Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.40 $2.40 30%
ZIA-2   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $17.00 $9.00 113%
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-1 $32.70 $16.70 104%
ZIA-5   WIN (12/4/10/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $17.60 $7.60 76%
ZIA-6   WIN (8/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.20 $1.20 15%
ZIA-8   WIN (9/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $38.60 $30.60 383%
    EXA (9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-9 $59.60 $47.60 397%
ZIA-10   WIN (2/3/7/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    EXA (2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-4 $104.60 $84.60 423%
    TRI (2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-4-3 $309.30 $279.30 931%

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   11/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:22 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLY D'ORO 4 1 1½ 11   1 14 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 22% 3.60 4.20 W
FLOWER POWER 5 2 2½ 21   32 24 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 10.70  
WAY RITE 6 7 4 42   2 3 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 121 3.50 34% 1.90 3.00 S
NO REGRETS N LOVE 7 8 74 75   5 47 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00 19% 4.40 1.30  
SHELL GAME 8 5 52 32   44 5 (smith a)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00 14.40  
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS 1 4 3 53   6 611¼ (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 21.00  
BOBBI BABY RUN 2 6 6 6   76 712¾ (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
DOUBLE STORM 3 3 8 8   88 818¼ (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 66.60  
 
ZIA-2   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:214 :444       1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATRIANNA 1 3 11 1   12 1 (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.00 22% 3.50 7.50 W
  (by TOURIST out of MYKINDACAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
BRAND LOYALTY 5 1 4 5   4 2 (fincher w)VERGARA P 121 6.00 1.80  
  (by GRAZEN out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
MACHO QUEEN 2 2 21 2   22 3 (chadborn k)JAIME R 123 4.50 8% 11.30 5.20 S
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of DISCREET CHAT by DISCREET CAT)
DOC J M 4 6 6 64   65 4 (smith a)VILLANUEVA C 121 12.00 15.20  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL 7 5 5 43   54 56 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 22% 3.60 2.00  
  (by GALLANT SON out of QUICK GLORY by SWISS YODELER)
BITCOIN BURGLAR 3 4 3 32   33 67 (zimmerman jon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 17% 4.90 4.50  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of QUICK WAMPUM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SNOOZY SUZY 6 8 8 76   78 710¼ (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 30.00 58.70  
  (by CONGRATS out of SUMMER CAMP by FLAG DOWN)
BURNINGDAYLIGHT 8 7 7 8   814 824½ (archuleta)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 34.10  
  (by STANFORD out of FOXY JADE by ATTICUS)
SCR  DADS DIVA               (alvarez serg)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WINDS OF MARCH by MASS MARKET)
 
ZIA-3   11/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:121 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN KINGDOM 7 5 3 3 2½ 15 113¼ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.50 2.00  
GREENBRIER 5 2 6 7 4 3 213¼ (hone bart)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 32% 2.20 5.10 P
SOULONG 4 7 8 87 66 5 313½ (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 25.80  
REIGN OVER ME 9 6 1nk 1½ 1½ 25 417½ (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 20.00 6.60  
LOOPY DUDE 1 1 4 4 54 67 518¼ (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
LITTLE RED RIFLE 8 3 2nk 2½ 32 46 620 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 7% 13.70 5.70  
START THEM UP 2 9 913¼ 915 99 811 725½ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 35% 1.90 5.50  
TIGER HUNTER 3 8 7 65 8 710½ 826¾ (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 8.90  
BIGG LIMO 6 4 5 54 77 912½ 934½ (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00 15.50  
 
ZIA-4   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:114 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HA HA FOR YOU 7 2 1½ 1nk 11 1 1 (summers nancy)VALDEZ S 119 4.00 18% 4.50 0.70 W
READS PET ZENON 2 5 32 4 4 2 2 (barton )FUENTES T 121 8.00 15% 5.50 4.70 P
M T S RUNNER 4 7 7 7 65 5 3 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 8.00 10.40  
WESTERBERG 8 1 2½ 2nk 21 32 4 (alvarez serg)JORDAN R 119 15.00 11.20  
PANZER PRIDE 5 6 4 3.2 31 43 5 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 1.80 4.80  
GRIFTER 1 4 6 5 54 6 610¾ (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 13.90  
CHARLIE'S MAN 6 3 5 6 78 711½ 721¾ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
LEGALLY REDDY 3 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
ZIA-5   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
1:163         1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY ECHO 6 3 11 11   1 12 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
AIR JOCK 3 4 42 21   32 22 (mcfarlane)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 3.00  
ESPE'S GUY 8 2 3 31   2 3 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 20.00 7.50  
JON L 1 11 1112 9   6 4 (pierce thom)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 12.80  
AQUIMINE 4 8 5 53   43 5 (ashford tris)JORDAN R 121 6.00 15% 5.70 1.70  
GO LAKER GO 2 10 106 64   5 6 (barraza rafael )ROSENDO J 123 8.00 7.70  
10  WATFORD 10 7 8 8   7 711 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 12.00 6% 16.90 8.80  
ABETEMARCO 5 5 64 75   8 814½ (garcia c)JAIME R 121 20.00 73.60  
PINEY BLUFF 9 6 9 11   9 915¾ (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 30.50  
M G M'S LUCKY 7 1 21 4   1010½ 1020¾ (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 30.00 36.10  
11  TALE OF TRUTH 11 9 7 10   1114½ 1124¼ (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
SCR  CREATIVE BID               (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 51% 0.90    
 
ZIA-6   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:231 :451 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5 6 5 31   1nk 1¾ (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 25% 3.00 3.60 W
BLUEBERRY EYES 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¾ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 8.00 4.50  
BRAVE CINDERELLA 2 4 1nk 4   4 3 (gonzalez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00 5.60  
ROCKIN MARIE 8 1 3.2 1nk   31 4 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 123 5.00 5% 19.00 1.70  
METAROSE 4 2 6 53   55 511 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 15% 5.70 17.50  
SIERRA SUMMER 6 5 4 6   6 611½ (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 7.90  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 1 7 7 75   7 711½ (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 48.60  
GYPSY WIFE 7 8 8 8   8 812½ (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 35% 1.90 5.90  
SCR  WILLSHERWONTSHE               (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 8.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:22 :444       1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TEE ROY 11 2 2nk 2nk   11 13 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.00 0.80  
MONARCHOS DREAM 6 1 1nk 1nk   21 23 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 14.00  
ARBITRO 4 5 31 32   33 37 (olguin ev)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.70 S
SHAME ON ZCUINTLE 5 8 6 55   5 411¾ (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00 15.60  
EL JOKER 7 6 4 43   46 512 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 123 4.00 44% 1.30 4.00  
EMPERIAL EAGLES 1 4 5 66   69 612¼ (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 20% 4.10 6.00  
10  CHISPISKI'S EMPIRE 9 7 7 7   710½ 714¾ (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 15.70  
HUNDREDOLLAROIL 8 10 11 8   812½ 820½ (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 40.10  
11  PIP PIP 10 3 8 910   913½ 921 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 10.20  
ITSNOWTROUBLEATALL 3 9 9 1010½   1115 1025¼ (durbin kenne)VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00 79.30  
EAR SHOT 2 11 10 1111   1014½ 1131½ (young a)TORRES J 123 20.00 13% 6.80 63.60  
SCR  SEA OF INDY               (megariz micha)JUAREZ J 123 12.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA TO SUCCESS 3 3 32 3   2½ 1¼ (martinez )VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 18.30 18.30 W
CREME DE LA CHROME 7 2 2½ 2½   1½ 2¼ (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 37% 1.70 0.80 P
CANNONBALL COMIN 5 1 1½ 1½   3 34 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 7.00  
KEEN CAT 1 7 77 75   5 4 (o)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 17.90  
BEDROCK (GB) 4 6 4 5   43 5 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00 25.10  
PUNCH EM 2 5 53 43   64 6 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 4.00  
COLONEL KLINK 6 4 63 6   76 713½ (ashford tris)JORDAN R 123 4.50 3.30  
SCR  ERNIE BANKER               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE               (gomez alfred)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:214 :451       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MS. POUNDS 9 2 2nk 2½   11 1 (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 8.00 10.90  
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of LILLY DALE WHO by QUINTON'S GOLD)
BACK SEAT CHANCE 6 3 1nk 1½   21 2 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 120 15.00 16.50  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of BACK SEAT KISS by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
RUN AWAY BAY 1 9 8 6   3 3 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00 7.20  
  (by SWAY AWAY out of CORLEONE by BALLISTIC BILLY)
LA JOYA 5 4 6 77   7 4 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 8.30  
  (by HARRIS out of KILLARNEY ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
MARK THE DATE 3 7 9 910   8 5 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.90 0.70  
  (by MARKING out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
12  CHASENUINMYDREAMS 10 1 4¾ 55   6 6 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00 11.60  
  (by PUNCTUATE out of CHASENTHISDREAM by TALE OF THE CAT)
DREAM MONEY 2 5 3½ 3   43 79 (gonzales joel)PURCELL KELSI 120 12.00 5% 19.00 48.20  
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CAVETTO by OASIS DREAM)
MARKED BY MISCHIEF 4 6 5 44   5 8 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 5.00 6.30  
  (by MARKING out of LADY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
HUSTLING 8 8 7 88   911¾ 920½ (mcqueen)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00 44.70  
  (by ABSTRACTION out of KNOXVILLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
MYSTIC GOLD 7 10 10 1010½   1012¾ 1022¼ (olguin ever)CARRENO J 120 30.00 38.90  
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of BLACKJACK SUE by BOB BLACK JACK)
SCR  ISABEL LOVE               (vaughn lonnie)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
  (by HOLMES out of HEAVENLY MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  TRUST ANABELLE               (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of ANNIE P. by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
 
ZIA-10   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:224 :45 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SOLO 2 11 11 10   7 1 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.50 29% 2.40 4.60 W
BLACK EYED BANDIT 4 7 7 7   5 2 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90 P
TSUNAMI GOLD 3 6 52 6   3 3 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 24% 3.10 8.30 S
BESITOS CRIMINALES 6 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 4 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 15.00 12.00  
HESA PROSPECTOR 7 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 53 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 10.00 19% 4.40 4.30  
12  OAKES CROSSING 12 5 6 52   6 6 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 123 20.00 14.60  
DECK HUMOR 9 4 42 4   43 7 (l)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 17.10  
RIG RIDER 1 9 9 9   10 86 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00 3.90  
GATLING GOLD 8 12 12 11   11 9 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 20.00 53.60  
TRUST MANDO 5 10 8 8   8 108 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 8.20  
10  HIT BTWEEN THE ICE 10 1 31 31   9 11 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
11  ZENFULLY ZESTY 11 8 10 1210¾   12 1213½ (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 30.00 68.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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