Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $15.00 $9.00 150%
ZIA-2   DD (5/7/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-7 $17.40 $5.40 45%
ZIA-3   EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $20.20 $8.20 68%
ZIA-9   EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $10.40 $4.40 73%

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR SOARING ANGEL 7 2 3.2 3.2   1½ 1 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 2.00 22% 3.60 2.10 W
ARTFUL ROSE 3 4 4 4   43 2 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.00 20% 4.00 3.90 P
MISS TRICKY INDY 6 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (m)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 11.00  
BERNICE WHO 4 6 7 6   5 4 (baldwin lyne)JORDAN R 121 10.00 10.30  
BAND OF GLORY 5 5 2nk 2nk   32 58 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.20 35% 1.90 1.70  
EVIL TEMPTATION 2 3 5 5   66 613¾ (quiroz fi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00 5.00  
CRIMSON T. 1 7 6 7   711 733½ (young a)TORRES J 121 30.00 69.70  
 
ZIA-2   11/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAE GAE 6 6 6 41   3 11 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.40 W
MY GOOD GOOD BOY 7 2 2nk 1½   11 21 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.80 39% 1.60 0.50 P
MAGIC STORM 4 4 4 2½   21 31 (gonzale)FUENTES T 120 12.00 20.60  
COMFORT J BYRD 5 1 31 5   44 4 (zamora ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 16% 5.30 9.30  
LT. NORM 2 3 52 6   55 511¾ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
JOHN JOHN 3 7 7 7   67 613 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00 20.50  
CAUTION CARDINAL 1 5 1nk 31   7 720¾ (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00 25.00  
SCR  NORWEGIAN CALLUM               (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 5.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL IN THE TRAP 2 6 75 4   1nk 1½ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 1.40 36% 1.80 2.00 W
MCMERCELUS 7 5 3½ 3.2   2nk 2½ (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 8% 11.50 4.20 P
TWO STEP JACK 4 7 5 6   32 3 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 42.90  
JEEPS STRIDE 1 4 42 5   4 4 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 6.00 5.60  
DIABOLICAL FIRE 5 2 2nk 2nk   5 5 (fincher w)VERGARA P 119 4.50 9% 10.50 4.20  
Z MARKS THE SPOT 6 1 1nk 1nk   6 610½ (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.50 26% 2.80 2.50  
DISCOVERY N SIGHT 3 3 64 7   7 711¼ (marr h)TOHILL S 121 12.00 21.00  
SHAME ON ROOSTER 8 8 8 8   818¼ 831¾ (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 28.40  
 
ZIA-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ENCOUNTER 5 4 6 41   43 11 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 2.00 2.70  
I WIN LIKA GIRL 4 3 1½ 2nk   12 21 (c)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.50 P
LITTLE PINCH 2 6 3½ 1nk   22 3 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
BYE BYE BROOKY 3 5 4 7   65 4 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 27.30  
CHARITY WATER 7 2 5 5   5 5 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 19.10  
MARKING'S MIRACLE 1 7 7 63   7 68 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 119 6.00 4.50  
BOSSY BABY 6 1 2½ 3½   33 7 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 3.50 60% 0.70 1.40  
SCR  PRETTY PEPPY               (collier jimmi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST KEEP LAUGHIN 8 7 6 4   3 1nk (barton )FUENTES T 120 10.00 4.80  
SILVER ABSTRACT 1 2 2nk 1nk   1 2nk (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.50 49% 1.10 1.10 P
SWAYING LASSIE 7 5 1nk 2nk   2 33 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 4.00  
MISS WONDERFUL 5 4 5 5   4 46 (aldavaz h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00 22.70  
MARKED ACE 2 8 713¼ 7   6 510½ (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SMARTSEA 3 3 4 34   5 612¼ (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 6.50  
LIGHTNING GIRL 6 1 3 6   78 715¾ (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 24% 3.20 5.30  
QUIET PRINCESS 4 6 814¼ 814¾   820 833¾ (van crowe)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 15.00 37.00  
SCR  QUEEN HADASSAH               (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY BY THE BEACH 7 1 2½ 3.2   1 1 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 6.00 2.20  
GONE KAT 5 8 7 7   32 2 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 10.00  
CANDY TRACK 3 7 8 8   63 3 (eliott )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60 3.00 S
10  CORY LOVES RAIN 8 6 5 4¾   4 4 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 37% 1.70 3.10  
MOONLIT FOREST 2 4 42 5   53 5 (bolen bradley)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 27.70  
11  TAMMY MACHO 9 5 6 6   75 6 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 3.90  
ANDREABANANAS 4 2 1½ 1nk   2 711¼ (munoz guadal)JORDAN R 121 10.00 16% 5.10 17.30  
ROCKETT'S RED CITY 1 3 3½ 2nk   8 812¼ (cons)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 53.70  
12  LILY J 10 9 9 9   915½ 930¾ (hudson jeff)ROSENDO J 123 15.00 55.60  
FIRST KITTY 6 10 1014¾ 1016¾   1022½ 1035 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 30.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
SCR  KATZIE BABY               (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE               (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 123 30.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:22 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COYSTER 5 2 1½ 11   1 1½ (l)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 6.40  
SEEULATERGATOR 7 4 2½ 21   2 2½ (long vaughn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 7.00  
BLUEGRASS FAITH 4 1 4 3   3 31 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 2.50 34% 1.90 1.60 S
10  BURNZ DA BOSS 10 11 9 7   6 4 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 38.10  
11  MAINFRAME JUDY 11 6 53 6   5 5 (riddle jacki)JORDAN R 121 10.00 10% 8.70 10.70  
JERSEY JOE 9 5 6 54   4 6 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00 8.10  
LIL LATIGO 6 3 3 4   7 77 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 84.80  
12  AWESOME STORM 12 7 7 9   8 89 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
AWESOME BID 8 12 10 10   10 910¾ (armstrong)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 33% 2.00 5.80  
CERVEZA 3 10 8 86   9 1011 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 4.00 7.10  
CAJUN FIRE 2 8 12 1110   1111¼ 1113 (christian billy)CARRENO J 121 30.00 68.60  
HOT CHARLIE 1 9 11 1212   1213¼ 1215½ (aldavaz h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 30.00 76.40  
 
ZIA-8   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER 8 8 83 41   11 1 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 77% 0.30 1.20 W
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 7 1 2nk 2½   21 2 (woolley benn)FUENTES A 121 8.00 6.50  
IT'S A GIRL 6 2 3.2 1½   33 38 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 2.60 S
MISS JOANNIE 9 4 7 52   4 4 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 15.50  
CHASING DIVINITY 3 5 4 63   5 5 (martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 8.00 21.00  
LAKE ETHEL 5 3 6 7   6 613 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 17.70  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 2 10 97 99   8 719 (lavanway days)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 30.00 ######  
BLUE COWGIRL 4 7 5 85   79 819 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 20.00  
10  LUCKY AND DARING 10 9 108 1010½   9 919½ (gonzalez car)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 15.00 70.70  
11  MISS CONTINENTAL 11 11 1112 1114½   1110¾ 1021½ (buechler j)HEBERT J 119 15.00 22.40  
MAUI SUNRISE 1 6 1nk 3½   1010¼ 1122½ (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 2.50 7.30  
SCR  SPARKLE IN THE SKY               (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:123 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MAGAMBLER 3 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 W
PLAYTHEMARKER 4 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 119 3.00 12% 7.70 3.50 P
GOLDEN MERGER 2 3 42 42 31 32 33 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00 9.20  
MY SPECIAL MISTAKE 6 5 5 3 4 4 410½ (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.50 3.40  
ARCH CITY 1 7 6 64 5 5 513½ (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 5.00 15% 5.80 3.80  
RYDERS UP 7 6 7 710 78 613½ 622¾ (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 15.00 28.60  
WEEKEND WARRIOR 5 4 3 5 6 723½ 747 (leyba j)MARQUEZ LARRY 119 30.00 41.80  
SCR  MUSICS MY VICE               (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 8.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:23 :461 :58     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIFEY 2 10 10 8   4¾ 1 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 121 2.50 35% 1.90 0.30 W
10  AZTEC SUN 10 7 41 4¼   2nk 2 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 12.00 35.30  
GREY STORM 7 8 7 7   6 33 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 50.00  
WILL THE THRILL 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 4 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 11.40  
WHAT AN IDEA 3 9 8 9   8 5 (fincher t)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 5.00 6.20  
FLEET OF FLAGS 8 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 65 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 119 6.00 22% 3.50 11.30  
REPLETE 4 5 5 6   5 7 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 59.00  
OTTOMAN EMPIRE 6 6 93 10   10 8 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 9% 10.50 16.20  
GALACTIC CORE 1 3 6 5¾   9 9 (m)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 6% 17.00 40.50  
SUNDAY BLING 9 4 3½ 3.2   7 1011¾ (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 22.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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