THE POWER Sep02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00    
5  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Dec18 Sep27 Jun02 May05 Mar19 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
6  MERINO WOOL Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 (rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TUP-2   01/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE LOVE May05 Apr08 Mar01 Feb14 Jan28 (ortiz sr)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00    
2  SPIRE Dec17 Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 (baze robert)RADKE K 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Jan19 Oct29 Oct13 Sep16 May07 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  STEALTH MISSION Oct29 Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug17 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  FRANKS FIX IT Jan06 Oct06 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
6  TAINO Dec05 Nov26 Nov13 Nov06 Oct29 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
7  NEW EVERY MORNING Jan05 Dec17 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.60    
 
TUP-3   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLING AWAY BABY         (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00    
2  SHUDDER Dec12 Nov06 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  FACENDA         (mendez luis)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  DEKUDYLAN         (birdwell tena)RADKE K 121 3.50    
5  R BARRACUDA Jan07         (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
6  GRUMPY BAY         (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
7  MAGIC STORM Dec20 Dec04 Nov20     (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 116 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-4   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFT THE BAR Dec03 Aug21 Jul10 Jun25 Apr22 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
2  WEGOTBEERONICE Jan13 Dec16 Dec03 Nov11 Oct09 (baze robert)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00    
3  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Jan12 Dec08 Nov25 Nov04 Oct13 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
4  SO CAL MEMORY Jul08 Apr26 Jan22 Nov08 Oct25 (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 5% 17.50    
5  TALE OF TRUTH Nov14 Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  KLIMT RIDE Dec10 Dec03 Nov26 Oct08 Sep24 (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  MONGOLIAN MOON Jan13 Jan06 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 122 12.00    
8  ROUGE SUNSET Oct15 Sep04 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 117 12.00    
 
TUP-5   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIMONY Jan19 Jan12 Dec19 Nov21 Oct25 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUN FIRE Nov20 Oct20 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 10.00    
3  TIME TO ZOOM Jun23 May20 Apr01 Mar18 Feb26 (tubbs scott)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  ROCKIN MACHEN Dec10 Nov14 Oct08 Sep18 Aug08 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.50    
5  LUCKY SMILE Dec06 Nov21 Nov16 Nov08 Oct30 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIGHT ME Oct27 Sep09 Aug04 Jun16 May06 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
7  AYRTON SENNA Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 Oct02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  GOLD RUSH CANDY Jan06 Dec10 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 14.40    
9  SHARP WARNING Dec18 Oct20 Sep30 Sep20 Sep09 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACNAMARA Dec08 Oct08 Sep25 Sep17   (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
2  PHILBIN ROAD Dec13 Nov29 Nov22     (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  DIXON TUFF Sep17 Jul30 Jun04 May05 Apr11 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
4  WEALTH N HEALTH Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLLECT DIS MONEY Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Oct21 Sep10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  CARPE BELLUM Dec17 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
7  IOWA HAWKEYE Aug19 Aug05 Jun17 Jan02   (caraman m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
8  ALL THE KING'S MEN Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPIAT Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Sep16 Aug04 (matt l)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
2  TABLE FOR TWO Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug03 Jul09 (fuentes ruben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
3  TEXTHELEGEND Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Sep25 Aug27 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  SALINE RIVER Oct26 Sep27 Aug31 May06 Apr08 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  STAR PROSPECT Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 Sep02 Aug10 (ferguson curt)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
6  HEIR (FR) Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Aug18 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
7  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Jan06 Dec03 Apr17 Mar27 Feb20 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 8.00    
8  PANZER PRIDE Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Apr01 Feb19 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
2  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Sep14 Jul16 Apr02 Jan31 Jan08 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
3  SAILING ALONG Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep27 Aug20 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  LOVELY LOLA Dec13 Nov14 Oct22 Oct01 Sep04 (simpson shannon)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
5  THE REIGN SONG Dec12 Dec06 Nov29 Nov06 Oct24 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
6  ELDORADO DREAM Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 (valerio raymon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
7  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Dec05 Oct08 Sep02 Jul14 Jul01 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEQUENA TORMENTA Dec19 Aug26 Jul28 Jun17 Apr21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  VELLA Apr30 Apr07 Jan13 Dec17 Nov12 (trela rosemary)CORBETT W 122 2.50    
10  YOUR RINGER Dec15 Mar04 Aug21 Jun25 May14 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.