Handicappers' Race Results
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Tillamook County Fair
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TIL-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
TIL-4   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
TIL-6   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.80  
TIL-8   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-2   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:013         1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED 1 1 1nk 1½   13½ 15½ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 124 4.00 13% 6.80 3.70 W
2  CONTINUE ON VICTOR 2 5 59 55½   34 25½ (lawrence heath)WEBB B 126 3.00 5.80  
4  MR MEMPHIS 4 3 2nk 2½   23½ 37¼ (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 1.90  
5  ARCTIC FIRE 5 4 31 33   45 47¾ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.10  
3  CABALLERANGO 3 2 43 44   57 510¼ (craig r)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.50 5% 17.30 7.10  
 
TIL-4   08/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:59         1:59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRUE FRIEND 3 2 11 14 15 16 17¾ (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60 W
5  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT 4 3 32½ 34 25 26 27¾ (hof d)JENSEN P 126 3.00 5.80  
2  VISION OF THE KAT 2 4 47½ 410 410 316 325¼ (craig r)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00 4.90  
1  HERE'S THE THING 1 1 21 24 38 418 430¾ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 25% 3.00 0.70  
SCR  SHERRYS BABY               (sanguino juan)GARCIA G 126 5.00    
 
TIL-6   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Hooker Jenck Memorial Purse ($7.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONFIDENCE BUILDER 5 3 22½ 2½   13 13 (potts as)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 2.40  
2  RED NOON RISING 2 5 49 44½   23 23 (harshman loega)SMITH E 126 1.60 66% 0.50 1.40 P
1  BABY CHOCOLATE 1 1 12½ 1½   33½ 310½ (boyle mary)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 13% 6.60 2.50 S
4  MISS AGGIE BLING 4 2 33 31½   43½ 411 (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
3  POSEIDON'S MAGIC 3 4 59 56½   57 513½ (dennis clift)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00 9.90  
 
TIL-8   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIR LAUGHALOT 4 2 11½ 11½   15 18¼ (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 13% 6.70 1.20 W
1  TIZ INDY 1 3 21½ 21½   25 28¼ (rhodes a)SMITH E 126 1.40 40% 1.50 1.50 P
6  HARROVIAN 6 6 55 55   46 38½ (raley scott)LOPEZ E 126 6.00 12% 7.30 4.20 S
5  ZOE'S PAPA CEE 5 5 43 43½   36 48¾ (bumgardner j)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 10.80  
2  FORT YORK 2 4 66 67   66¾ 58¾ (abraham tim)JENSEN P 126 8.00 14.60  
3  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE 3 1 32 32½   56½ 69 (rodriguez sau)GUERRERO C 126 4.00 8.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.