Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - December 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(2/4/9)-(1/10/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (2/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/9)-(2/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/9)-(2/4/9)-(2/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9)-(1/10/6/8)-(11/2/10/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (1/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6/8)-(11/2/10/7/8)-(9/7/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (11/2/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/10/7/8)-(11/2/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/10/7/8)-(11/2/10/7/8)-(11/2/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (9/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/11)-(9/7/12/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/11)-(9/7/12/8/11)-(9/7/12/8/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (6/10/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8)-(6/10/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/10/7/1/8)-(2/1/6/8/3)-(7/10/12/11/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
ZIA-9   WIN (2/1/6/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/8/3)-(2/1/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/8/3)-(2/1/6/8/3)-(2/1/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/6/8/3)-(7/10/12/11/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (7/10/12/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1)-(7/10/12/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON LADY Nov13 Sep22 Sep01 Jun25 Jun02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00    
2  METAROSE Nov14 May06 Apr19 Mar29 Mar04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  REVENOOR WOMAN Oct07 Sep03 Jul16 Apr02 Mar05 (gonzalez andres)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
SCR  OUR TIME TO SHINE Nov27 Sep23 Mar05 Jan29 Dec12 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00    
5  ROCKIN MARIE Nov14 Oct11 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  DIRT FLIRT Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 8.00    
7  BELLA Y SOFIA Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 Aug25 Jun11 (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
8  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Nov13 Sep22 Aug25 Aug05 Jul01 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
9  BRAVE CINDERELLA Nov14 Oct07 Sep03 Jul16 Mar26 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
SCR  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Nov21 Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 (gonzalez sal)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIABOLICAL FIRE Nov20 Sep10 Jul16 Apr29 Mar28 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 1.50 43% 1.30    
2  D C GUN RUNNER Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
3  SHAME ON ROOSTER Nov20 Sep10 Jul14 Jun25 May21 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
4  MR RIGGER Nov07 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Sep10 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Oct14 Sep23 Jul16 Jun25 May20 (woolley benni)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
6  TWO STEP JACK Nov20 May13 Mar28 Aug10 Apr22 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  SERPICO R S S Nov07 Aug26 Aug04 Jun04 May21 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
8  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Nov20 Jul16 Jun23 Jun10 Mar28 (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY ON THE RUN Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 Sep08 Apr16 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 20% 4.00    
2  PLAYTHEMARKER Dec04 Nov20 Oct08 Sep09 Jul15 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
3  GRIFTER Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 Jul08 Jun24 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00    
4  GOLDEN MERGER Nov20 Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 4.00    
5  HARDY BOY Aug06 Dec01 Nov01     (marr h)TOHILL S 119 20.00    
6  ARCH CITY Nov20 Apr02 Mar19 Jan29 Jan08 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 6.00 8% 11.20    
7  DAN WHO Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLIVIADIDIT Nov07 Oct21 Nov14 Oct18   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 1.40    
2  ZAPPIN Nov07 Oct21 Sep09     (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  ROCKETT'S RED CITY Dec04 Nov20 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 (constant ron)VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00    
4  ANDREABANANAS Dec04 Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 Sep27 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 35% 1.90    
5  DANDY MONEY May20 May07 Apr22 Apr02 Mar21 (summers nanc)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00    
SCR  BAM AGAIN         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00    
7  BRANNY Dec04 Jul22 Dec20 Dec01 Nov14 (l)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
8  COUNCIL'S JAZEL Sep02 Aug05 Mar05 Feb19   (mcqueen la)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
9  REALLY A STORM Nov07 Oct20 Sep27 Sep14 Jun24 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTFUL ROSE Nov20 Oct01 Sep08 Jul15 Jun10 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  LA DIAMANT Nov13 Oct13 Sep02 May14 Apr29 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
3  EVIL TEMPTATION Dec05 Nov20 Nov13 Oct13 Aug06 (quiroz fil)RODRIGUEZ H 121 12.00    
SCR  BERNICE WHO Nov20 May14 Apr29 Apr09 Mar28 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
5  MADDIE POPPE Nov21 Oct15 Mar21 Aug19 May08 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00    
6  TURN ON ARCH Nov21 Oct15 Sep03 Aug25 Aug04 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
7  CATTY DOM Nov27 Oct13 May14 Apr29 Apr22 (summers nancy)VERGARA P 121 8.00    
8  MISS JAX Nov13 Oct04 Sep07 Aug25 Jul29 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 7% 13.90    
9  JEDI JENNIE Nov13 Oct13 Oct01 Sep15 Sep02 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
10  BAND OF GLORY Nov20 Sep15 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
ZIA-6   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST TIME PLAYER Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 Aug28 Aug22 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
2  IT'S A GIRL Nov20 Jun23 Oct08 Sep02 Jun26 (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
3  HEMATITE Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 May20 May07 (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 30.00    
4  JERSEY DOLL Oct25 Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 119 30.00    
5  MISS CONTINENTAL Nov20 Oct04 Sep07 Aug05 Jun24 (buechler j)HEBERT J 119 20.00    
SCR  WE WANT ANOTHER Nov13 Sep17 Sep09 Sep01 Aug18 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 30.00    
7  WHAT A MEMORY Nov13 Oct27 Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 6% 15.70    
8  MAUI SUNRISE Nov20 Sep27 Aug26     (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLUE COWGIRL Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 Aug06 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
10  ILOVEHER Nov13 Oct14 Sep30 May21 May07 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 6.00 10% 9.50    
11  M G BIG MARIA Nov13 Oct14 Jul02 Jun08 Apr29 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 1.80 39% 1.50    
12  SIMPERING SMILE Nov13 Oct25 Oct04 Sep23 Sep07 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 119 20.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BULLAWAY Nov13 Oct22 Oct06 Sep09 Jul30 (long vaughn)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
2  POLICY LIMIT Oct25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00    
3  IZERIGHT Nov27 Oct15 Aug26 Apr22 Mar26 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
4  OUR VALLEY Oct29 Oct15 Sep13 Sep04 Aug17 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  RHODIUM RUNNER Oct27 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 (christian billy)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
6  COLONEL KLINK Nov14 Oct14 Jul22 Jul09 Jul03 (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
7  MOONLITE GRAHAM Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 Aug12 Jul03 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
8  REVIVAL Nov06 Sep11 Aug12 Jul13 Jul05 (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 6.00 ★    
9  OPEN ROAD Oct22 Sep02 Jul30 Jun16 May21 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  STORMIN FAST Oct13 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul14 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
11  JUST CALL ME KEN Oct15 Sep24 Aug26 Jul09 Jun17 (r)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  BIG LEAGUE BENNY Oct27 Oct06 Sep24 Aug13 Aug05 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 ★    
 
ZIA-8   12/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH BLUES Oct20 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILD FIREWATER Nov21 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Jul30 (meridyt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
3  COMING ABSTRACTION Oct22 Sep24 May21 May06 Apr15 (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 123 12.00    
4  ABSTRACT KAT Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 (g)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
SCR  MASTERCLASS Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 Jul22 May20 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
6  TATAS JOE MARK Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 Sep20 Sep02 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
7  WATFORD Nov14 Oct27 Sep17 Sep09 Jul23 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
8  RYDERS UP Nov20 Oct29 Oct20 Oct07 Sep10 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Oct22 Jul23 Jun25 Mar14 Feb12 (alamos armand)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 30.00    
10  GAMBLING COWBOY Oct27 Sep23 Sep03 May20 May06 (middleton a)CARRENO J 121 6.00 11% 7.90    
11  MICKEYS GOLD Oct27 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVESUNFAIR Nov06         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
2  GOING TO SANANTONE Jul03 Jun04       (c)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  DINI DICE         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
4  CHASING COYOTES         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
5  ALOTALUCK         (garrett j)CEBALLOS F 120 20.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
6  NO TROUBLE (IRE) Aug27         (marr h)TOHILL S 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PHILADELPHIA GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
7  CASH FOLLOWS ME         (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 6.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
8  SON OF A BLING Nov06 Jun03       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
9  RED FROST Jul30         (long vaughn)VALDEZ S 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
10  SUENO REAL         (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
  (by DORRANCE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
 
ZIA-10   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLY D'ORO Nov14 Oct06 Apr02 Mar21 Feb21 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 6% 17.10    
2  OUR ISLAND GIRL Oct13 Sep08 May14 Apr15 Mar21 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
3  REAL ME Oct20 Sep02 Apr30 Mar28 Jan24 (munoz guadalupe )HEBERT J 121 20.00    
4  FLOWER POWER Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 Sep15 Jul29 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
5  LEONAS GIRL Nov27 Nov07 Sep07 Jul08 Mar26 (riddle e)ROSENDO J 119 20.00    
6  LIL MISS CASSIE Nov07 Jul14 Jun11 Apr22 Mar19 (villalobos a)JAIME R 121 15.00    
7  I WIN LIKA GIRL Nov20 Nov07 Sep20 Jul23 May06 (c)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  BYE BYE BROOKY Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 (chavez arturo)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
9  MARKING'S MIRACLE Nov20 Oct28 Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00    
10  EMOTION N DEVOTION Nov07 Jul14 Jun11 Mar14 Jan31 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
11  NO REGRETS N LOVE Nov14 Aug04 Jul14 Mar21 Jan17 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
12  GIVE N RECEIVE Nov07 Sep02       (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.