Handicappers' Racing Form
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Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
EMD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (7/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-6   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-7   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-8   Win (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
EMD-1   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET MOGUL Aug20 Aug06 Jun09 May19 Feb17 (soranno jill)ORTIZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Aug04 Jul09 Jul02 Jun24 Jun04 (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.00    
3  POCO DIABLO ROJO Sep03 Aug19 Aug11     (baze robert)OROZCO E 121 8.00    
4  THE GOLDEN EGG Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  BRANNIGAN Aug27 Aug04 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.80    
6  MR ZED Aug27 Aug20       (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
7  T. J. HOUSE Aug20 Aug11       (balcom cliff)CRUZ DIAZ 121 20.00    
 
EMD-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANNAHAZA HETTY         (crowe shelly)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLEARWATER BELLE         (baze rob)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
3  NORTHERN LINCHPIN         (crowe shelly)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
4  HOLDMYGOLDMISSY         (essex charles)RADKE K 121 6.00    
5  STAY SASSY Jul23 Jul03 Sep17     (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Aug19 Jul30       (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  SENSIBLE LUTE Aug19 Jul03 Jun03 May20   (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
 
EMD-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKS FLYIN Aug27 Jul28 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (raudales)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 4.50 11% 7.90    
2  WITHEE Sep02 Aug13 Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  LARSEN BAY Aug26 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 15.00    
4  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 (jenne bonnie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
5  MIST OONA B Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 May29 Apr26 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
6  SILENT DECLARATION Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul03 (soranno jill)RADKE K 125 6.00    
7  WEGOTBEERONICE Aug27 Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Nov05 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 2.00    
SCR  CONTEJAS Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTHAM'S FINALE         (lawrence heath)OROZCO E 121 20.00    
2  PIRATE RED Aug20 Aug05       (jenne bonnie)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMILING PREACHER Aug27 Aug19       (bean a)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 11% 8.20    
4  DIVERSIFUL Aug27 Jul22 Oct30 Sep21   (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.00    
5  CAPIAT Aug04 Jun09 May06 Apr18 Apr04 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
6  PETER FLIES Aug20         (lawrence heath)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
7  TIGER TOO Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02   (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
 
EMD-5   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKINI NATION Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May27 (markle dan)OROZCO E 121 15.00    
SCR  MISS MENSA Sep03 Jul09 Jun16 Jun04 May21 (metz jeffrey)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
3  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Sep03 Aug06 Jul21 Jun17 Jun03 (crowe shelly)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  G G RULES Aug26 Aug12 Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
5  LASSIE CAT Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 May29 (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 2.50 9% 10.00    
6  SAINT SISTA Sep02 Jul29 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 6.00    
7  PRINCESS PAYTON Sep03 Jul14 Jul01 May20 Sep10 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 45% 1.20    
8  SETTLER'S COVE Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 15.00    
9  OUT OF STARS Aug26 Aug13 Jul21 Sep17 Aug28 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXECUTIVE ACTION Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jun23 Jun04 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 72% 0.40    
2  RAAJIN RIBBON Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun09 (metz jeffrey)ORTIZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HEY SEQUOIA Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  BARBARIAN Sep03 Aug26 Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 125 3.00    
5  TWO PRINCES Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 (raudales)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 20.00    
6  PROUD LION Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jul01 (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00    
7  DYF Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 Jun17 May29 (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 6.00 ★    
8  R B EYE Aug25 Jul23 Jun23 May29 May14 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00    
10  STATE OF THE UNION Sep03 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
SCR  SHERM Sep03         ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSQUITO FLEET Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  MAHI MAHI Aug25 Aug06 Jul03 Jun09 May21 (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
3  SPROSTON Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 Jun23 May29 (nunnally jen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 20.00    
4  LEPRINO Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 Jan26 (peery debbie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jul28 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May20 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 14% 6.30    
6  RIP CITY Jun03 May12 Apr28 Feb05 Dec26 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00    
7  COBRA JET Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 May28 Jan10 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  MARCH ON LINCH Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
9  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 May20 (cooper kay)ANAYA V 123 8.00    
 
EMD-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER DANCE         (freeman scot)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
2  POCKET KNIFE Aug19 Jul30 Jul14 Jun11 May14 (carlson a)OROZCO E 121 8.00    
SCR  APRICOT BRANDY         (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 119 12.00 12% 7.00    
5  MY YVONNE Jul07 Jun23 May13 Nov27 Nov06 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
SCR  BELLAREIGN         (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00 12% 7.00    
7  NADITA Sep02 Jul16 Sep18 Sep10 Jul15 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
SCR  CAPE UNION Aug19         (troiani niccolo)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
9  ITSTEQUILA TALKIN Aug26 Sep17       (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  ANOTHER TEN Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul07 May29 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.