Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/8)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(4/5/6/1/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/6)-(4/5/6/1/10)-(1/3/2/5/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-5   WIN (4/5/6/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1/10)-(4/5/6/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/1/10)-(4/5/6/1/10)-(4/5/6/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/1/10)-(1/3/2/5/8)-(4/10/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-6   WIN (1/3/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/5/8)-(1/3/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/5/8)-(1/3/2/5/8)-(1/3/2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (4/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/5)-(4/10/2/5/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/5)-(4/10/2/5/12)-(4/10/2/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (9/12/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/3/8/7)-(9/12/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/3/8/7)-(9/12/3/8/7)-(9/12/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/12/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/11)-(5/10/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (5/3/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/11)-(5/3/8/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/11)-(5/3/8/6/11)-(5/3/8/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/8/11)-(5/10/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (5/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD FIREWATER Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Jul30 Jul23 (meridy)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
2  SMOKEN HOUDINI Sep24 May06 Feb28 Feb19 Feb05 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
3  DAN WHO Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jun25 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
4  WEALTH N HEALTH Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 Aug06 Jul14 (valerio raym)FUENTES A 121 1.00 53% 0.90    
5  NOGAL CANYON Nov07 Aug04 Jun16 Jun03 May06 (munoz gua)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
6  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Nov06 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 Jul29 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
7  DOM PROUD Nov13 Oct25 Oct04 Sep23 Jul29 (rojero lu)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00    
 
ZIA-2   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T WANT THAT Sep23 Aug13 Jul21     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 1.20 31% 2.30    
2  GOGETEMGRACIE         (green gre)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00    
3  HELLO GOODBYE Nov01 Sep30       (g)DE CRUZ 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
4  PINK LACE         (weeder tim)JORDAN R 120 10.00    
SCR  FEARLESS YODA Nov13 Sep04       (vurgun za)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 50.00    
6  INZAWAY Sep30 Sep09       (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
7  STEPMONSTER         (smith a)CARRENO J 120 15.00    
8  SIERRA BLANCA Nov06 Aug14 Jul08     (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
ZIA-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILY SMILES Nov13 Oct07 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
2  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 121 8.00    
SCR  FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Oct07 Sep03 Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 15.00    
SCR  FREEBRITNEY Sep13 Aug20 Aug03 Apr07 Feb24 (martinez este)JUAREZ J 121 2.00    
5  MANHATTAN CHERRY Sep02 Aug02 Jul16 Sep15 Aug20 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
6  LOANA Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  SAILING ALONG Oct22 Oct07 Sep27 Aug20 Jul19 (s)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
ZIA-4   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITYONTHENILE Nov06 Oct11 Sep27 Sep03 May21 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.20 30% 2.30    
2  BIRDIE CURDY Nov13 Aug31 Jun10 May28 Mar05 (smith a)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
3  AUTUMN TOUCH Nov13 Oct14 Sep16 Dec12 Oct30 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
4  KELL'S KISS Oct14 Sep16 Sep02 May14 Apr29 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 121 12.00    
5  MS. LEA Oct14 Jun24 May06 Apr22 Apr09 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 121 10.00    
6  TOOTIE Oct11 Sep27 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00 6% 15.20    
7  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Sep02 Jul31 Jul10 Jun12 Apr02 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
8  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Nov14 Oct11 Aug24 Jul29 Jun03 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
ZIA-5   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Oct13 Jul30 Jul22 Jun17 May29 (g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
2  STORMIN TEXASON Oct28 Jan18       (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
3  GROOVY HUEY Nov08 Oct01 Aug31 Jul30   (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
4  WIND RIVER Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 Apr01 (martinez este)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  IM STILL THIRSTY Oct13 Sep17 Jul30 Jul22 Jun17 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  BIG CREED Apr29 Mar27 Feb18 Jan26 Jan09 (barraza)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 15.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  BITTEN Sep10 Oct10 Sep17 Aug24 May27 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00    
8  LET'S TIE ONE ON Oct06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 6.00    
9  ATTILAS TORNADO Oct28 Oct18 Sep17 Jul30 Jun25 (buechler sim)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00    
10  WESTERN CHARM Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAUGHING STORM Oct25 Sep16 Jun25 May29 Dec06 (dimas robert)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 30.00    
12  RIO HATO Oct22 Oct07 Jul30 Jul22 Jun17 (meraz jua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLEY SAID READY Oct04 Sep13 Aug19 Jul01 Apr22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  JUMPING JILL FLASH Oct22 Oct11 Sep27 Sep10 Aug20 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  ELDORADO DREAM Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Sep10 Sep02 (valerio r)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Nov13 Sep10 Aug26 Jul23 May13 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
5  GREATEST GLORY Oct20 Sep16 Aug06 Jun11 May05 (c)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 8% 11.80    
6  ANNA B Oct18 Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 Jun11 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
7  SHAKE RAG Aug05 Jul28 Jul08 May13 Apr15 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 121 30.00    
8  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Sep27 Sep10 Aug05 May13 May05 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
9  MIRACLE OF HOPE Oct01 Sep11 Jan20 Jan02 Dec14 (villamar )VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
10  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Nov06 Oct06 Sep27 Sep10 Sep02 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
11  JASMINE WHO Nov07 Jul29 Jul23 Jun16 May14 (sedillo e)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
12  OLIVIAN Oct18 Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (christian billy)LULL E 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE Aug18 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 Apr26 (gomez alfred)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 3.50    
2  FOLLOW THE FACTS Oct07 Sep07 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (chacon sebedeo )VERGARA P 121 8.00 6% 14.70    
3  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Jul20 May21 May01 Apr12 Mar19 (willi)TORRES ANTONIO 121 15.00    
4  SILVERWIND Nov06 Sep17 Sep07 Aug04 May13 (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  HIT THE SEAM Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 Jul26 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Oct21 Sep23 Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 (alvarez serg)JORDAN R 123 8.00    
7  HEART TO BEAT Oct15 Sep03 May20 Apr30 Apr16 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
8  RIGHT TO SUE Oct15 Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (villamar )VALENZUELA A 123 12.00    
9  LOTTA GUSTO Oct20 Sep30 Sep03 Apr29   (hudson je)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00    
10  PATRIOT Oct27 Jul08 Jun16 Jun04 Mar14 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 23% 3.40    
11  AUTISM WARRIOR Oct15 Sep04 Aug26 Jun19 Mar18 (christian billy)LULL E 121 30.00    
12  MT. TAYLOR Oct18 Oct04 Jul15 Jun24 May06 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-8   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY EMPEROR Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 Aug19 Jul04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00    
2  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Feb28 (garrett j)TORRES J 121 10.00    
3  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Oct29 Oct13 Sep11 Aug26   (story chad)TOHILL S 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
4  SWITCHERONIMO Nov07 Aug04 Jun24 Jun18 Apr22 (zamora ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00    
SCR  GLENDORA MINECAT Oct25 Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 Jul16 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
6  SOUTHERN SUMMER Oct25 Sep24 Aug25 Jul16 Jul08 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
7  NORTHCUT Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Aug09 Jun24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 8.00 6% 14.80    
8  IZA DADDY Oct28 Aug04 Jun18 Apr22 Apr08 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 10.00 7% 12.40    
9  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Oct29 Oct07 Sep01 Jul29 Jul12 (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
10  EAST RAND Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 Sep07 Jul15 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
SCR  LAST MARTINI Oct25 Aug30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun14 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 123 20.00    
12  ON A WARPATH Oct18 Sep24 Sep07 Jul14 Apr22 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
ZIA-9   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKER MATT Oct25 Oct15 Sep17 Sep07 Aug03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
2  FLAT FAST Oct29 Sep20 Sep09 Aug20 Jul16 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
3  MAGIC MOSCO Oct29 Oct07 Sep09 Sep01 Jul23 (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  AVALON KING Oct22 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 Sep10 (martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
5  SIGALERT Aug20 Jun23 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 52% 0.90    
6  NUMEROLOGIST Oct21 Sep03 Jul30 Jun16 May21 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 4.50 ★    
7  SILVER DADDY Oct15 Sep17 Jul08 May06 Apr16 (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 123 20.00    
8  GORDY'S RULES Oct27 Oct04 Aug14 May28 Apr29 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 30.00 6% 16.80    
9  OKIE FREEZE Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 May06 Apr02 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00    
10  ARIMONY Oct25 Oct15 Oct04 Sep10 Sep03 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
11  TRACK BOUND Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 (alvarez serg)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  MAJORWAYHOME Oct20 Sep27 Sep09 Aug20 Jan03 (munoz gua)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR ISLAND GIRL Oct13 Sep08 May14 Apr15 Mar21 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
2  THATGIRL'SONFIRE Nov13 Oct15 Sep16 Sep03 Jun23 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
3  BIKINILESS Oct15 Feb28 Feb05 Dec19 Dec06 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 5% 18.20    
4  SPEEDY WILDCAT Aug19 Jul23 Feb28 Dec19 Mar04 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
5  HEY FRIEND Oct15 Mar21 Feb28 Jan24 Jan03 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 54% 0.90    
6  TURN ON ARCH Oct15 Sep03 Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 12.00    
7  CRYSTAL WHO Nov13 Oct15 Jun24 Jun10 Apr22 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 20.00    
8  MADDIE POPPE Oct15 Mar21 Aug19 May08 Apr24 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00    
9  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Oct15 Sep16 Jun24 May21 Apr22 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
10  E BAR SCOUT Mar21 Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 Mar26 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.