Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
START THEM UP 4 6 5 41   2nk 11 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 1.80 51% 1.00 0.50 W
SEVENTH HOUSE 5 4 3.2 1½   1nk 21 (essex charles)RADKE K 121 3.50 8% 11.60 4.80 P
FED GRANT 2 2 4¼ 2½   31 32 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 7.00  
EXIT STAGE LEFT 1 5 2nk 3½   42 4 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
CASH'S CAT 3 3 1nk 5   55 511¼ (silva-martin)OROZCO E 121 6.00 14.50  
ALEX'S DREAM 7 1 7 7   78 612½ (toye joe)ORTIZ A 125 15.00 91.80  
CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU 6 7 6 6   67 715¼ (bean a)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 7.90  
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY               (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
EMD-2   09/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:12 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO THEM DOWN 6 8 6 3 31 11 1 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 36% 1.80 0.20 W
SILENT DECLARATION 2 4 1½ 1 11 21 2 (soranno jill)RADKE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00 27.40 P
SARGENT KLINE 1 5 4 5 44 4 3 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 7.20  
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 8 1 2½ 2 21 3 46 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 27% 2.70 14.60  
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 7 2 5 43 6 5 5 (bean a)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
WARRIORS HERO 4 7 7 65 55 65 6 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 6.00 20.80  
THIRSTY KISS 5 3 31 7 7 7 7 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 10.00 27.90  
LOOSE BALL 3 6 8 8 8 8 810 (cornier edwin )DEONAUTH P 123 20.00 26.60  
 
EMD-3   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTHUR SPOONER 1 5 6 43   4¼ 1¼ (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 1.80  
CROOKED FINGER RAY 2 6 2nk 3   3.2 2¼ (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 13% 6.60 2.20 P
DECIMATE 5 3 1nk 1½   2nk 3 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 123 12.00 22.40  
KHAIKY'S COMMAND 4 1 31 2½   1nk 4 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 123 3.00 56% 0.80 3.40  
MISO FAST 8 4 42 6   5 5 (rosales jorge)RADKE K 123 6.00 7.60  
OUR EMPIRE 3 2 5 53   62 64 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 7 8 7 7   74 75 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 123 4.00 12.80  
SECRET LIFE STYLE 6 7 8 8   86 812 (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 43.00  
 
EMD-4   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGRIGENTO 7 4 1½ 11   12 1¼ (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 123 4.50 2.10  
CONTEJAS 2 1 2½ 21   22 2¼ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 2.50 5% 19.00 2.10 P
TIME 'N TIME AGAIN 3 5 5 45   45 3 (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 12.00 8.20  
NORTHERN BLEND 1 7 711½ 79   58 4 (dronen sam)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 17.80  
PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY 5 2 4 67   6 58 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 3.80  
DIRT ROAD DOLLARS 6 3 3 33   34 6 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
SENOR FABULOSO 4 6 6 5   710½ 713¾ (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00 10.20  
SCR  ICE NEEDS WHISKEY               (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 69% 0.50    
SCR  TAP THE BANK               (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 30.00    
 
EMD-5   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOAT ROCKS 4 2 11 12   12 1 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 2.50 19% 4.20 2.30 W
STARRY BEACH 5 3 21 22   22 2 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 13.20  
NANA'S ANGELS 1 6 32 32   3 3 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 35% 1.90 1.40 S
DRAGON WORKS 6 1 53 4   44 4 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 6.90  
SHE HAD A SECRET 2 7 75 5   56 514 (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 125 10.00 27.90  
GLIMPSE OF GOLD 7 4 8 88   68 618 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 121 20.00 43.60  
METEOR SHOWER 3 8 43 6   7 721 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 13% 6.90 19.90  
ROPERS N WRANGLERS 8 5 6 7   810 822 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 4.00 13% 6.50 4.20  
 
EMD-6   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
See original race card.
:22 :442 :561     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIE AND DENY 1 3 3 3   3 1¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 3.80  
PROVOST 8 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (evans justin)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 44% 1.30 4.90 P
ALLEVA 6 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 3½ (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 9% 9.80 2.90 S
FORTY SMOOCHES 4 9 64 4   4 4 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 12.00 15.20  
OLYMPIC LEGEND 5 8 9 7   78 5 (raudales jose)CRUZ M 123 4.50 11.00  
TRIBAL IMPACT 3 5 53 65   6 6 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 15.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
THE CALABRESE KID 7 6 8 8   8 7 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.00 9% 9.70 3.00  
MR. FIREBALL 2 4 42 54   5 8 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 125 5.00 6% 16.30 10.00  
10  STAND TO 9 7 74 9   9 918¾ (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00 16.90  
SCR  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ)               (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 15.00    
 
EMD-7   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-11:03
See original race card.
:22 :442 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL JAZZ 2 2 11 11   1 1 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00 10.40  
EXECUTIVE CHEF 4 4 5 21   2 2 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 2.20  
A MAN'S MAN 1 5 3 4   3 3 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 2.50 8% 11.10 1.20 S
DIRT ROAD RED 6 1 21 31   42 4 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 64% 0.60 4.20  
OVERLY FAST 3 3 4 6   57 59 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 8.20  
SMOKEN SHADOW 5 6 64 5   69 617¼ (peery debbie)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 17.30  
SCR  LUCKY LAD               (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
SCR  PESO               (boyd preston)RADKE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-8   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN SHARON 1 2 2nk 11   1 1 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 9% 9.70 1.90 W
DONTFORGETHESUGAR 4 6 55 46   45 2 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00 17.70  
MISCHIEF MAMA 3 3 3 33   33 3 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00 4.20  
PRESKITT 2 1 1nk 21   2 4 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70 1.30  
JACANA 5 5 6 68   58 5 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 12.00 16.20  
MOSCOW LADY 6 4 42 57   611 621¼ (morris l)ZUNINO L 125 6.00 7.70  
SCR  CONFIDENCE BUILDER               (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  V BUCKS               (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.