Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (6/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/8)-(1/4)-(9/1/5/6/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(9/1/5/6/4)-(2/11/8/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (9/1/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/6/4)-(9/1/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/6/4)-(9/1/5/6/4)-(9/1/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/6/4)-(2/11/8/7)-(7/6/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (2/11/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/8/7)-(2/11/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/11/8/7)-(2/11/8/7/4)-(2/11/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (7/6/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/3)-(7/6/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/3)-(7/6/10/3)-(7/6/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (7/6/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/11/8)-(7/6/11/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/11/8)-(7/6/11/8/10)-(7/6/11/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/11/8)-(5/10/7)-(9/3/10/5/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (5/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/7)-(5/10/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/7)-(5/10/2/8/7)-(5/10/2/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/10/7)-(9/3/10/5/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (9/3/10/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/10/5/12)-(9/3/10/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/10/5/12)-(9/3/10/5/12)-(9/3/10/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKES CROSSING Nov14 Oct22 Oct04 Aug02 Jul19 (long vaughn)VALDEZ S 123 6.00    
2  ON A WARPATH Nov21 Oct18 Sep24 Sep07 Jul14 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 12% 7.00    
3  GOLDEN BAND Oct20 Sep15 Aug20 Jul08 Apr16 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 121 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  BISCUIT SNATCHER Jul31 Jun17 Apr29 Mar28 Mar07 (rust terri)TOHILL S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZENFULLY ZESTY Nov14 Oct29 Oct22 Oct15 May29 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 121 20.00    
6  MAJORWAYHOME Nov21 Oct20 Sep27 Sep09 Aug20 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
7  SOLID GOLD BAR Oct22 Oct04 Sep16 Sep07 Jul28 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
8  MISSISSIPPI MUSIC Jun24         (meridyth dav)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  X RAY VISION Nov28 Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 20.00    
2  ZORINA Sep10 Jul29       (moreno ca)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  ONLY ONE AMERICA Nov28 Nov06 Sep30 Sep10 Jul29 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50    
SCR  ACES OVER DEUCES Nov28 Sep10 Jul08 May06 Apr15 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 120 15.00    
5  GREASE MISSLE Nov28 Oct14 Sep30     (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.00 50% 1.00    
6  MARK IT DOWN Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 (barton )FUENTES T 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
7  SIERRA BLANCA Nov21 Nov06 Aug14 Jul08   (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGRID Nov13 Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 May07 (rust terri)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 8% 11.00    
2  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep27 Aug14 (lavanway day)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 50.00    
3  MIZZEN MILLIONS Sep09 Jul01 Jun18 Mar26 Feb21 (garrett j)TORRES J 123 4.50    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Nov21 Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 121 1.60 9% 10.20    
5  VALDINI Nov13 Sep02 Aug14 Jun25 Apr01 (v)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
6  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Nov13 Oct22 Oct13 Jul08 Jun17 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 57% 0.70    
7  HOT LIL MESS Dec05 Oct18 Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 (lavanway dayson)LOPEZ KARLO 123 8.00    
8  BERNICE WHO Nov20 May14 Apr29 Apr09 Mar28 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPIONAGE Nov07 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 Apr29 (fincher leroy)LOPEZ KARLO 123 0.80 70% 0.40    
2  TUCUM Nov27 Nov06 Sep16 Aug04 Jul14 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00    
3  HALF RIGHT Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 May07 Mar25 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 123 10.00    
4  BYE BYE MATTY P Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOYA PARANOYA Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 Jun17 (garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00 ★    
6  PROBATE Nov06 Oct06 May20 Apr22 Mar28 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
7  ERNIE BANKER Oct12 Sep24 Aug24 May29 Apr25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 ★    
8  SUNSCREEN Apr02 Feb12 Dec05 Oct25 Jul04 (woolley benni)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM BULL Oct08 Sep03 May21 Apr29 Mar26 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
2  CHARLIE DYNASTY Nov21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 Aug10 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00    
3  STORMIN TEXASON Nov21 Oct28 Jan18     (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00    
4  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Nov21 Nov06 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 12.00 6% 16.30    
5  DIM THE LIGHTS Nov07 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04 Jul15 (cappelluc)VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  NACHO GRANDE Jul29 Jul09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
7  PAINTED SMOKE Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Aug06 (diaz luis)TORRES J 119 50.00    
8  SMOKEN HOUDINI Nov21 Sep24 May06 Feb28 Feb19 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 20.00    
9  CHARITY WATER Dec04 Nov20 Nov07 Apr22 Mar21 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
10  QUINTON'S CHARMER Dec04 Jul02 May22 Apr30 Mar20 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIYOMBO Jul31         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 10.00    
2  TEE BREAKER Nov13         (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 42% 1.40    
3  EL HUARACHE PRIETO Nov13 Oct15 Sep24 Sep01 Jul09 (chavez arturo)ROSENDO J 120 30.00    
4  YO SOY ROY Nov06         (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00 ★    
5  QUEENS HALO Nov06         (long vaughn)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00    
6  LT. NORM Nov20 Nov06       (c)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
7  HANDMEDOWN D'ORO         (aldavaz jaim)VILLANUEVA C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NORWEGIAN CALLUM         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHUG'S ROCKET Aug20 Aug05 Jul21     (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
SCR  MY GOOD GOOD BOY Nov20 Nov06 Oct14 Sep30   (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.80    
11  SHUDDER Nov06 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 (barraza s)CARRENO J 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
ZIA-7   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLY Dec04 Nov13 Oct22 Apr23 Apr08 (chavez ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
2  BAROSSA Nov13 Oct22 Oct11 Aug06 Jul02 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 15.00    
3  EFFORT N RESULTS Dec12 Nov22 Apr23 Mar27 Feb27 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BENDER Nov28 Oct21 Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
SCR  TEXAS BAD BOY Sep16 Aug24 Jun24 Jul16 Jul08 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 10.00    
6  RONAMO Nov07 Oct04 Aug20 Jul15 Jul02 (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 9% 10.00    
7  MASTERING Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul09 May29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  CLAVICHORD Oct04 Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 May21 (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
9  KEEN CAT Nov14 Oct21 Oct08 Apr29 Apr08 (o)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
10  HOLLAND Oct04 Jul30 Jun18 May21 Apr23 (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
 
ZIA-8   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINALLOVERDRINKEN Sep10 Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 May13 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
SCR  SHAKE RAG Nov21 Aug05 Jul28 Jul08 May13 (van robe)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
3  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Nov21 Nov06 Oct06 Sep27 Sep10 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00    
4  GUARDING ELK CAMP Nov14 Oct22 Apr01 Feb19 Nov07 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 30.00    
5  TIZ FOR REAL Oct18 Sep10 Aug26 Jul28 Jun17 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
6  GREATEST GLORY Nov21 Oct20 Sep16 Aug06 Jun11 (c)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
7  ELDORADO DREAM Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Sep10 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
8  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Nov21 Sep27 Sep10 Aug05 May13 (green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.40    
9  LOVELY LOLITA Oct12 Jul19 Jun14 May15 Apr26 (will)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
10  CREATING MEMORIES Oct14 Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 (barraza rafael)CEBALLOS F 123 5.00 ★    
11  WILLSHERWONTSHE Oct14 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 Apr22 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
12  SIERRA SUMMER Nov14 Oct22 Oct07 Sep11 Aug25 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OVER ME Nov14 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 119 12.00    
2  REIGN OF SPEED Oct28 Oct07 Aug04 Jul21 Jun17 (alvarez sergi)JUAREZ J 119 4.00 ★    
3  SPEND AGAIN Oct06 Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun29 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
4  REBEL RYETTE Dec04 May07 Apr15 Mar28 Feb28 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 15.00    
5  FULL BORE Oct28 Oct01 Sep15 Sep03 Sep30 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  RIO HATO Dec04 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Jul30 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 121 50.00    
7  SPEED BUMP BOB Nov07 Sep24 Aug18 Jul09 Jun16 (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOULONG Nov14 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Aug06 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  BIGG LIMO Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 Aug18 Jul14 (riddle e)ROSENDO J 121 30.00    
10  BLUE JEAN BOURBON Dec04 Nov07 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 30% 2.30    
11  PIRATE MISCHIEF Dec05 Oct28 Oct13 Sep16 May06 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 50.00    
12  LET'S TIE ONE ON Nov21 Oct06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb10 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBERRY EYES Nov14 Sep14 Jun25 Apr30 Mar05 (c)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
2  SHE HIT A HOMER Nov06 Oct18 Oct01 Sep02 Jul08 (chavez arturo)ROSENDO J 121 30.00    
3  NATION OF LAWS Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 Aug05 May20 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  CATRIANNA Nov14 Oct13 Sep02     (bole)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
5  MARKING TIME Mar07 Feb05 Jan01 Dec20 Dec01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 6% 14.90    
6  BRASHANKNOWIT Nov06 Oct13       (long vaug)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
7  BLUE BLAZES WHO Nov06 Sep14 Mar21 Mar07 Feb05 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00    
8  PUT A BOW ON IT Nov13 Jun25 May04 Apr16 Mar24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00    
9  CONDIMENT GIRL Nov25 Oct19 Sep15 Aug27 Jul13 (williams sean)VALDEZ S 121 1.60 24% 3.10    
10  HEY FRIEND Nov21 Oct15 Mar21 Feb28 Jan24 (summers nancy)VERGARA P 123 10.00 16% 5.30    
11  CAYCEE'S MARK Nov27 Nov06 Sep23 Mar21 Mar07 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
12  DELIA Nov27 Nov07 Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.