Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ZIA-1   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $21.80 $21.80 15.80
ZIA-2   Win (4/6/8/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $24.60 $24.60 14.60
ZIA-3   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ZIA-4   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ZIA-5   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
ZIA-6   Win (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ZIA-7   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
ZIA-8   Win (8/11/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $23.60  
ZIA-9   Win (9/6/4/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $19.40  
ZIA-10   Win (2/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 22.80

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   11/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BULL DARWIN 7 5 3 31   1½ 11 (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 6% 15.70 9.90 W
ART CURATOR 4 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 21 (fincher w)VERGARA P 121 0.60 65% 0.50 0.50 P
WHISPER'S MARK 1 4 6 64   43 3 (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 4.00 6.40  
CANDY TRACK 3 3 5 53   53 4 (eliott roge)AMAYA RUIZ 121 8.00 15.30 DQ↓6
CHARLIENE 6 1 1nk 2nk   3 54 (villalobos mig)FUENTES A 121 8.00 3.50  
MI PRINCESA 2 6 42 4   6 66 (aldavaz her)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00 27.30  
KAMMYS KASH 5 7 7 77   7 710½ (singh johnny)TORRES J 121 20.00 6% 15.70 27.70  
 
ZIA-2   11/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:221 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BEAU VERO 10 8 3 2nk   1nk 1¼ (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 6% 16.60 11.30 W
DRINKROUNDTHETRUTH 6 6 4 53   32 2¼ (riddle j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00 24% 3.20 2.10 DQ↓8
10  UNBRIDLED OPTIMIST 9 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 3¾ (baldwin lynett)JORDAN R 123 12.00 18.60  
NO GAIN N NO WILL 8 9 7 7   4 4 (marr joel)FUENTES T 121 8.00 9% 10.50 1.80 S
STACKERS 4 7 6 85   5 55 (barrios bernadett)ROSENDO J 121 1.00 31% 2.30 2.50  
LET EM RIP 1 3 53 4   66 6 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 5.00 10.90  
KING BRYCE 5 1 910 97   8 711½ (hernandez leo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 8% 12.20 20.90  
MIST N SEVEN 3 5 86 64   79 811¾ (vurgun zafer)JAIME R 123 20.00 92.40  
JEWELS AND JAZZ 2 4 2½ 3   911 915½ (durbin kenn)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 50.00 ######  
ONEDRUNKNIGHT 7 10 1013 109   1013 1018½ (tri)DE CRUZ 121 30.00 ######  
SCR  DATIL DANCER               (villalobos )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 50.00    
SCR  ROMP N ROLL               (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Juvenil Purse ($150K) 2 C/G PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:213 :434 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNITY LEADER 4 1 31 21   11 13 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 1.00 43% 1.40 1.30 W
MILK IT 2 3 11 11   21 23 (green greg)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 1.60 33% 2.10 0.90 P
HEZEKIAH'S RULE 6 5 5 5   45 3 (marr h)TOHILL S 118 8.00 4.30  
AARON WHO 1 4 21 3   34 4 (gonzalez jose)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 23.40  
AMIGO LOCO 3 6 66 68   6 515 (woolley bennie )JUAREZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
EVERYROSEHASATHORN 5 2 43 4   5 615 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 15.00 35.90  
 
ZIA-4   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Distaff Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:214 :441 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA DONA 2 1 1½ 11   12 1 (buechler simon)FUENTES A 117 1.40 35% 1.90 0.70 W
MARQUIS LIGHTS 1 4 32 32   3 2 (chavez a)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00 14% 6.00 9.00 P
CHARLIES HURRICANE 4 3 43 4   22 3 (buechler j)ROSENDO J 117 4.00 21.10  
CAYCEE'S MARK 5 6 5 54   5 4 (summers nan)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 18.80  
DELIA 6 5 66 6   6 5 (marr joel)FUENTES T 121 8.00 5.80  
TIGHT FITTIN JEANS 7 2 2½ 21   44 612¾ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 117 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
SHUGS CHARLIE 3 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (gonzalez an)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 15.00 39.50  
 
ZIA-5   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Peppers Pride New Mexico Cup F Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:11 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRINA CORRINA 2 7 3 32 21 1nk 1 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 0.20 57% 0.70 0.05 W
BYE BYE BRANDI 1 1 11 11 11 2nk 2 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 4.50  
OUR TIME TO SHINE 4 3 43 55 55 4 3 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 117 8.00 14% 6.40 12.40 S
DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) 6 5 64 6 66 5 412½ (fincher tod)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 20.00 47.30  
PASSION BELLE 3 2 21 21 3 34 512½ (valdez-cabral )FUENTES A 121 15.00 70.60  
CATTY DOM 5 6 7 7 78 710½ 623¼ (summers nancy)VERGARA P 117 50.00 86.20  
FLAXY LADY 7 4 5 4 4 6 726¼ (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 46.60  
 
ZIA-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Lassie Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :443 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE WINNER 6 2 31 4   21 1¼ (buechler simon)FUENTES A 118 0.80 60% 0.70 0.70 W
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER 2 3 1nk 11   11 2¼ (fincher w)HEBERT J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
MAKE UP A STORY 3 6 6 5   42 3¾ (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 4.20  
WAY TO RULE 1 5 2nk 21   3 4 (fincher w)VERGARA P 118 10.00 13.70  
MARK IT DOWN 7 1 5 6   6 55 (barton da)FUENTES T 120 4.50 14% 6.10 3.20  
STREET MARK 4 7 7 75   75 6 (cappelluc)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 15.00 40.90  
STORM IN THE VALLE 5 4 4 32   53 7 (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 118 10.00 33.20  
SCR  MS. POUNDS               (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 12.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Derby C Purse ($150K) 3 C/G PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HIM BE 2 1 1½ 11   1 1 (marr joel)FUENTES T 121 1.80 28% 2.60 0.90 W
SMARTSREALGOOD 6 6 7 63   32 2 (green greg)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 48.70 P
ANTONIOS MARK 8 3 62 42   2 3 (barton j)CEBALLOS F 115 15.00 12.10  
SAMBAS MARK 1 4 4 74   5 4 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.60 40% 1.50 1.40  
MAMIE'S LAST HOPE 7 5 31 3   43 58 (martinez edwin)MEDINA ANTHONY 119 15.00 11.90  
SWEET MONEY 4 8 8 86   66 612 (summers nan)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00 38.70  
STORM LEADER 5 2 2½ 5   76 712 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 115 6.00 11% 7.70 9.00  
NEW MEXICO JEREMY 3 7 5 21   8 813½ (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 20.00 77.30  
SCR  THRUTHESTORM               (fincher w)FUENTES A 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Sprint Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:213 :441 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY WHISKY 3 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (trujillo celio )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00 10.80  
DIABOLICAL STORM 1 8 6 6   4 2 (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
DELBERT TOO 5 7 7 7   52 3 (quiroz fi)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 22% 3.50 8.60 S
EVACUEE 2 10 912 912   9 4 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 8.00 29.90  
11  ONE MARK 11 9 1014 1014   7 5 (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 4.50 25% 3.00 3.50  
BYE BYE MATTY P 4 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 65 (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 23.10  
MASSIVE ROAR 8 4 4 4   1110½ 7 (fincher w)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 26% 2.90 2.00  
TUCUM 6 3 3 3½   31 86 (buechler sim)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 41.50  
NO PASA NADA 9 6 86 85   63 9 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00 19.30  
IZERIGHT 7 11 1117 1120   8 1011 (cap)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 23.00  
10  DIABOLICAL RULER 10 5 53 52   109 1114¾ (valdez-cabral )FUENTES A 120 8.00 5.00  
 
ZIA-9   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico Classic Cup Oaks Ch Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:22 :443 :56     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOER NOT A FAKER 7 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 8.70  
FIRST AGAIN 3 7 6 4   31 2nk (mor)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 14.60  
MAMA WAS A ROCKET 6 6 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00 S
11  TIZ A JOURNEY 10 4 41 3½   4 4 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 12.00 7% 13.70 4.70  
MOONLIGHT WARRIOR 4 5 5 52   5 54 (marr joel)FUENTES T 119 5.00 8% 12.20 6.80  
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE 2 9 910¼ 8   6 6 (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 20.00 70.50  
JENNY'S PENNY 1 2 7 7   75 710 (clary renay)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
LEONAS GIRL 5 8 8 9   8 811¾ (riddle j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 115 30.00 95.60  
LEAP YEAR NIGHT 8 3 3½ 6   9 915 (acosta carlos)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 20.00 67.90  
BETTER BELIEVE 9 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 38% 1.70 1.30  
SCR  PRETTY PEPPY               (collier jimmie )ARBOLEDA ALDO 115 20.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rocky Gulch New Mexico Classic Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:11 1:372   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCIENT LAND 1 1 21 4 4 2nk 12 (lamber)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
HENRY ON THE RUN 5 6 85 31 3½ 1nk 22 (gonzalez and)RODRIGUEZ H 117 20.00 21.40  
ALL CHROME 7 7 9 52 52 5 3 (baldwin lynett)JORDAN R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.50 S
SPINNING BLACK 3 3 11 1½ 1nk 31 4 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00 36.70  
10  COMET CAUSEY 9 5 3 2½ 2nk 4 5 (marr h)TOHILL S 117 5.00 6.70  
THUNDER DOME 2 2 5 9 85 85 6 (barton j)JUAREZ J 121 1.80 50% 1.00 2.10  
MCTHANKS 6 9 7 7 73 6 7 (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.00 19% 4.10 5.30  
MCMERCELUS 4 8 64 63 6 74 8 (summers nan)VALENZUELA A 117 6.00 1.50  
COLOR ME GONE 8 4 42 8 9 96 910¼ (martinez edwin)MEDINA ANTHONY 117 30.00 55.60  
SCR  BODIE GOT GOLD               (hone bart)VALDEZ S 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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