Handicappers' Race Results
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Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
EMD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.00  
EMD-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
EMD-3   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
EMD-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $59.20 $59.20 53.20
EMD-5   Win (7/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.40  
EMD-6   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
EMD-7   Win (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
EMD-8   Win (9/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:121 1:253   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY 2 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 1¾ (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.00 2.50  
1  STREET MOGUL 1 7 74½ 78 66¼ 42½ 2¾ (soranno jill)ORTIZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
5  BRANNIGAN 5 4 41½ 3½ 3.2 2nk 31½ (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.80 1.30 S
4  THE GOLDEN EGG 4 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 31 45¼ (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 47% 1.10 3.30  
3  POCO DIABLO ROJO 3 3 52 53 43¼ 55½ 515¾ (baze robert)OROZCO E 121 8.00 34.50  
6  MR ZED 6 5 31 42 54¼ 68½ 625¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 12.00 47.10  
7  T. J. HOUSE 7 6 62½ 65 710¼ 713½ 734½ (balcom cliff)CRUZ DIAZ 121 20.00 49.60  
 
EMD-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STAY SASSY 5 2 22 2½   3.2 1hd (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.60 33% 2.00 0.50 W
1  HANNAHAZA HETTY 1 4 32½ 3½   2nk 2hd (crowe shelly)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00 P
3  NORTHERN LINCHPIN 3 5 44 42   42¼ 36½ (crowe shelly)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 18.60  
7  SENSIBLE LUTE 7 1 12 1½   1nk 49 (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 3.80  
4  HOLDMYGOLDMISSY 4 7 610 66¼   57¼ 517 (essex charles)RADKE K 121 6.00 7.60  
2  CLEARWATER BELLE 2 6 710 76¾   68¼ 619 (baze rob)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00 37.50  
6  LIBBY'S GAMBIT 6 3 56 56   78¼ 721¼ (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 3.00 28% 2.60 11.00  
 
EMD-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WITHEE 2 5 2nk 21   1nk 12 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 34% 2.00 1.60 W
1  SPARKS FLYIN 1 6 1nk 11   2nk 22 (raudales)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 4.50 11% 7.90 11.90 P
4  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 4 3 42 33   32 34¼ (jenne bonnie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00 22% 3.60 9.00 S
3  LARSEN BAY 3 7 710 76   43½ 44½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 15.00 22.80  
6  SILENT DECLARATION 6 1 31 44½   55½ 57½ (soranno jill)RADKE K 125 6.00 16.80  
7  WEGOTBEERONICE 7 2 53 65   65¾ 68¾ (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 2.00 1.10  
5  MIST OONA B 5 4 64 55   75¾ 710¼ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 10.00 12.00  
SCR  CONTEJAS               ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:18
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:101     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PIRATE RED 2 3 21 1nk   1½ 11¾ (jenne bonnie)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 28.60 W
6  PETER FLIES 6 1 11 2nk   2½ 21¾ (lawrence heath)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 61% 0.60 1.40 P
4  DIVERSIFUL 4 2 74 53¾   32 32 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.00 1.50  
7  TIGER TOO 7 5 63 42¾   43½ 44½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.50 4.90  
5  CAPIAT 5 4 52 32½   55½ 510¾ (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 23.80  
3  SMILING PREACHER 3 7 42 64¾   68½ 613 (bean a)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 11% 8.20 7.80  
1  GOTHAM'S FINALE 1 6 31½ 76¼   714½ 727 (lawrence heath)OROZCO E 121 20.00 28.00  
 
EMD-5   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:44
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAINT SISTA 5 4 41 42   32½ 11¾ (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 6.00 3.20  
9  OUT OF STARS 8 1 63½ 64   43½ 21¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 5% 19.00 5.00 P
5  LASSIE CAT 4 3 1½ 2nk   11 31¾ (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 2.50 9% 10.00 2.50 S
3  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 2 5 3½ 1nk   21 42½ (crowe shelly)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 19% 4.20 3.30  
1  BIKINI NATION 1 6 52 53   75½ 55¾ (markle dan)OROZCO E 121 15.00 22.00  
7  PRINCESS PAYTON 6 7 74½ 74½   64½ 66 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 45% 1.20 4.60  
8  SETTLER'S COVE 7 2 2½ 3½   54½ 78¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 15.00 26.00  
4  G G RULES 3 8 87½ 810½   813½ 829 (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 38.00  
SCR  MISS MENSA               (metz jeffrey)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
 
EMD-6   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:12
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXECUTIVE ACTION 1 8 54 53¾ 41½ 1nk 1¼ (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 72% 0.40 1.50 W
10  STATE OF THE UNION 8 4 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 5.00 3.50  
3  HEY SEQUOIA 3 6 75½ 76¼ 74¾ 43 35 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00 ★ 5.00 S
2  RAAJIN RIBBON 2 7 32 33 31 31½ 45½ (metz jeffrey)ORTIZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
8  R B EYE 7 5 65½ 65¼ 64¾ 74¾ 58¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 14.90  
7  DYF 6 3 43 43¼ 51¾ 53¼ 69½ (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 6.00 ★ 19.40  
5  TWO PRINCES 4 1 88½ 88¾ 88¾ 87¾ 711¾ (raudales)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 20.00 34.80  
6  PROUD LION 5 2 1½ 2nk 2nk 64¼ 813½ (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00 14.50  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 125 3.00    
SCR  SHERM               ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSQUITO FLEET 1 3 32 32 31½ 21 1¾ (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 3.50 18% 4.50 3.40 W
7  COBRA JET 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 2¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 28% 2.50 1.80 P
9  A VIEW FROM ABOVE 8 5 1½ 1½ 2nk 31 36 (cooper kay)ANAYA V 123 8.00 9.70  
2  MAHI MAHI 2 4 53½ 54½ 54 47 415½ (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 123 10.00 10.40  
4  LEPRINO 4 8 76¾ 77½ 65½ 69 519 (peery debbie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 18% 4.70 2.90  
8  MARCH ON LINCH 7 6 43½ 42½ 43½ 58 620¼ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00 34.70  
3  SPROSTON 3 7 63¾ 65½ 76½ 712 728¾ (nunnally jen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 20.00 49.10  
6  RIP CITY 5 2 821¾ 827½ 836½ 852 881¼ (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00 6.30  
SCR  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ)               (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 14% 6.30    
 
EMD-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:08
See original race card.
:233 :47 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ITSTEQUILA TALKIN 5 1 2nk 2nk   11 15½ (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 31% 2.20 0.60 W
2  POCKET KNIFE 2 2 1nk 1nk   21 25½ (carlson a)OROZCO E 121 8.00 3.60  
1  RIVER DANCE 1 5 55½ 47½   36 310½ (freeman scot)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 15% 5.60 7.40 S
5  MY YVONNE 3 3 43½ 59½   59 414 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 3.70  
7  NADITA 4 4 31½ 32½   46 515 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 20.00 20.20  
SCR  ANOTHER TEN               ( )TBA null      
SCR  APRICOT BRANDY               (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 119 12.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  BELLAREIGN               (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  CAPE UNION               (troiani niccolo)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.