The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ZIA-1   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.20 -6.00
ZIA-2   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.20 -6.00
ZIA-3   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
ZIA-4   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
ZIA-5   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
ZIA-6   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $23.20 -6.00
ZIA-7   Win (3/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $20.60 -8.00
ZIA-8   Win (11/5/2/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 3.20
ZIA-9   Win (9/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
ZIA-10   Win (8/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $14.40 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:22 :451       1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA BABY 2 2 1nk 1½   11(cappellucci di)FUENTES A 119 1.00 1.60  
CAIRO MOON 6 6 4 4   42(cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 119 12.00 12% 7.60 2.90 P
LEMON DROP LADY 1 3 3 32   34 38 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 121 4.00 3.20  
SILVERS LAST DANCE 4 1 2nk 2½   2411½ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 58% 0.70 2.30  
WE WANT ANOTHER 7 4 6 67   5516¼ (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 30.00 5% 19.00 38.10  
HEMATITE 5 5 5 5   68 616¾ (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 33.50  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 3 7 7 7   712 725 (lavanway )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 30.00 74.30  
 
ZIA-2   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:214 :442       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPPER MILL 4 2 1½ 11   11 1(kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 4.60  
FLYIN FALYNN 6 5 3 4   32(zamora chris)FUENTES A 121 5.00 38% 1.60 3.10 P
ALBERTA SUN 3 4 6 5   54 3(summers nancy)VERGARA P 121 4.50 39% 1.60 0.80 S
EMILY SMILES 5 1 2½ 21   21 44 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
STACI'S RED DRESS 2 3 4 32   42 5(green greg)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 11.70  
FREEBRITNEY 1 6 5 65   66(martinez este)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 15.00 12.70  
SCR  CANOODLING               (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 1.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:114     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDATLANTICSTORM 5 2 4 4 21 12 1(ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 25% 3.10 1.00 W
DIAMOND RIM 7 6 65 64 53 22 2(mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 3.70 P
ZIA ZAPPER 6 7 710 78 7 632 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 20.00 50.70  
CYBERVIKING 3 4 3 31 42 34(fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 2.50 28% 2.60 4.30  
HOLDEN THE LUTE 4 5 5 5 6 53 5(williams sean)FUENTES A 121 3.00 16% 5.20 3.00  
GOZILLA 1 1 2nk 1½ 11 4611¾ (caldwell r)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 35.90  
ALGEBRA 2 3 1nk 2½ 3 75 712½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 19.50  
 
ZIA-4   12/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
1:202         1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPRESS IN FRONT 3 6 5 3   31½ (martinez a)TORRES J 120 6.00 29% 2.50 2.80 W
LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS 7 1 2nk 1½   11 2½ (kereluk edward)JUAREZ J 120 2.50 2.50  
GETAWAY DAY 1 5 1nk 2½   21 32 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 4.00 24% 3.20 3.50 S
CHASENUINMYDREAMS 2 2 3.2 42   446 (summers nan)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 2.60  
BLAME GAME 4 3 6 6   65(lam)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 22.00  
STEPMONSTER 6 4 4 5   57 615¼ (study d)CARRENO J 120 3.00 9.60  
CAVIAR APPEAL 5 7 714¼ 719½   719½ 727½ (study richard )CARDENAS JACOB 120 12.00 15% 5.70 14.10  
SCR  SNOWBIRD               (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($22.5K) 35 ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:114     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG WAY 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (cappellucci jim)JUAREZ J 121 1.80 51% 1.00 0.70 W
PASS IT AROUND 7 2 3½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 2.10  
OKAY YOU SAY WHEN 2 3 2nk 3.2   33(moreno edga)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 22.00 S
PARS AND BIRDIES 1 7 63 7   749 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 5.00 26% 2.80 7.20  
STOREY'S FURY 3 8 74 4   45(lambert cas)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
ANGELA'S ANGEL 8 6 5 5   53 610¾ (gonzalez )FUENTES T 121 30.00 31.90  
COMFORT KISS 6 5 42 6   64 713 (young a)CARDENAS JACOB 121 15.00 33.50  
HAPPY SLAPPER 4 4 85 8   87 819¼ (constant )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 18.30  
SCR  GEEBEESBIGBOY               (aldavaz her)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORNS N HALOS 8 1 1 11 12 14 1(fincher w)JUAREZ J 120 8.00 10.60  
SINAI 3 4 3 21 22 24 2(marr joel)FUENTES T 120 5.00 5.30  
COMFORT J BYRD 4 3 2 3 33 3315¼ (zamora chris)FUENTES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
AARON WHO 7 2 4 4 4 47 418 (gonzalez jose)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 3.10  
REYNALDO P. 5 7 5 5 54 5524 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 2.00 51% 0.90 2.00  
MAGIC STORM 1 6 6 6 68 612 625 (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 120 2.50 22% 3.50 3.30  
STORM CENT 2 5 8 816 819 821 741¾ (valerio g)ROSENDO J 117 30.00 41.90  
EL HUARACHE PRIETO 6 8 7 74 79 718 844 (chavez a)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 30.00 48.50  
 
ZIA-7   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
1:383         1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUSH THROUGH 1 4 3 31 3 31(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 9.30  
10  AVALON KING 8 1 21 2nk 2½ 2½ 2(martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 20.00 10% 9.50 2.60 P
SOUTHERN SUMMER 3 3 4 4 42 42 3(armstrong sherr)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 34% 2.00 1.30 S
DOM WAYNE 5 5 53 5 5 53 46 (gon)DE CRUZ 121 4.00 10.60  
B A CHAMPION 2 2 11 1nk 1½ 1½ 5(valdez-cabral)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
SOULONG 4 7 7 7 6 64 611 (quiroz f)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 32.70  
GREENBRIER 6 6 65 6 75 7711 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 10.60  
GODDARD 7 8 8 8 8 8824¾ (quiroz fi)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00 4.40  
SCR  KEEN CAT               (olguin ever)TOHILL S 121 2.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR BULL               (hancock david )VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:221 :453       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG 5 5 42 42   21 11 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 6.00 29% 2.50 5.60 W
TEE ROY 3 4 11 2nk   11 21 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 6% 15.20 4.90 P
12  I AM THE JUAN 12 1 21 1nk   32 33 (morales danny)PEREZ A 121 20.00 17.40  
11  MUSICS MY VICE 11 11 7 7   54 4(fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.30  
B R KIDD ROCK 2 7 9 63   75 57 (buechler j)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 12% 7.50 4.20  
FARMER FRED R F 4 12 12 9   97 6(martinez edwin)VILLANUEVA C 121 50.00 77.50  
HENNESSY LOOKER RF 7 3 32 31   478 (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 10.00 13.20  
WEALTH N HEALTH 6 6 10 10   108(valerio raymon)FUENTES A 121 4.00 8.80  
DEACON BEACON 8 9 6 5   6910¼ (young a)TORRES J 121 30.00 75.00  
TARDY CAT 9 10 11 11   118 1011 (riddle j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
10  SWAYEM 10 2 5 8   86 1113¼ (hines lar)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 15.00 87.10  
CASH CRUZER 1 8 8 12   121216¼ (martinez h)CARRENO J 123 30.00 66.30  
 
ZIA-9   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:221 :444       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTER OF SOUL 6 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1(martinez esteb)FUENTES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 2.20 W
SEA TO SUCCESS 8 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(martinez es)VALENZUELA A 123 3.50 45% 1.20 6.50 P
10  TACTICAL ATTACK 9 1 3½ 3.2   3½ 3(martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 6.10  
SILK TRADE 2 5 8 7   544 (williams sean)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 3.60  
TONY'S TAPIT 7 7 4 5   43 5(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 27% 2.80 6.30  
OHHH DADDY 5 4 52 4   64 6(rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 12.70  
TOO MUCH ACTION 3 9 7 6   75 79 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
K P AIM HIGH 1 6 6 8   86 811 (gonzalez jose)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 21.50  
COLOR ME GONE 4 8 9 9   912 920 (martinez edwin)VILLANUEVA C 121 50.00 62.20  
SCR  PRAYER OF JABEZ               (ker)DE CRUZ 123 1.80    
 
ZIA-10   12/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:223 :46       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTFUL CRITIC 7 6 4 52   42 1hd (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00 6.20  
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE 9 1 1nk 2nk   11 2hd (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
STYLE BENDER 4 3 2nk 1nk   21 3(martinez h)CARRENO J 121 3.50 5% 18.80 4.80 S
OL' MCCLINTOCK 6 2 31 4   54(lambert casey)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 4.60  
MR RIGGER 3 4 5 31   354 (lam)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 2.50  
AMERICAN SOLO 8 8 7 6   66(gonzalez carlos)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 35% 1.80 4.20  
ABSTRACT KAT 1 7 8 76   77 78 (gonzales)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 55.00  
D C GUN RUNNER 5 5 6 8   810 811¾ (saucedo rene)CARDENAS JACOB 121 20.00 41.30  
BEAU VERO 2 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 33% 2.00 8.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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