Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $23.40 $15.40 193%
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $68.90 $56.90 474%
ZIA-2   DD (3/7/2/4)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $26.20 $14.20 118%
ZIA-5   WIN (9/1/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $11.20 $1.20 12%
ZIA-6   WIN (2/11/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.80 $2.80 35%

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:213 :44       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISCUIT SNATCHER 4 2 21 2   22 1 (rust terri)TOHILL S 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70 W
SOLID GOLD BAR 7 1 3 33   3 2 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 16% 5.40 3.20 P
MISSISSIPPI MUSIC 8 3 11 1   12 3 (meridyth dav)VILLANUEVA C 121 8.00 17.30  
GOLDEN BAND 3 6 7 4   4 4 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 121 1.40 44% 1.30 2.40  
ON A WARPATH 2 4 4 6   56 5 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 12% 7.00 2.30  
OAKES CROSSING 1 5 85 78   6 6 (long vaughn)VALDEZ S 123 6.00 6.50  
MAJORWAYHOME 6 8 54 57   7 76 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 7.30  
ZENFULLY ZESTY 5 7 6 89   87 86 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 121 20.00 52.00  
 
ZIA-2   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:22 :443       1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREASE MISSLE 4 4 4 21   21 1 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.00 50% 1.00 0.10 W
ONLY ONE AMERICA 3 2 1nk 11   11 2 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50 5.90  
MARK IT DOWN 5 1 2nk 3   33 3 (barton )FUENTES T 120 6.00 11% 7.90 6.10 S
SIERRA BLANCA 6 3 31 43   4 4 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 18.50  
ZORINA 2 5 5 54   56 5 (m)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 15% 5.80 28.10  
X RAY VISION 1 6 6 65   67 610½ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 20.00 41.10  
SCR  ACES OVER DEUCES               (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 120 15.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER 6 1 3 2½ 1½ 1 15 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 57% 0.70 1.20 W
MIZZEN MILLIONS 3 7 4 31 2½ 2 25 (garrett j)TORRES J 123 4.50 2.40  
IT'S SAUL RIGHT 4 6 5 6 4 3 310½ (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 121 1.60 9% 10.20 2.20 S
VALDINI 5 8 79 76 612 57 412¾ (v)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 22.70  
BERNICE WHO 8 2 66 5 3 4 513¾ (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 2 5 22 4 713 613 631½ (lavanway day)VILLANUEVA C 123 50.00 82.40  
HOT LIL MESS 7 3 8 810 814 714 733½ (lavanway dayson)LOPEZ KARLO 123 8.00 31.90  
SIGRID 1 4 12 1½ 56 815 836¾ (rust terri)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 8% 11.00 18.20  
 
ZIA-4   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:214 :44       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOYA PARANOYA 5 3 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00 2.10  
ESPIONAGE 1 6 7 65   4 2 (fincher leroy)LOPEZ KARLO 123 0.80 70% 0.40 0.90 P
BYE BYE MATTY P 4 1 1½ 1½   2½ 3 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
TUCUM 2 2 52 3   3 4 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 30.50  
SUNSCREEN 8 4 4 5   5 5 (woolley benni)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00 28.60  
ERNIE BANKER 7 5 3 4   65 6 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 5.50  
PROBATE 6 8 8 810½   7 79 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 20.00 48.30  
HALF RIGHT 3 7 6 7   810½ 826¾ (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 123 10.00 17.90  
 
ZIA-5   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIM THE LIGHTS 5 1 11 1½ 1 13 14 (cappelluc)VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 19% 4.30 4.60 W
MAXIMUM BULL 1 3 21 31 3 23 24 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 1.80 23% 3.30 1.20 P
SMOKEN HOUDINI 8 9 912 98 6 4 3 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 20.00 47.70  
STORMIN TEXASON 3 4 42 2½ 2 35 413 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00 52.20  
CHARITY WATER 9 6 52 42 4 59 516½ (rojero c)ROSENDO J 118 3.00 24% 3.20 5.00  
CHARLIE DYNASTY 2 7 76 7 710 711 618¼ (q)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 11.60  
10  QUINTON'S CHARMER 10 5 6 5 57 610½ 719 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 30.00 36.30  
PAINTED SMOKE 7 8 89 8 812 816 827¾ (diaz luis)TORRES J 119 50.00 71.30  
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY 4 2 3 6 913 924 963½ (wheeler travis)CARRENO J 119 12.00 6% 16.30 16.80  
NACHO GRANDE 6 10 1022 1023 10100 10100 10100 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 8.00 6% 14.60 3.40  
 
ZIA-6   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :451       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORWEGIAN CALLUM 8 4 5 53   2½ 1 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
LT. NORM 6 3 6 65   5 2 (c)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 9.10  
11  SHUDDER 10 1 4 3   1½ 3 (barraza s)CARRENO J 120 4.50 32% 2.10 1.90 S
YO SOY ROY 4 8 8 89   64 4 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00 7.10  
TEE BREAKER 2 7 2nk 1½   41 54 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 42% 1.40 5.00  
SHUG'S ROCKET 9 2 1nk 2½   31 6 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 38.90  
BIYOMBO 1 6 7 76   7 7 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 10.00 5.90  
QUEENS HALO 5 9 9 910½   8 811¼ (long vaughn)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00 13.30  
HANDMEDOWN D'ORO 7 10 1011¼ 1012½   1010¾ 915½ (aldavaz jaim)VILLANUEVA C 120 20.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
EL HUARACHE PRIETO 3 5 31 42   9 1015¾ (chavez arturo)ROSENDO J 120 30.00 40.10  
SCR  MY GOOD GOOD BOY               (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.80    
 
ZIA-7   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:11     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENDER 4 8 9 8 7 7 1 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 2.70  
RONAMO 5 4 42 3 4 4 2 (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 9% 10.00 8.90 P
MASTERING 6 7 65 6 31 31 34 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 49% 1.00 1.60 S
SLY 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 4 (chavez ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 3.60  
10  HOLLAND 9 6 75 53 5 5 5 (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00 7% 12.40 14.90  
BAROSSA 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 611½ (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 11.00  
KEEN CAT 8 9 89 9 6 6 712 (o)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 15.80  
EFFORT N RESULTS 3 3 54 7 9 9 820¾ (marr h)TOHILL S 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.30  
CLAVICHORD 7 5 31 4 8 8 928¼ (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 10.00 27.30  
SCR  TEXAS BAD BOY               (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:221 :451       1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDING ELK CAMP 3 8 10 7   2½ 1 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 30.00 47.20  
11  WILLSHERWONTSHE 10 5 8 8   97 2 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 3.50 16% 5.30 5.40 P
TIZ FOR REAL 4 4 4 3   31 3 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 22.70  
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 7 10 7 54   43 4 (green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.40 10.10  
BINALLOVERDRINKEN 1 2 1nk 11   1½ 5 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 12.80  
GREATEST GLORY 5 11 118 109   10 64 (c)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 22% 3.60 2.90  
LOVELY LOLITA 8 6 54 6   5 75 (will)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 8.00  
12  SIERRA SUMMER 11 3 3½ 21   74 8 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 121 15.00 5.60  
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 2 1 2nk 43   64 97 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00 25.30  
ELDORADO DREAM 6 9 6 98   85 10 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 35% 1.90 3.10  
10  CREATING MEMORIES 9 7 9 1112   1110½ 1118½ (barraza rafael)CEBALLOS F 123 5.00 15.70  
SCR  SHAKE RAG               (van robe)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:22 :451       1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF SPEED 2 6 63 53   2nk 1¼ (alvarez sergi)JUAREZ J 119 4.00 3.40  
SPEED BUMP BOB 7 5 4 2   1nk 2¼ (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.50 P
10  BLUE JEAN BOURBON 9 2 3 4   42 34 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 30% 2.30 2.80 S
12  LET'S TIE ONE ON 11 1 11 1   31 4 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00 20.50  
SPEND AGAIN 3 9 86 75   5 5 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 22.60  
REIGN OVER ME 1 10 1010½ 97   65 68 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 119 12.00 6.10  
SOULONG 8 11 1115 10   8 7 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 14.80  
REBEL RYETTE 4 8 75 65   7 8 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 15.00 17.60  
RIO HATO 6 7 9 119   10 913 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 121 50.00 ######  
FULL BORE 5 4 21 32   98 1013¾ (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 123 1.80 45% 1.20 2.30  
11  PIRATE MISCHIEF 10 3 5 86   1112½ 1120 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 50.00 66.50  
SCR  BIGG LIMO               (riddle e)ROSENDO J 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:221 :45       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HEY FRIEND 10 8 7 4   21 1½ (summers nancy)VERGARA P 123 10.00 16% 5.30 1.80 W
BRASHANKNOWIT 6 4 1½ 11   11 2½ (long vaug)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 34.80  
CONDIMENT GIRL 9 10 62 21   32 3¾ (williams sean)VALDEZ S 121 1.60 24% 3.10 2.60 S
12  DELIA 12 1 5 53   53 4 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
BLUE BLAZES WHO 7 2 31 32   42 5 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00 26.50  
CATRIANNA 4 6 4 6   7 6 (bole)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00 34.60  
MARKING TIME 5 7 83 75   6 74 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 6% 14.90 17.80  
11  CAYCEE'S MARK 11 11 11 118   8 86 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 12.00 6.00  
PUT A BOW ON IT 8 3 104 9   97 9 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 18.20  
SHE HIT A HOMER 2 9 9 107   108 10 (chavez arturo)ROSENDO J 121 30.00 93.80  
BLUEBERRY EYES 1 12 12 12   1110½ 1110 (c)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 17.70  
NATION OF LAWS 3 5 2½ 86   1211½ 1211¼ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 24% 3.20 23.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.