tbrs_res_20230819.ely.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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White Pine Racing
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick											Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type		Numbers											Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

ELY-2			Win		(6/3/5)											3		$2.00	$6.00	3	1		1	$3.80		$3.80		-2.20
			Exacta		(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)											6		$2.00	$12.00	3-5	2		1	$24.00		$24.00		12.00
			Trifecta		(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)											6		$2.00	$12.00	3-5-2	3		0	$139.60				-12.00
ELY-5			Win		(1/6/5)											3		$2.00	$6.00	6	1		1	$8.20		$8.20		2.20
			Exacta		(1/6/5)-(1/6/5)											6		$2.00	$12.00	6-1	2		1	$15.40		$15.40		3.40
			Trifecta		(1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5)											6		$2.00	$12.00	6-1-4	3		0	$53.20				-12.00
ELY-6			Win		(6/2/1)											3		$2.00	$6.00	3	1		0	$14.20				-6.00
			Exacta		(6/2/1)-(6/2/1)											6		$2.00	$12.00	3-2	2		0	$36.40				-12.00
			Trifecta		(6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1)											6		$2.00	$12.00	3-2-5	3		0	$122.00				-12.00
ELY-7			Win		(4/2/5)											3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$10.20		$10.20		4.20
			Exacta		(4/2/5)-(4/2/5)											6		$2.00	$12.00	5-2	2		1	$25.80		$25.80		13.80
ELY-8			Win		(1/7/4/5)											4		$2.00	$8.00	7	1		1	$11.00		$11.00		3.00
			Trifecta		(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)											24		$2.00	$48.00	7-3-2	3		0	$1553.00				-48.00
			Daily Double		(4/2/5)-(1/7/4/5)											12		$2.00	$24.00	5-7	2		1	$250.40		$250.40		226.40
ELY-9			Win		(6/5/1/4)											4		$2.00	$8.00	6	1		1	$9.20		$9.20		1.20
			Exacta		(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)											12		$2.00	$24.00	6-5	2		1	$13.40		$13.40		-10.60
			Trifecta		(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)											24		$2.00	$48.00	6-5-4	3		1	$175.60		$175.60		127.60
ELY-10			Win		(5/3/6)											3		$2.00	$6.00	7	1		0	$12.60				-6.00
			Exacta		(5/3/6)-(5/3/4/6)											9		$2.00	$18.00	7-5	2		0	$33.60				-18.00
			Trifecta		(5/3/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)											18		$2.00	$36.00	7-5-4	3		0	$220.00				-36.00

Simulator Race results


ELY-2			08/19/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST				Claiming ($3.5K)									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 4:30
	1:00¹				1:00¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
3	SPEED PASS						3	1		1^½		1^½		1^½	1^nk		(hanson )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125								2.00	29%	2.40	0.90	W
5	AGENT GIBBS						5	3		3¹		3¹		2^½	2^nk		(mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								4.00	11%	7.80	6.40	P
2	CLIPPERVILE GIRL						2	5		4²		5^5½		4³	3^4½		(scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 122								8.00			8.70
1	SHACKALOV						1	4		5^3½		4^1½		3^2½	4^6¼		(pope stuart)WOOD DAKOTA 125								6.00			15.50
6	WASSUP BRO						6	2		2^½		2^½		5^3½	5^14½		(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125								2.50	39%	1.50	2.30
4	DARK LEOPARD						4	6		6^7½		6⁷		6^7½	6^23¼		(dennis cli)HERNANDEZ J 125								10.00			5.20

ELY-5			08/19/2023	3630ft		DIRT			FAST				Maiden Claimer ($3.5K)									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:00
	1:09¹				1:09¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	CALL SPIKE						6	1		1^nk		1^½		1^1½	1^5½		(rios lo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125								2.00	14%	6.40	3.10	W
1	MIDNIGHT DARE						1	2		2^nk		2^½		2^1½	2^5½		(mitchell r)WOOD DAKOTA 122								2.50	40%	1.50	2.30	P
4	RUNAWAY ANNIE						4	4		5⁹		5^7½		3⁴	3^5½		(dominguez joe)AGUILAR DANIEL 119								3.00			1.50
5	ALLISON'S SURPRISE						5	5		6^9½		6⁸		4⁵	4^6¾		(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122								5.00	10%	8.70	7.90
2	B D R TIMBERLY						2	3		3⁸		3^6½		5⁶	5^8¼		(hansen l)JAMES JARELL 122								1.60			8.70
3	TAMA SETS DA PACE						3	6		4^8½		4⁷		6¹²	6^19¼		(meineke je)HERNANDEZ J 119								6.00			7.20

ELY-6			08/19/2023	3630ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($6K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:30
	1:07²				1:07²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
3	KESSLER KID						3	5		4^2¼		3^½		1^½	1^¾		(dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 125								20.00			6.10
2	IOWA HAWKEYE						2	4		5^3¼		4^2½		3²	2^¾		(dominguez joe)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								2.00	17%	4.90	1.80	P
5	QUALITY GRANDSON						5	6		6^4¾		6^6½		6⁷	3^3¼		(meineke jessica)WOOD DAKOTA 122								1.60			4.30
6	CHARLIE MO						6	1		1^nk		2^nk		2^½	4^5¼		(dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 125								3.50	49%	1.00	2.60
4	NUMMY NUM						4	2		2^nk		1^nk		4^3½	5⁷		(warren kay)HERNANDEZ J 125								3.50			4.90
1	AFTER CHAD						1	3		3^.2		5^3½		5^5½	6^7¼		(hansen l)JAMES JARELL 125								10.00	7%	13.20	5.60

ELY-7			08/19/2023	3630ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($6K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 7:00
	1:07²				1:07²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	FOREST ECHO						5	2		2^½		2^nk		1^½	1²		(dahlke )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125								12.00	5%	19.00	4.10	W
2	ASSETS INCLUDED						2	5		4^7½		4^6½		3^1½	2²		(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125								15.00	9%	10.20	4.70	P
4	GREY POINT						4	1		1^½		1^nk		2^½	3^2¼		(warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 125								1.80	65%	0.50	0.80	S
3	FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM						3	4		3^6½		3⁵		4^2½	4^3½		(gale bryce)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								2.50			3.10
1	SUPERSERG						1	3		5^9½		5⁸		5^5½	5^10½		(dennis g)ELLIS DEVON 125								6.00			6.80
SCR	TORCH																(scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 125								5.00

ELY-8			08/19/2023	4620ft		DIRT			FAST				WPR Fillies									Purse ($10.6K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 7:30
	1:29¹				1:29¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
7	RED NOON RISING						7	5		7^6½		6³		1^1½	1⁴		(dennis g)WOOD DAKOTA 125								4.00	8%	11.20	4.50	W
3	HAYNESPUN						3	6		4²		3^½		2^1½	2⁴		(warren kay)HERNANDEZ J 125								3.50			11.30
2	CLAY'S CLOUD BURST						2	8		8⁸		2^nk		3²	3⁵		(mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								1.60			2.70
5	NAP TIME						5	4		6^5½		7^4½		4⁴	4^7½		(luna ceasar)JUAREZ BRAYAN 125								8.00	5%	19.00	6.00
6	COME CORRECT						6	3		3^1½		8^6½		5^4½	5^8¼		(williams dewey)ZAVALA JULIAN 125								8.00			17.80
8	SILK ROAD SALLY						8	7		5⁵		5^1½		6^10½	6^15¼		(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125								3.50			10.30
1	DR GS SWEETIE						1	1		1^nk		1^nk		7^16½	7^17¾		(hadley )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125								2.00	65%	0.50	3.70
4	TOO MUCH HEAVEN						4	2		2^nk		4¹		8^24½	8^45¾		(giles dustin)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 125								15.00	5%	19.00	3.10
SCR	PARTY POLICE																(dennis cl)LOPEZ BENJAMIN 125								10.00
SCR	SHEZA DELIGHT																(dahlke kyle)JAMES JARELL 125								10.00

ELY-9			08/19/2023	5490ft		DIRT			FAST				Norm Goeringer Memorial									Purse ($10.4K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 8:00
	1:48¹				1:48¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	BLUE SKYE JADE						6	1		1^½		1^½	1¹	1¹	1^hd		(williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								1.20	42%	1.40	3.60	W
5	BARBIERE						5	2		4^2½		4⁴	4²	2¹	2^hd		(tsosie terrill)ELLIS DEVON 125								2.50	21%	3.80	2.50	P
4	KOA CAT						4	6		6⁶		6¹¹	5⁵	4⁴	3^3¼		(scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 125								10.00	5%	19.00	9.90	S
1	COLLINS AVE						1	3		3¹		3²	3^1½	3³	4^6½		(warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 125								8.00	16%	5.30	12.20
7	REDDISH						7	7		5^4½		5⁸	6⁸	5¹²	5¹⁹		(meineke)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125								5.00			4.00
3	HALFBARBERBINGIE						3	5		7⁹		7¹⁴	7¹⁴	6¹⁵	6^24¼		(giles dustin)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 125								3.50			4.10
2	BELLAS KITTY						2	4		2^½		2^½	2¹	7²⁴	7^53¼		(amezcua ruben)CORTEZ LUIS 122								4.50			3.80

ELY-10			08/19/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST				Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($6K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 8:30
	1:03²				1:03²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
7	LEAPSTER						7	6		5^2½		2¹		1¹	1^¾		(scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 122								6.00			5.30
5	FLUORITE						5	1		2^nk		4^3½		4²	2^¾		(dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 119								2.00	63%	0.60	1.60	P
4	VINCE'S CORNER						4	4		6^3½		6⁸		3^1½	3^1¾		(mitchell r)WOOD DAKOTA 122								3.50	★		10.40	S
1	SCHEELITE						1	3		1^nk		1¹		2¹	4^4¼		(hansen l)CORTEZ LUIS 119								2.50			12.40
2	MAKE MY YEAR						2	7		7^13½		7¹⁶		5¹⁰	5¹¹		(mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 125								5.00			5.40
3	LOW KEY NATION						3	2		4²		3³		6²⁰	6^25½		(tsosie terrill)ELLIS DEVON 125								4.50	13%	6.80	15.00
6	LADY AUDUBON						6	5		3¹		5⁴		7²⁸	7^43½		(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119								8.00	5%	19.00	1.70



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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