Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Monday - December 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-2   TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-4 $12.80 $0.80 7%
ZIA-4   EXA (2/4/9)-(2/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
ZIA-7   WIN (9/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.40 $2.40 40%
ZIA-8   EXA (6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-8 $22.30 $2.30 12%
    TRI (6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-8-10 $143.05 $113.05 377%
    SFT (6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-8-10-1 $164.98 $152.98 1275%
ZIA-10   WIN (7/10/12/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $12.40 $2.40 24%
    EXA (7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-12 $45.30 $25.30 127%
    TRI (7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-12-10 $107.05 $77.05 257%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 6 7 31½ 2nk 12 12½ 16½ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 123 4.00 19% 4.20 0.60 W
6  DIRT FLIRT 4 4 52¾ 53 33½ 33½ 26½ (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 8.00 7.20  
5  ROCKIN MARIE 3 1 2nk 1nk 22 22½ 38 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 13% 6.80 2.90 S
9  BRAVE CINDERELLA 7 5 74¼ 65½ 66½ 57 417½ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 10.10  
7  BELLA Y SOFIA 5 6 64¼ 76 78 78½ 520¼ (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 21.60  
2  METAROSE 2 3 41¾ 42½ 55½ 46½ 622¼ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 15% 5.80 27.40  
1  CRIMSON LADY 1 2 1nk 3½ 44½ 68 725¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 10.70  
SCR  IT'S SAUL RIGHT               (gonzalez sal)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
SCR  OUR TIME TO SHINE               (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00    
SCR  REVENOOR WOMAN               (gonzalez andres)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:214 :444       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIABOLICAL FIRE 1 4 32½ 31½   1½ 12¼ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 1.50 43% 1.30 1.50 W
6  TWO STEP JACK 6 8 54 43½   31 22¼ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 2.50 25% 3.00 1.40 P
4  MR RIGGER 4 2 1½ 11   2½ 33¾ (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
8  DISCOVERY N SIGHT 8 1 74¼ 65   53½ 46½ (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5.20  
5  TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE 5 3 2½ 21   43 59 (woolley benni)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 61.20  
3  SHAME ON ROOSTER 3 5 44 54½   65 69¼ (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 53.90  
7  SERPICO R S S 7 6 64¼ 76   76½ 715½ (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 6.50  
2  D C GUN RUNNER 2 7 87¼ 89   89½ 818¾ (s)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 7% 13.30 30.80  
 
ZIA-3   12/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
1:414         1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLAYTHEMARKER 2 1 41¼ 41½ 3½ 4¾ 1¼ (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.80 W
1  HENRY ON THE RUN 1 5 51¾ 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 20% 4.00 1.20 P
4  GOLDEN MERGER 4 4 31 51¾ 52 3½ 31 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 4.00 11.10  
6  ARCH CITY 6 3 21 62¼ 41 2½ 41¼ (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 6.00 8% 11.20 11.30  
5  HARDY BOY 5 2 11 1½ 1nk 51¼ 54¼ (marr h)TOHILL S 119 20.00 19.90  
7  DAN WHO 7 6 62¼ 3½ 62½ 62¼ 65 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 36.10  
3  GRIFTER 3 7 714¼ 717¼ 714½ 714¼ 719¾ (rojero c)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 70.10  
 
ZIA-4   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANDREABANANAS 3 3 31½ 31½   1½ 11¼ (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 35% 1.90 2.20 W
2  ZAPPIN 1 2 1½ 1½   2½ 21¼ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50 42% 1.40 0.90 P
3  ROCKETT'S RED CITY 2 1 2½ 2½   32½ 34 (constant ron)VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00 27.20  
9  REALLY A STORM 7 5 55 55   46½ 47½ (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
8  COUNCIL'S JAZEL 6 4 41½ 43½   57½ 510¼ (mcqueen la)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 12.60  
5  DANDY MONEY 4 7 710 77   610½ 612½ (summers nancy)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00 8.10  
7  BRANNY 5 6 66 66   714 719¾ (l)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 35.80  
SCR  BAM AGAIN               (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00    
SCR  OLIVIADIDIT               (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 1.40    
 
ZIA-5   12/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TURN ON ARCH 5 3 21 21   2nk 11¾ (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 16% 5.30 1.10 W
5  MADDIE POPPE 4 1 11 11   1nk 21¾ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00 2.80  
1  ARTFUL ROSE 1 5 31½ 31½   32 32 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.00 34% 1.90 3.40 S
8  MISS JAX 7 8 74½ 74   53¾ 42¼ (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 7% 13.90 9.30  
3  EVIL TEMPTATION 3 6 52 52½   43½ 53¾ (quiroz fil)RODRIGUEZ H 121 12.00 86.00  
7  CATTY DOM 6 7 86 86   75¼ 65 (summers nancy)VERGARA P 121 8.00 20.40  
9  JEDI JENNIE 8 2 41½ 42½   64¾ 76¾ (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 ######  
2  LA DIAMANT 2 9 916 914   98¼ 811 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 20.20  
10  BAND OF GLORY 9 4 63 63½   87¼ 911¾ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 21% 3.80 10.70  
SCR  BERNICE WHO               (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BLUE COWGIRL 8 5 31½ 31   2nk 1nk (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 15.00 28.00  
11  M G BIG MARIA 10 7 54 52½   1nk 2nk (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 1.80 39% 1.50 1.00 P
10  ILOVEHER 9 10 87¼ 84¾   62¼ 32¼ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 6.00 10% 9.50 5.20 S
3  HEMATITE 3 9 1010¼ 107¾   83 42¾ (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 30.00 57.40  
12  SIMPERING SMILE 11 6 64¼ 63½   31½ 53 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 119 20.00 22.20  
7  WHAT A MEMORY 6 4 75¾ 74½   72½ 63¼ (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 6% 15.70 8.50  
8  MAUI SUNRISE 7 1 2nk 2nk   42 75½ (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
4  JERSEY DOLL 4 2 1nk 1nk   52¼ 85¾ (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 119 30.00 48.20  
1  FIRST TIME PLAYER 1 8 97¼ 95¾   95 97½ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 80.00  
2  IT'S A GIRL 2 3 42 41½   105½ 108¼ (green greg)TOHILL S 121 5.00 22% 3.60 2.30  
5  MISS CONTINENTAL 5 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (buechler j)HEBERT J 119 20.00 38.40  
SCR  WE WANT ANOTHER               (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 30.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:22 :441 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MOONLITE GRAHAM 5 1 11 12   13 14 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 123 4.00 12% 7.10 3.20 W
6  COLONEL KLINK 4 4 34½ 36½   35 24 (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 123 8.00 3.50  
4  OUR VALLEY 3 3 21 22   23 35½ (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 32.50  
12  BIG LEAGUE BENNY 9 2 76½ 710   47 47¼ (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 ★ 9.20  
9  OPEN ROAD 7 6 45 58½   57½ 510½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 59% 0.70 1.60  
2  POLICY LIMIT 1 5 55½ 47½   68 610¾ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 69.50  
8  REVIVAL 6 7 66½ 69   78½ 713¾ (green greg)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 ★ 5.80  
3  IZERIGHT 2 9 916½ 913½   911½ 814¼ (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 12.50  
11  JUST CALL ME KEN 8 8 810½ 811½   811 914¼ (r)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
SCR  BULLAWAY               (long vaughn)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
SCR  RHODIUM RUNNER               (christian billy)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
SCR  STORMIN FAST               (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TATAS JOE MARK 5 4 43½ 31   11 17½ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 2.00 54% 0.90 0.60 W
8  RYDERS UP 7 8 97¾ 74¼   53 27½ (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.70 P
10  GAMBLING COWBOY 9 3 32 41¼   21 37¾ (middleton a)CARRENO J 121 6.00 11% 7.90 16.90 S
1  SMOOTH BLUES 1 2 2nk 1nk   42 49 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
3  COMING ABSTRACTION 3 9 87¾ 95   75 59¼ (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 123 12.00 14.80  
7  WATFORD 6 6 75¾ 84¾   106 611 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.50 8% 10.80 5.10  
9  FLAG THE FOOTNOTE 8 1 1nk 2nk   31½ 711 (alamos armand)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 30.00 30.40  
4  ABSTRACT KAT 4 10 108¾ 105½   96 811¼ (g)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 9.30  
2  WILD FIREWATER 2 7 64¾ 64¼   85½ 912½ (meridyt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 9.80  
11  MICKEYS GOLD 10 5 53¾ 51¾   63½ 1012¾ (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 39.80  
SCR  MASTERCLASS               (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALOTALUCK 5 2 2½ 2nk   12½ 12½ (garrett j)CEBALLOS F 120 20.00 12.90  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
6  NO TROUBLE (IRE) 6 4 41½ 31   22½ 22½ (marr h)TOHILL S 120 4.50 11% 8.40 6.70 P
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PHILADELPHIA GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
1  LOVESUNFAIR 1 1 1½ 1nk   34 38½ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.50 22% 3.60 1.50 S
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
7  CASH FOLLOWS ME 7 5 62¼ 41¼   46 49¼ (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 6.00 16.10  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
4  CHASING COYOTES 4 6 52 52¼   57 510 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 3.80  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
2  GOING TO SANANTONE 2 3 31½ 72¾   67½ 610¼ (c)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 44% 1.30 8.60  
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  SON OF A BLING 8 10 105¼ 94½   78½ 710½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
3  DINI DICE 3 8 93¾ 83   88½ 812¼ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
9  RED FROST 9 9 73¼ 62¼   910½ 919¼ (long vaughn)VALDEZ S 120 12.00 11.90  
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
10  SUENO REAL 10 7 83¼ 106½   1013½ 1030 (quiroz fil)RODRIGUEZ H 120 20.00 37.60  
  (by DORRANCE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
 
ZIA-10   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:214 :451       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NO REGRETS N LOVE 10 1 62¾ 43   1nk 12½ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 11% 8.00 5.20 W
12  GIVE N RECEIVE 11 2 2nk 11½   2nk 22½ (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 6.00 14% 6.10 5.80 P
10  EMOTION N DEVOTION 9 6 31½ 32   31 32½ (marr h)TOHILL S 123 4.00 22% 3.60 4.20 S
3  REAL ME 3 5 51¾ 53½   42 43¼ (munoz gua)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 24.10  
1  SHELLY D'ORO 1 4 41¾ 64½   73½ 54¼ (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 6% 17.10 2.90  
2  OUR ISLAND GIRL 2 8 94¾ 85½   63 64½ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 71.90  
5  LEONAS GIRL 5 9 84¼ 97   95¼ 76¼ (riddle e)ROSENDO J 119 20.00 12.30  
4  FLOWER POWER 4 3 1nk 21½   52½ 87 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 29.60  
6  LIL MISS CASSIE 6 7 73¾ 75   85 98¼ (villalobos)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 20.30  
9  MARKING'S MIRACLE 8 10 105 107½   106¾ 109¾ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 26.10  
7  I WIN LIKA GIRL 7 11 115 119½   118¼ 1111¾ (c)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 27% 2.60 3.10  
SCR  BYE BYE BROOKY               (chavez arturo)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
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