Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
ARP-2   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
ARP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $3.60  
ARP-6   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
ARP-8   Win (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK NAZTY 2 4 2nk 1½   11 1 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.00 36% 1.80 1.00 W
JIMBO'S BIZ 4 2 43 45   43 2 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 24% 3.20 1.60 P
ARIMONY 1 3 3 32   3 38 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00 13.00  
OPTIMAL 3 1 1nk 2½   21 4 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.00 2.40  
SCR  PAYNTER'S BOY               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-2   09/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BIZ 3 1 11 1   1½ 12 (haar j)WALES T 124 2.50 21% 3.70 1.10 W
TOMBI 4 4 42 32   3 22 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.00 23% 3.40 5.40 P
PODEROSO EQUS 5 2 3 2   2½ 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 7.00  
TIGER THE MAN 1 5 21 5   56 410 (young a)LULL E 124 4.50 7.80  
VICTORY BOULEVARD 6 6 53 4   4 511¾ (long vaughn)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 21% 3.80 3.40  
MEAN CANNON 2 3 65 66   67 618¾ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5.40  
SCR  THORNISH               (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50    
 
ARP-3   09/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:124     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCS CARO CAT 5 1 32 22   13 1 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 0.80  
KNIGHTED 4 2 2½ 12   23 2 (muckey john)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 3.10  
RENVYLE 3 3 44 46   37 3 (young a)LULL E 124 15.00 27% 2.80 24.60 S
WILLTOBELUCKY 2 5 57 510   412 413½ (barraza s)WALES T 124 4.50 39% 1.60 1.90  
FERRARI ROAD 1 4 1½ 32   520 528¼ (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 13.20  
SCR  DIVINE TASK               (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
SCR  GIMME SPACE               (childs g)LUARK T 124 20.00    
SCR  NO LIMITATION               (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   09/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Butch Gleason Classic Purse ($32.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:154 1:412   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CALL 2 3 1½ 1 12 1½ 1 (kenney dan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 63% 0.60 3.50 W
WAGER NO MO 6 5 4 33 3 2½ 2 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40 P
THREE FOR THREE 5 1 5 55 53 46 3 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 18.40  
COLLUSIONIST 3 2 2½ 2 22 31 4 (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 0.50  
TUFF WILLY TE 1 4 31 4 43 513 515½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 11% 8.40 9.20  
HOLD TIGHT 4 6 6 68 6 619 620¾ (shipp michael)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00 15.60  
 
ARP-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Rush Futurity Purse ($53.3K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :584     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITE RANCHIN KID 2 1 12 13   14 1 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 16% 5.10 3.70 W
FERRARI RED 8 3 22 23   24 2 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 26% 2.90 0.80 P
SARAH'S BIG BANG 7 2 6 4   4 3 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 3.50 23% 3.30 13.10 S
ZORINA 6 4 43 3   37 4 (moreno carl)MEDINA ANGEL 120 12.00 12% 7.20 3.50  
TOOMANYNAMES 5 5 33 6   5 510¼ (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 12.40  
EZ FITZ 1 9 7 711   714½ 618¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.00 23.00  
BIG MOONIE 9 7 89 5   612½ 719½ (villamar candelari)RAMEY CASH 120 20.00 46.20  
WHAT THE HEY 4 8 9 915   924½ 836¾ (triana ma)JOURNET JARRED 120 8.00 41.20  
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 6 5 813   822½ 937½ (villamar candelario)LULL E 120 6.00 22.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.