Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/8/7/2)-(4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(4/2/3)-(2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/7)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/9)-(2/7/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(1/4/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(1/4/8/3)-(8/7/6/2/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/3)-(8/7/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/3)-(8/7/6/2/3)-(8/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
EMD-6   WIN (8/7/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2/3)-(8/7/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2/3)-(8/7/6/2/3)-(8/7/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/6/2/3)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/2/3)-(8/2)-(4/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/2)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXIT STAGE LEFT Aug19 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FED GRANT Aug20 Aug05       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
3  CASH'S CAT Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 May28 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY Jul28 Jul09 Jun23     (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 18% 4.60    
5  START THEM UP Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun18 May29 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 1.80 51% 1.00    
6  SEVENTH HOUSE Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 Sep18 (essex charles)RADKE K 121 3.50 8% 11.60    
7  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Aug11 Jul30 Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 (bean a)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
8  ALEX'S DREAM Aug19 Jun11 Jun04 May20 Apr05 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 15.00    
 
EMD-2   09/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT KLINE Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00    
2  SILENT DECLARATION Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 (soranno jill)RADKE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOOSE BALL Aug19 Jul16 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 (cornier edwin )DEONAUTH P 123 20.00    
4  WARRIORS HERO Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 6.00    
5  THIRSTY KISS Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jul03 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 10.00    
6  MO THEM DOWN Aug11 Jul23 Jun10 Nov27 Oct16 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Aug19 Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (bean a)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
8  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-3   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR SPOONER Aug27 Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 ★    
2  CROOKED FINGER RAY Aug25 Aug11 Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 13% 6.60    
3  OUR EMPIRE Aug27 Jul15 Jun18 May29 May14 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Aug18 Jan26 Dec15 Nov28 Oct22 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  DECIMATE Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
6  SECRET LIFE STYLE Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 Feb28 Nov01 (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
7  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 123 4.00    
8  MISO FAST Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul14 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 123 6.00    
 
EMD-4   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN BLEND Aug27 Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 (dronen sam)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
2  CONTEJAS Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
3  TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Aug11 Jul14 Jun03 May15   (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 12.00    
4  SENOR FABULOSO Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 20.00    
5  PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY Aug25 May20 Apr29 Sep05 Aug11 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00    
SCR  TAP THE BANK Aug11 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May29 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 30.00    
7  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 Dec22 Nov14 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ICE NEEDS WHISKEY Aug13 Jul21 Jul02 May13 Jun04 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 69% 0.50    
9  AGRIGENTO Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 (raudales jose)ANAYA V 123 4.50 ★    
 
EMD-5   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA'S ANGELS Aug20 Jul29 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  SHE HAD A SECRET Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 May21 Apr29 (roberson don)NEGRON LUIS 125 10.00    
3  METEOR SHOWER Jun03 May20       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  GOAT ROCKS Aug20 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  STARRY BEACH Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 May14 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00    
6  DRAGON WORKS Aug19 Jul30 Jul03     (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
7  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Aug12 Feb01 Jan10     (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
8  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 Sep05 Jul17 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
EMD-6   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIE AND DENY Aug13 Jul09 Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00    
2  MR. FIREBALL Aug20 Jul30 Feb15 Feb03 Jan07 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 125 5.00 6% 16.30    
3  TRIBAL IMPACT Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 May20 May13 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORTY SMOOCHES Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun09 May20 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
5  OLYMPIC LEGEND Aug27 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (raudales jose)ANAYA V 123 4.50    
6  ALLEVA Aug11 Jun11 May29 Apr26 Apr11 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 9% 9.80    
7  THE CALABRESE KID Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 Jul03 Jun23 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.00 9% 9.70    
8  PROVOST Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (evans justin)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jul28 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May20 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 15.00    
10  STAND TO Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00    
 
EMD-7   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-11:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PESO Aug11 Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 (boyd preston)RADKE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  A MAN'S MAN Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 Dec10 Nov05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 2.50 8% 11.10    
3  COASTAL JAZZ Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY LAD Jul23 Jul02 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 6.00 ★    
5  OVERLY FAST Aug18 Sep02 Jul30 Jul24 Jul03 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 8.00    
6  EXECUTIVE CHEF Aug18 Jul15 Jul08 May28 May12 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00    
7  SMOKEN SHADOW Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jan07 Dec14 (peery debbie)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00    
8  DIRT ROAD RED Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 64% 0.60    
 
EMD-8   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SHARON Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May27 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  V BUCKS Aug27 Aug20 Mar14 Feb16 Jan12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  PRESKITT Aug11 Jul29 Jul07 May27 Mar31 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 Jul07 Jun11 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00    
6  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00    
7  JACANA Aug25 Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 125 12.00    
8  MOSCOW LADY Aug25 Aug11 Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 (morris l)ZUNINO L 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.