Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2)-(2/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (2/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/1)-(3/7/2/6)-(4/10/6/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(4/10/6/11)-(8/5/4/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (4/10/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/11)-(4/10/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/11)-(4/10/6/11)-(4/10/6/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6/11)-(8/5/4/9)-(8/1/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (8/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/9)-(8/5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/9)-(8/5/4/9)-(8/5/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (8/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/12/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/12/5)-(8/1/2/12/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (9/4)-(3/2)-(2/3/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/3/7/10/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (2/3/7/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4)-(2/3/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Oct20 Oct01 Aug20 Jul29 May21 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00    
BOBBI BABY RUN Oct06         (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE STORM Oct20 Oct01 May21 May22 Mar13 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
SHELLY D'ORO Oct06 Apr02 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
FLOWER POWER Oct18 Oct06 Sep15 Jul29 Jun24 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00    
WAY RITE Oct18 Oct06 Jul08 May13 Apr15 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
NO REGRETS N LOVE Aug04 Jul14 Mar21 Jan17 Dec06 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00 19% 4.40    
SHELL GAME Oct11 Sep15 Jun24 Jun02 Feb05 (smith a)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-2   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATRIANNA Oct13 Sep02       (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TOURIST out of MYKINDACAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
MACHO QUEEN Oct13 Sep02 May21 Mar28 Mar07 (chadborn k)JAIME R 123 4.50 8% 11.30    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of DISCREET CHAT by DISCREET CAT)
BITCOIN BURGLAR Sep19         (zimmerman jon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of QUICK WAMPUM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  DADS DIVA Oct13         (alvarez serg)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WINDS OF MARCH by MASS MARKET)
DOC J M         (smith a)VILLANUEVA C 121 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
BRAND LOYALTY         (fincher w)VERGARA P 121 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
SNOOZY SUZY Oct20 Sep30 Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of SUMMER CAMP by FLAG DOWN)
LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL Oct13 Sep03 Jul23 Mar28   (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GALLANT SON out of QUICK GLORY by SWISS YODELER)
BURNINGDAYLIGHT Oct20 Oct08 Sep14 Sep02 Nov30 (archuleta)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00    
  (by STANFORD out of FOXY JADE by ATTICUS)
 
ZIA-3   11/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY DUDE Oct28 Oct11 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
START THEM UP Oct22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
TIGER HUNTER Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 Jul26 Jul08 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00    
SOULONG Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Aug06 Jul30 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
GREENBRIER Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Dec01 Nov01 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
BIGG LIMO Sep24 Aug18 Jul14 Jun03 Apr02 (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00    
MONGOLIAN KINGDOM Sep24 Sep16 Aug19 Jul27 Oct07 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.50    
LITTLE RED RIFLE Oct22 Sep03 Aug27 Aug10 Jul20 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 7% 13.70    
REIGN OVER ME Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 20.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIFTER Oct28 Sep24 Jul08 Jun24 May21 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00    
READS PET ZENON Aug18 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 Oct11 (barton )FUENTES T 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
LEGALLY REDDY Oct29 Oct01 Aug18 Jul29 May05 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
M T S RUNNER Oct29 Oct01 Sep14 May14 Mar19 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 8.00    
PANZER PRIDE Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 1.80    
CHARLIE'S MAN Sep15 Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 May21 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
HA HA FOR YOU Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 May06 Apr15 (summers nancy)VALDEZ S 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
WESTERBERG Oct13 Aug12 Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 (alvarez serg)JORDAN R 119 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JON L Oct21 Sep17 Sep03 May13 Apr29 (pierce thom)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
GO LAKER GO Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 Aug21 Jul17 (barraza rafael )ROSENDO J 123 8.00    
AIR JOCK Sep16 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jul02 (mcfarlane)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00    
AQUIMINE Oct21 Sep30 Apr04 Mar21 Feb17 (ashford tris)JORDAN R 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
ABETEMARCO Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Jun11 May20 (garcia c)JAIME R 121 20.00    
THIRSTY ECHO Oct21 Oct13 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 (archuleta adam)VALDEZ S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
M G M'S LUCKY Oct27 May06 Apr02 Mar21 Feb07 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 30.00    
ESPE'S GUY Sep24 Sep09 Jul22 Jul03 Jun25 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 20.00    
PINEY BLUFF Oct29 Oct06 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
10  WATFORD Oct27 Sep17 Sep09 Jul23 May13 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 12.00 6% 16.90    
11  TALE OF TRUTH Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 Aug24 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CREATIVE BID Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 Oct05 Aug28 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 51% 0.90    
 
ZIA-6   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDING ELK CAMP Oct22 Apr01 Feb19 Nov07 Oct11 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
BRAVE CINDERELLA Oct07 Sep03 Jul16 Mar26 Mar05 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 121 10.00    
BLUEBERRY EYES Sep14 Jun25 Apr30 Mar05 Dec06 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 8.00    
METAROSE May06 Apr19 Mar29 Mar04 Feb20 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 15% 5.70    
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Oct11 Aug24 Jul29 Jun03 May06 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
SIERRA SUMMER Oct22 Oct07 Sep11 Aug25 Jul24 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00    
SCR  WILLSHERWONTSHE Oct14 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 Apr22 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 8.00    
GYPSY WIFE Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 Jul09 Jun14 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
ROCKIN MARIE Oct11 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPERIAL EAGLES Sep13 Sep03 Jul15 May14 Apr16 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
EAR SHOT         (young a)TORRES J 123 20.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SEA OF INDY Oct01 Aug04 Jul29 Jun16 Jun03 (megariz micha)JUAREZ J 123 12.00    
ITSNOWTROUBLEATALL Jun17 Mar26       (durbin kenne)VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00    
ARBITRO Oct28 Oct01 Sep13 May14 Aug24 (olguin ev)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHAME ON ZCUINTLE Sep14 Jul15 Jun16 May21 Apr22 (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00    
MONARCHOS DREAM Sep02 Jul15 Jun04 Oct24 Sep24 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 8.00    
EL JOKER Sep13 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep17 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
HUNDREDOLLAROIL Aug19 Jun17 May29     (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
10  CHISPISKI'S EMPIRE Jul15         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
11  PIP PIP Oct14 May06 Apr22 Mar26   (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00    
12  TEE ROY Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 Jun04 Apr16 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN CAT Oct21 Oct08 Apr29 Apr08 Mar12 (o)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE Aug18 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 Apr26 (gomez alfred)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
PUNCH EM Oct06 Aug25 Jun17 May27 Mar27 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
SEA TO SUCCESS Oct21 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jun25 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 18.30    
BEDROCK (GB) Oct21 Oct08 Aug12 Jun19 Jun03 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00    
SCR  ERNIE BANKER Oct12 Sep24 Aug24 May29 Apr25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
CANNONBALL COMIN Oct21 Oct04 Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00    
COLONEL KLINK Oct14 Jul22 Jul09 Jul03 Jun19 (ashford tris)JORDAN R 123 4.50    
CREME DE LA CHROME Oct08 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 May06 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
ZIA-9   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN AWAY BAY         (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of CORLEONE by BALLISTIC BILLY)
DREAM MONEY         (gonzales joel)PURCELL KELSI 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CAVETTO by OASIS DREAM)
MARK THE DATE Jun25 Jun09       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MARKING out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
MARKED BY MISCHIEF Oct08         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of LADY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
LA JOYA Oct08         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
  (by HARRIS out of KILLARNEY ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
BACK SEAT CHANCE         (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 120 15.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of BACK SEAT KISS by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
MYSTIC GOLD         (olguin ever)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of BLACKJACK SUE by BOB BLACK JACK)
SCR  ISABEL LOVE Oct08 Sep08       (vaughn lonnie)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
  (by HOLMES out of HEAVENLY MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
HUSTLING         (mcqueen)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of KNOXVILLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  TRUST ANABELLE Oct08         (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of ANNIE P. by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
11  MS. POUNDS         (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 8.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of LILLY DALE WHO by QUINTON'S GOLD)
12  CHASENUINMYDREAMS         (summers n)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of CHASENTHISDREAM by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
ZIA-10   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIG RIDER Oct22 Sep15 Aug26 May29 Mar07 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
AMERICAN SOLO Oct08 Sep09 Jul14 Apr02 Mar07 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
TSUNAMI GOLD Oct21 Sep27 Sep14 Jun16 May20 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
BLACK EYED BANDIT Oct20 Sep08 Aug25 Jun18 May13 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
TRUST MANDO Oct22 Sep08 Jul14 May14 Apr15 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
BESITOS CRIMINALES Oct25 Oct11 Sep15 Aug26 Jul23 (rojero c)LOPEZ KARLO 123 15.00    
HESA PROSPECTOR Jun18 May29 May14 Apr09 Jan22 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 10.00 19% 4.40    
GATLING GOLD Oct22 Sep27 Sep09 Jul14 Jun24 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 20.00    
DECK HUMOR Oct20 Sep15 Sep01 Aug26 Jul29 (l)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
10  HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Oct22 Sep27 Sep01 Apr29 Jan17 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ZENFULLY ZESTY Oct29 Oct22 Oct15 May29 May20 (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 30.00    
12  OAKES CROSSING Oct22 Oct04 Aug02 Jul19 May28 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.