Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-2   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-1 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-1-3 $11.40 $8.40 280%
ZIA-7   TRI (4/10/2/5)-(4/10/2/5/12)-(4/10/2/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-4-12 $27.10 $3.10 13%
    SFT (4/10/2/5)-(4/10/2/5/12)-(4/10/2/5/12)-(4/10/2/5/12) 96 $0.10 $9.60  5-4-12-2 $33.22 $23.62 246%
ZIA-10   EXA (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-10 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    TRI (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-10-4 $29.60 $17.60 147%
    SFT (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-10-4-3 $21.67 $19.27 803%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:122 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD FIREWATER 1 2 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk (meridy)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 19.50  
3  DAN WHO 3 5 510 33 41½ 31 2nk (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.00 11% 8.50 5.20 P
4  WEALTH N HEALTH 4 4 36 43 3½ 2½ 35 (valerio raym)FUENTES A 121 1.00 53% 0.90 0.60 S
7  DOM PROUD 7 6 614 68½ 66¾ 44 410 (rojero lu)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 8.60  
5  NOGAL CANYON 5 3 47 55½ 56½ 55 514¼ (munoz gua)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00 10.60  
2  SMOKEN HOUDINI 2 7 719 720½ 718¾ 710 621 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 16.00  
6  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 66 730¾ (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 8.00 7% 13.60 4.70  
 
ZIA-2   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:224 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SIERRA BLANCA 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 11¾ (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 17% 4.80 3.60 W
1  CAN'T WANT THAT 1 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 21¾ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 1.20 31% 2.30 1.30 P
3  HELLO GOODBYE 3 3 32 31   3½ 32¾ (g)DE CRUZ 120 1.60 30% 2.40 2.20 S
7  STEPMONSTER 6 6 64¼ 64½   43½ 413¾ (smith a)CARRENO J 120 15.00 8.90  
6  INZAWAY 5 7 710¼ 78½   78 518 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 71.20  
4  PINK LACE 4 5 54 54   54½ 618¼ (weeder tim)JORDAN R 120 10.00 10.80  
2  GOGETEMGRACIE 2 4 42 43   65½ 722 (green gre)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00 11.10  
SCR  FEARLESS YODA               (vurgun za)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 50.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:23 :461 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILY SMILES 1 2 12 12½   12 12 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 2.00  
5  MANHATTAN CHERRY 3 1 22 22½   22 22 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 7.60  
6  LOANA 4 3 33 33   32½ 32 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 23% 3.40 1.30 S
7  SAILING ALONG 5 4 53½ 56   45 46 (s)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 46% 1.20 2.20  
2  IT'S SAUL RIGHT 2 5 43 45   56½ 515¾ (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 121 8.00 15.00  
SCR  FOR LOVE NOT MONEY               (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 15.00    
SCR  FREEBRITNEY               (martinez este)JUAREZ J 121 2.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITYONTHENILE 1 1 11 11½ 11 12½ 16¾ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.20 30% 2.30 1.80 W
8  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 8 7 53 41¾ 21 22½ 26¾ (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 22% 3.50 0.80 P
2  BIRDIE CURDY 2 5 41½ 52¾ 55½ 37½ 319¼ (smith a)TOHILL S 121 12.00 11.20  
4  KELL'S KISS 4 3 65 67¾ 68 59½ 419¼ (gherardi ja)TORRES J 121 12.00 64.10  
6  TOOTIE 6 2 31 21½ 44½ 48½ 522 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00 6% 15.20 12.00  
3  AUTUMN TOUCH 3 4 21 31½ 34½ 611 629 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 80.60  
7  CLAY'S OPAL INDY 7 6 78½ 711¾ 713 713 729½ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 21% 3.70 7.90  
5  MS. LEA 5 8 810½ 813¾ 814 815 831¼ (van ro)CEBALLOS F 121 10.00 25.10  
 
ZIA-5   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:221 :451       1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WIND RIVER 4 1 12½ 11½   11 12 (martinez este)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 31% 2.20 2.70 W
5  IM STILL THIRSTY 5 2 22½ 21½   21 22 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 31% 2.30 3.80 P
1  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 1 9 45½ 45   55 36¾ (g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 7% 13.20 11.60 S
3  GROOVY HUEY 3 7 67 67   45 46¾ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 2.30  
9  ATTILAS TORNADO 8 3 34½ 34   34 57 (buechler sim)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00 17.80  
6  BIG CREED 6 10 88 78   65½ 68 (barraza)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 15.00 7% 12.40 6.20  
8  LET'S TIE ONE ON 7 8 98½ 99½   77½ 716½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 6.00 7.30  
10  WESTERN CHARM 9 5 56 56   88½ 817 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
12  RIO HATO 10 6 1010 1010½   99½ 918 (meraz jua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00 54.90  
2  STORMIN TEXASON 2 4 77 88½   1010½ 1022 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 47.50  
SCR  BITTEN               (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00    
SCR  LAUGHING STORM               (dimas robert)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :452       1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS 4 8 96¾ 84½   21½ 11½ (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 24.40  
6  ANNA B 6 2 3.2 1nk   11½ 21½ (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 15.80  
3  ELDORADO DREAM 3 5 63¾ 73½   52½ 31½ (valerio r)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50 20% 4.10 3.10 S
5  GREATEST GLORY 5 6 74¼ 63   32 42 (c)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 8% 11.80 4.00  
9  MIRACLE OF HOPE 9 1 42¼ 41½   73½ 54½ (villamar )VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5.50  
7  SHAKE RAG 7 10 1112¼ 107½   95 65 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 121 30.00 63.10  
8  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 8 11 86¼ 95½   84½ 75½ (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 8% 12.10 21.80  
2  JUMPING JILL FLASH 2 4 1nk 2nk   42½ 86 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 123 6.00 18% 4.60 5.50  
1  KELLEY SAID READY 1 3 53¼ 52   63 96¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 21% 3.80 4.70  
10  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 10 9 108¼ 119   106½ 109 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 11.00  
11  JASMINE WHO 11 12 1216¼ 1213   119 1113½ (sedillo e)CARRENO J 121 20.00 46.00  
12  OLIVIAN 12 7 2nk 3½   1214 1222¼ (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00 18.30  
 
ZIA-7   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:214 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIT THE SEAM 4 1 1nk 2½   11 11½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
4  SILVERWIND 3 2 2nk 1½   21 21½ (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 47% 1.10 1.30 P
12  MT. TAYLOR 11 10 87¼ 86   44½ 34 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 ★ 9.00 S
2  FOLLOW THE FACTS 1 4 31½ 32   33 44¼ (chacon sebedeo )VERGARA P 121 8.00 6% 14.70 9.60  
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 5 6 65¾ 65   55 55¼ (alvarez serg)JORDAN R 123 8.00 11.00  
3  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR 2 3 43½ 43½   66 610 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 31.30  
8  RIGHT TO SUE 7 7 108 99   88 710¾ (villamar )VALENZUELA A 123 12.00 17.30  
7  HEART TO BEAT 6 5 53¾ 54   77 811½ (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 15.00 38.10  
10  PATRIOT 9 8 75¾ 75½   98½ 913 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 23% 3.40 6.80  
11  AUTISM WARRIOR 10 9 97¾ 1010½   1011½ 1015¾ (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 30.00 51.90  
9  LOTTA GUSTO 8 11 1113 1112½   1115½ 1121½ (hudson je)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 26.70  
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE               (gomez alfred)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 3.50    
 
ZIA-8   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:102 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWITCHERONIMO 4 10 1010 96¼ 74 31 1½ (zamora ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 6.10  
9  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 8 9 98 85¼ 63½ 21 2½ (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 26% 2.80 3.70 P
3  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 3 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 33 (story chad)TOHILL S 123 15.00 15% 5.80 8.70 S
1  HOLY EMPEROR 1 2 54 64¾ 52½ 53 44¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 1.90  
6  SOUTHERN SUMMER 5 5 75 75¼ 95½ 84¾ 56¾ (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 18.30  
2  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 2 6 42 31½ 31 42½ 67¼ (garrett j)TORRES J 121 10.00 45.30  
8  IZA DADDY 7 7 87 107¼ 106½ 74¼ 77½ (cappellucci )JORDAN R 123 10.00 7% 12.40 6.10  
10  EAST RAND 9 8 64½ 54¼ 84½ 94¾ 88¾ (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00 20.10  
12  ON A WARPATH 10 4 32 41¾ 41½ 105¼ 911¼ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 20% 3.90 29.90  
7  NORTHCUT 6 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 64 1011½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 8.00 6% 14.80 5.70  
SCR  GLENDORA MINECAT               (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
SCR  LAST MARTINI               (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIGALERT 4 5 62½ 73½   62¼ 1½ (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 52% 0.90 3.20 W
3  MAGIC MOSCO 3 6 31 3½   2nk 2½ (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50 18% 4.50 2.80 P
2  FLAT FAST 2 10 83¾ 63   31 31¼ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 9.40  
1  JOKER MATT 1 4 52 52½   41¼ 41¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 4.40  
9  OKIE FREEZE 8 2 1½ 1½   1nk 53 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 51.30  
6  NUMEROLOGIST 5 7 42 41½   72¾ 63¼ (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 4.50 ★ 3.10  
7  SILVER DADDY 6 11 117¾ 95   93¼ 74 (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 123 20.00 33.40  
10  ARIMONY 9 3 72¾ 84   82¾ 84¾ (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00 20.50  
12  MAJORWAYHOME 11 1 2½ 2½   51¾ 95¼ (munoz gua)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00 11.90  
8  GORDY'S RULES 7 9 105¼ 106   103¾ 1010½ (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 30.00 6% 16.80 51.90  
11  TRACK BOUND 10 8 94¼ 117½   115¾ 1113¼ (alvarez serg)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 30.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
SCR  AVALON KING               (martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEY FRIEND 4 3 2½ 2½   11 11¾ (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 54% 0.90 1.90 W
10  E BAR SCOUT 9 1 52 51¾   21 21¾ (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00 13% 6.80 3.90 P
4  SPEEDY WILDCAT 3 2 31½ 31½   31½ 32 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.50 7% 13.30 4.10 S
3  BIKINILESS 2 4 1½ 1½   42 43¾ (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 5% 18.20 4.30  
6  TURN ON ARCH 5 6 42 41½   53 55½ (quiroz filibert)LOPEZ KARLO 123 12.00 13.90  
2  THATGIRL'SONFIRE 1 9 83¼ 84¼   64½ 67 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 7.70  
8  MADDIE POPPE 7 7 63 62¼   75 79 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00 28.60  
7  CRYSTAL WHO 6 5 73¼ 73¼   85½ 89 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 20.00 12.90  
9  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL 8 8 95¾ 97¼   99½ 914¾ (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 43.70  
SCR  OUR ISLAND GIRL               (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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