Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TIL-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
TIL-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TIL-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-2   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED Jul13 Jun18 Jun11 May28 Apr29 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  CONTINUE ON VICTOR Jul13 Jul03 Jun18 May21 Sep10 (lawrence heath)WEBB B 126 3.00    
3  CABALLERANGO Jul12 Jun25 Jun09 Aug10 Jul29 (craig james )CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.50 5% 17.30    
4  MR MEMPHIS Jul13 Jul02 Jun18 Aug28 Aug20 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 3.50    
5  ARCTIC FIRE Jun17 Jun10 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TIL-4   08/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S THE THING Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 Sep05 Sep03 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  VISION OF THE KAT Jul04 Jun24 Jun09 Aug10 Jul24 (craig james )CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00    
3  TRUE FRIEND Jun25 Jan11       (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  SHERRYS BABY Jun25 Jun10 Dec07 Dec01 Nov18 (sanguino jua)GARCIA G 126 5.00    
5  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Jun25 Jun18 Jul15 Jun28 Jun21 (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 3.00    
 
TIL-6   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Hooker Jenck Memorial Purse ($7.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY CHOCOLATE Jul12 Jul01 Jun21     (boyle mary)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 13% 6.60    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CHOCOLATE STARR by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
2  RED NOON RISING Mar19 Mar04 Feb12 Jan25 Jan04 (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 1.60 66% 0.50    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
3  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Aug09 Jul23 Jul15 Oct02 Sep25 (dennis cli)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MOLLIE'S MAGIC by FACTUM)
4  MISS AGGIE BLING Aug05 Jul07 May13 Mar29 Mar04 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FESTIVE RAIN by FESTIVAL OF LIGHT (GB))
5  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May27 May06 (potts )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00    
  (by STANFORD out of BLUES AND SILVERS by EUROSILVER)
 
TIL-8   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDY Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (rhodes dixie)SMITH E 126 1.40 40% 1.50    
2  FORT YORK Jun18 Aug27 Aug19 Aug12 Jul14 (abraham t)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
3  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jun17 Jun09 Aug10 Jul15 Jul04 (rodriguez s)GUERRERO C 126 4.00    
4  SIR LAUGHALOT Jun25 Jun18 Aug26 Aug19   (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 13% 6.70    
5  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 May12 Apr21 (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 10.00    
6  HARROVIAN Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar18 Feb26 (raley scott)LOPEZ E 126 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.