The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Tuesday - November 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ZIA-1   Win (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
ZIA-2   Win (3/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $34.60 -8.00
ZIA-3   Win (9/1/10/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
ZIA-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
ZIA-5   Win (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
ZIA-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
ZIA-7   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
ZIA-8   Win (6/8/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $11.00 -10.00
ZIA-9   Win (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -5.90
ZIA-10   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $29.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   11/28/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:214 :452       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE CANDY 4 2 6 5   2½ 1½ (fincher w)JORDAN R 120 1.40 27% 2.80 1.00 W
IZE A BLAST 3 8 52 4   1½ 2½ (ashford trista)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00 9.60  
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE 6 1 2½ 21   33(eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.50 26% 2.90 3.90 S
RASPBERRY WINE 1 3 4 6   44(rus)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 11.30  
HIGH CALIBER CATCH 8 5 1½ 11   5512¼ (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00 35.60  
GIRL COLLECTED 7 4 3 3   66 613 (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 13% 6.70 5.20  
FLYING FIRST CLASS 2 6 7 7   79 720¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 5.00 15% 5.80 4.60  
ARIZONA LINDY 5 7 8 8   811 820½ (gonzalez andres)ROSENDO J 120 20.00 60.10  
 
ZIA-2   11/28/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:372   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENDER 5 6 8 7 7 1nk 1¼ (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 16.30  
MONGOLIAN KINGDOM 4 5 6 6 41 2nk 2¼ (cappellucci jim)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 4.40  
TIBURON 7 4 5 32 3½ 3½ 32 (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00 18% 4.50 2.90 S
TEXTHELEGEND 8 7 7 8 63 44(mcfarlane dan )JORDAN R 121 10.00 24% 3.10 4.80  
TONE FEELIN 2 8 4 42 52 55 5(cappellucci di)FUENTES A 121 2.00 26% 2.80 1.20  
HA HA FOR YOU 3 1 21 2½ 2nk 67 614½ (summers nancy)VALDEZ S 121 5.00 10% 9.30 9.80  
INDY MOON 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 7715¼ (martinez h)CARRENO J 123 20.00 46.50  
JR'S CONFIDENCE 6 3 3 53 8 812¼ 823¾ (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 119 50.00 56.80  
SCR  M T S RUNNER               (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 123 12.00    
SCR  SWITCHERONIMO               (zamora chri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILMAS IRISH ROVER 1 6 56 4 21 11 1(gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 19% 4.20 2.30 W
DADDY WHAT IF 3 9 910¾ 85 74 33 2(cross gary)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 9% 10.20 14.90 P
WILLTOBELUCKY 5 2 13 1 11 21 3(gherardi jame)TORRES J 121 20.00 80.90  
KIRBY DERBY 9 4 45 53 4 44(woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 123 1.80 35% 1.80 3.40  
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 2 3 33 32 53 65(armstrong s)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 9.80  
10  BARBIERE 10 5 6 64 85 75 6(leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 8.00 10% 9.40 3.20  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 7 1 23 2 31 54 77 (barraza s)CEBALLOS F 121 15.00 9.30  
OFFENSIVE 6 10 1012¼ 10 108 87 811 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 20.00 38.90  
ELLIOT 4 7 8 9 9 10911¾ (gon)DE CRUZ 121 30.00 68.80  
GODDARD 8 8 7 74 6 91014¾ (quiroz filiberto)CARRENO J 121 15.00 6% 15.10 4.90  
 
ZIA-4   11/28/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Championship Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
1:493         1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE THAT STAR 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 1(summers nancy)TOHILL S 123 2.00 13% 6.50 1.90 W
PRESIDENTIAL 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 2(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 2.50  
BYE BYE BOBBY 1 3 32 3 32 33(fincher w)HEBERT J 123 1.20 57% 0.80 0.90 S
PALUXY 3 4 4 46 4 46 410½ (young e)WETHEY JR 123 5.00 10.10  
SCR  PROMISE KEEPER               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 117 4.50    
 
ZIA-5   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Princess Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:214 1:091         1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY AISLE 7 4 5 21   1½ 1¼ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 3.50 10% 8.70 1.50 W
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 2 6 6 6   43 2¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00 3.40 P
GREASE MISSLE 6 2 31 4   2½ 3(hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 6.30  
CURLIN'S MAGIC 8 5 7 76   64(diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.00  
ONLY ONE AMERICA 4 1 1½ 11   31 55 (fincher w)JORDAN R 118 12.00 29.20  
CROWN THIRTY 5 3 2½ 3   54 65 (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 7 4 5   79 718¾ (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 118 50.00 65.50  
X RAY VISION 1 8 8 811   814 824½ (eikleberry kevin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 15.00 ######  
 
ZIA-6   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Juvenile Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:223 :45       1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RASCAL 4 6 41 2nk   1nk 1(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 25% 3.10 0.30 W
PAY RAISE 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2(ashford trista)JORDAN R 118 10.00 14% 6.20 13.20 P
LITE RANCHIN KID 6 2 2½ 4   33(barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 13.50  
CATS BY FIVE 2 5 6 6   64(asmussen steven)JUAREZ J 118 2.00 28% 2.60 2.90  
AMERICAN WARRIOR 1 4 31 32   44 5(ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00 14.30  
GENERAL CROOK 5 3 7 7   79 611¼ (ker)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 64.90  
U CAN DO U 7 7 5 5   56 713¼ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 12.00 41.80  
SCR  CLASSIC RICK               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50    
 
ZIA-7   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Distaff Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:222 1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPSY 1 2 5 42   21 11 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 65% 0.50 1.70 W
CANOODLING 7 3 3 3½   11 21 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 117 3.00 1.50  
ALBERTA SUN 6 1 1nk 1nk   32 35 (summers nan)VALENZUELA A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 21.00 DQ↓7
PALACEIN 5 5 2nk 2nk   44(young e)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 3.20  
FLYIN FALYNN 4 4 4 53   55(zamora chris)JORDAN R 123 5.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
RANEEM 3 7 7 65   66(cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 6.00 16.30  
GEMSTONE GAL 2 6 6 76   7716 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 117 8.00 30.20  
SCR  NOBLE MISS               (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Sprint Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:213 :434       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JAXON TRAVELER 10 1 21 2nk   12 1(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 117 8.00 4.50  
PRAYER OF JABEZ 9 6 32 31   22 2(ker)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 9.70  
COMPETITIVE IDEA 1 4 4 4   43(cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 3.00 9% 10.20 3.00 S
TRUTH SEEKER 8 9 10 1010¾   84(barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 17% 4.80 4.30  
ALBIZU 6 2 5 5   5510¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 2.50 47% 1.10 2.30  
MINISTER OF SOUL 4 8 6 65   66 611½ (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 123 20.00 5% 19.00 66.10  
DIAMOND RIM 2 7 7 8   9712¾ (mcfarlane dan )JORDAN R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
TOO MUCH ACTION 5 5 8 77   77 813 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00 31.30  
TACTICAL ATTACK 3 3 11 1nk   34 914¼ (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 117 20.00 72.20  
TULANE TRYST 7 10 9 9   1010 1016¼ (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 45.20  
 
ZIA-9   11/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Oaks Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:111 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CONNECTION 2 4 42 4 21 12 15 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.20 45% 1.20 0.05 W
LOVE TANK 1 8 8 87 7 325 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 115 10.00 19.40  
MAGIC BUBBLES 5 6 5 5 52 22 311¼ (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 115 3.00 19% 4.30 9.60 S
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER 3 5 63 7 6 53 413¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 115 15.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
HALOSNHEAVEN 7 2 2nk 1nk 31 43 516¾ (mcfarlane dan )JORDAN R 119 6.00 14% 6.00 29.20  
BANGS 8 3 31 31 4 6620½ (barocio librad)FUENTES A 119 20.00 19.40  
FREEBRITNEY 4 7 75 63 86 710½ 728 (martinez esteba)JUAREZ J 119 12.00 52.20  
PEPPER MILL 6 1 1nk 2nk 11 813½ 833½ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 119 20.00 55.40  
SCR  CHARLEE MAE               (gonzalez jose)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Zia Park Derby Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
1:411         1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO RIVERS OVER 6 5 32 2nk 1nk 112 (o'neill doug)FUENTES A 121 12.00 13.70  
HEROIC MOVE 2 4 64 6 6 43 22 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 117 8.00 2.00  
RED ROUTE ONE 5 7 7 7 7 54 3(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 2.00  
WILDATLANTICSTORM 3 2 2 3 3 24(ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 20.00 10% 9.20 7.70  
BATTLE STRIKE 4 6 53 4 4 357 (ashford ray)JORDAN R 117 10.00 53.70  
SLIP MAHONEY 1 3 43 5 5 65 68 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.40 32% 2.10 2.50  
NO WHITE FLAGS 7 1 1 1nk 2nk 77 716½ (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 29% 2.50 9.00  
SCR  ARROWTHEGREAT               (blacker daniel)ESPINOZA V 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.