Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(7/5/3)-(1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(1/6/2)-(10/3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(10/3/5/8)-(4/8/11/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (10/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/9/8)-(10/3/5/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (4/8/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/11/12)-(4/8/11/9/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/11/12)-(4/8/11/9/12)-(4/8/11/9/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/1/6/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/1/6/5/9)-(8/1/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(3/1/4)-(2/8/6/1/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/8/6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (2/8/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/1/4)-(2/8/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/1/4)-(2/8/6/1/4)-(2/8/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON T. Sep04 Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (young a)TORRES J 121 30.00    
EVIL TEMPTATION Nov13 Oct13 Aug06 Jul29 May14 (quiroz fi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
ARTFUL ROSE Oct01 Sep08 Jul15 Jun10 May14 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
BERNICE WHO May14 Apr29 Apr09 Mar28 Mar14 (baldwin lyne)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
BAND OF GLORY Sep15 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.20 35% 1.90    
MISS TRICKY INDY Oct14 Oct01 Aug19 Jul14 Jun18 (m)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
OUR SOARING ANGEL Sep02 Aug06 Jun24 Mar14 Feb05 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
ZIA-2   11/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUTION CARDINAL Sep30 Sep09 Aug19     (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00    
SCR  NORWEGIAN CALLUM         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 5.00    
LT. NORM Nov06         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOHN JOHN Nov06         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00    
MAGIC STORM         (gonzale)FUENTES T 120 12.00    
COMFORT J BYRD Nov13 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 Jun25 (zamora ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
KAE GAE         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Nov06 Oct14 Sep30     (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
ZIA-3   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEEPS STRIDE Sep10 Jul16 Mar07 Jan17 Nov13 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 6.00    
STILL IN THE TRAP Oct07 Sep03 Mar26 Feb28 Jan01 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
DISCOVERY N SIGHT Jul16 Jun23 Jun10 Mar28 Mar07 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
TWO STEP JACK May13 Mar28 Aug10 Apr22 Mar08 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00    
DIABOLICAL FIRE Sep10 Jul16 Apr29 Mar28 Feb26 (fincher w)VERGARA P 119 4.50 9% 10.50    
Z MARKS THE SPOT Oct06 Sep10 Jul16 Jun23 Sep10 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
MCMERCELUS Apr22 Mar26 Feb28 Jan31 Dec13 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
SHAME ON ROOSTER Sep10 Jul14 Jun25 May21 Apr29 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKING'S MIRACLE Oct28 Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 May20 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  PRETTY PEPPY Nov07 Sep02 Aug05 Mar19 Mar05 (collier jimmi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
LITTLE PINCH Oct28 Apr22 Mar28 Mar14 Aug24 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BYE BYE BROOKY Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Nov07 Sep20 Jul23 May06 Feb19 (c)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
CASUAL ENCOUNTER Nov07 Jun10 Mar26 Dec13 Nov06 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 2.00    
BOSSY BABY Oct22 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Apr09 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
CHARITY WATER Nov07 Apr22 Mar21 Mar14 Jan31 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER ABSTRACT Oct08         (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.50 49% 1.10    
MARKED ACE         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMARTSEA         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
QUIET PRINCESS Nov13         (van crowe)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 15.00    
MISS WONDERFUL Oct08 Sep08       (aldavaz h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00    
LIGHTNING GIRL         (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
SWAYING LASSIE         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN HADASSAH Oct08 Sep08       (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00    
JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Aug06 Jul21 Jun09     (barton )FUENTES T 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETT'S RED CITY Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul22 Jul09 (cons)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
MOONLIT FOREST Sep27 Sep14 Aug26     (bolen bradley)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00    
CANDY TRACK Nov07 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 Aug19 (eliott )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 Sep14 Sep02 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 123 30.00    
ANDREABANANAS Nov07 Oct20 Sep27 Aug06 Jun24 (munoz guadal)JORDAN R 121 10.00 16% 5.10    
GONE KAT Oct20 Oct08 Sep07 Aug06 Jul09 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
SCR  KATZIE BABY Oct27 Sep30 Sep02 Jul09 Jun24 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00    
FIRST KITTY         (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
STAY BY THE BEACH Oct20 Oct08 Sep14 Aug06 Jun03 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 6.00    
10  CORY LOVES RAIN Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13   (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
11  TAMMY MACHO Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
12  LILY J Oct27         (hudson jeff)ROSENDO J 123 15.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CHARLIE Jun10 May29 Apr23 Nov01 Oct17 (aldavaz h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 30.00    
CAJUN FIRE Oct20 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Jul29 (christian billy)LULL E 121 30.00    
CERVEZA Oct21 Sep07 Jul30 Jul14 May07 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 4.00    
BLUEGRASS FAITH Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jun23 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
COYSTER Oct27 Oct13 Sep09 Jul16 Jun16 (l)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
LIL LATIGO Oct27 Oct18 Sep30 Sep17 Sep09 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00    
SEEULATERGATOR Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jul09 Apr16 (long vaughn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
AWESOME BID Oct07 Sep01 Jul23 Jun25 Apr25 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 33% 2.00    
JERSEY JOE Oct07 Sep09 Sep01 Jul08 May13 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
10  BURNZ DA BOSS Jun23 Apr23 Apr08 Feb28 Jan31 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
11  MAINFRAME JUDY Sep09 Aug14       (riddle jacki)JORDAN R 121 10.00 10% 8.70    
12  AWESOME STORM Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Jul29 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUI SUNRISE Sep27 Aug26       (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 2.50    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Oct28 Oct04 Sep27 Aug14 Aug05 (lavanway dayson)LULL E 121 30.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Oct14 Aug27 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 8.00    
BLUE COWGIRL Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 Aug06 Jul17 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 12.00    
LAKE ETHEL Jul29 Mar19 Mar07 Jan22   (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
IT'S A GIRL Jun23 Oct08 Sep02 Jun26 May30 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug13 Jul26 (woolley benn)FUENTES A 121 8.00    
HIGH GUNNER Oct08 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 77% 0.30    
MISS JOANNIE Sep13 Aug29 Aug22 Aug03 Jul02 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
10  LUCKY AND DARING Oct28 Sep27 Jul22 Jul09   (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
11  MISS CONTINENTAL Oct04 Sep07 Aug05 Jun24 Jun04 (buechler j)HEBERT J 119 15.00    
SCR  SPARKLE IN THE SKY Oct08 Sep30 Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCH CITY Apr02 Mar19 Jan29 Jan08 Oct31 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
GOLDEN MERGER Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 Jun11 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00    
I'MAGAMBLER Oct20 Sep08 Aug04 Jun18 Apr22 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
PLAYTHEMARKER Oct08 Sep09 Jul15 Jun16 Nov08 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  MUSICS MY VICE Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Oct30 Sep25 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 8.00    
WEEKEND WARRIOR Nov07 Sep17 Sep02 Jun16 May14 (leyba j)MARQUEZ LARRY 119 30.00    
MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Oct07 Sep24 Jul14 Jun16 Apr22 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.50    
RYDERS UP Oct29 Oct20 Oct07 Sep10 Jul16 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALACTIC CORE Oct18 Oct04 Sep15     (m)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 6% 17.00    
RIFEY Sep23 Jul30 Jul21 Jun23 May15 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
WHAT AN IDEA Oct07 Sep03 Aug11 Mar19 Jan31 (fincher t)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 5.00    
REPLETE Sep18 Aug20 Jul28 Jul14 Jun26 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILL THE THRILL Jun16 May13 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50    
OTTOMAN EMPIRE Oct29 May06 Apr21 Mar12 Feb17 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
GREY STORM Nov07 Oct04 Sep04 Jul16 Jun25 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
FLEET OF FLAGS Oct29 Sep16 Jan29 Dec21 Nov22 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
SUNDAY BLING Oct07 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
10  AZTEC SUN Dec19 Nov21 Oct17 Jul30   (marr h)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.