The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ZIA-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
ZIA-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.00 -6.00
ZIA-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
ZIA-4   Win (9/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
ZIA-5   Win (12/11/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
ZIA-6   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 24.80
ZIA-7   Win (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
ZIA-8   Win (6/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
ZIA-9   Win (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.80 -8.00
ZIA-10   Win (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:221 :581         :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON BOURBON 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 1¼ (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 4.50 24% 3.20 2.60 W
PEGGY B FAST 5 3 2½ 2½   1nk 2¼ (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 13.50  
FOR FUN 2 5 53 3   42 3(green greg)PEREZ A 121 1.60 28% 2.60 3.10 S
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 4 4 43 42   34(green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 2.30  
KELLEY SAID READY 3 1 32 53   55(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 1.80  
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP               (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
SCR  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL               (lam)DE CRUZ 121 2.50    
 
ZIA-2   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:222 :582         :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER POWER 3 1 11 11   11 1½ (trujillo jeffre)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 5.00  
REAL ME 7 7 21 21   21 2½ (munoz guada)VALENZUELA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
SHELL GAME 6 5 4 31   33(constant )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 9.80  
DOUBLE STORM 5 4 6 5   54 4(gonzalez c)CARRENO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00 98.50  
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS 1 2 5 6   64 57 (chavez a)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00 35.10  
ATHENA'S STORM 2 3 31 4   42 68 (gonzalez carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.60 6.20  
WAY RITE 4 6 7 7   76 710½ (valdez-cabral )FUENTES A 123 2.00 64% 0.60 1.30  
 
ZIA-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:22 :453       1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGALLALA 5 4 4 21   11 1nk (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.00 20% 4.10 3.70 W
RASPBERRY WINE 6 7 7 4   42nk (rus)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5.50 P
IZE A BLAST 4 5 32 3   33½ (ashford trist)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 20% 4.00 0.70 S
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE 3 2 53 53   542 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.50 39% 1.60 5.00  
KOMFORT KID 7 1 12 11   21 5(quiroz f)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00 13.30  
HIGH CALIBER CATCH 1 6 6 7   6619½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00 46.80  
LOTSA STEEL 2 3 22 6   7721½ (alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00 16.20  
SCR  FLAT OUT LOUDER               (ashford tristan)HEBERT J 120 30.00    
SCR  FLYING FIRST CLASS               (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:222 :454       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO GAIN N NO WILL 8 2 52 2nk   1nk 1¼ (marr joel)FUENTES T 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.50 W
STACKERS 1 3 21 1nk   2nk 2¼ (barrios bernadett)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 20% 4.10 3.60 P
JR'S CONFIDENCE 7 9 87 7   57 312 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 121 20.00 ######  
LET EM RIP 6 7 42 4   4412 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
UNBRIDLED OPTIMIST 2 4 11 3.2   35 513½ (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00 8% 11.20 4.90  
DESERT PUNK 3 5 63 6   68 614½ (marr joe)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 13.30  
10  RIG IT RIGHT 9 8 9 9   913½ 721 (honesto l)CARDENAS JACOB 121 50.00 95.70  
F J COLIMA 5 1 3 5   7821¾ (padilla franci)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 30.00 85.60  
BULL MOON 4 6 74 8   812 931¼ (buechler sim)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00 32.60  
SCR  WALL STREET LOGIC               (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 1.60    
 
ZIA-5   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:22 :573         :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  DISCREET TIGER 12 5 4¾ 2nk   11¼ (chacon r)VERGARA P 121 1.80 41% 1.40 2.30 W
11  NEW MEXICO JEREMY 11 6 6 5   22¼ (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 27% 2.80 1.70 P
10  ARIMONY 10 9 8 8   333 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 31.30  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 5 3 5 7   547 (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 25.50  
LIL LATIGO 3 10 9 63   957 (lavanway )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 58.70  
PATRIOT 9 4 2nk 1nk   44 6(rojero c)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 6% 14.50 15.40  
TAINO HOUSE 4 8 7 95   87 7(alvarez sergio)HEBERT J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SUNDAY BLING 8 1 3.2 42   66 8(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 3.30  
VODKA TWIST 6 7 10 107   1010½ 910½ (padilla fran)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00 5% 19.00 65.80  
OKIE FREEZE 7 11 11 11   71011 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 12.60  
HEART TO BEAT 1 2 1nk 31   1110½ 1113 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 15.00 25.60  
ABETEMARCO 2 12 1213¾ 1218½   1213½ 1217¾ (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 30.00 77.60  
 
ZIA-6   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONKY TONK HONEY 6 10 7 4   21 12 (buechler j)ROSENDO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
SWAYING LASSIE 3 2 1nk 1nk   11 22 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 120 4.50 32% 2.10 1.80 P
11  QUEEN HADASSAH 9 3 10 95   43 34 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 120 8.00 4.80 S
12  SWEET BUT FIERCE 10 7 2nk 2nk   34(green greg)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6.90  
SMARTSEA 7 8 6 74   7512¼ (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 32.10  
PINK LACE 4 4 5 52   5612½ (weeder tim)TOHILL S 120 10.00 29.60  
MARKED ACE 5 6 42 63   8713¾ (lambert cas)VALENZUELA A 120 15.00 31.00  
MISS WONDERFUL 2 9 8 8   97 814½ (aldavaz hermen)CARDENAS JACOB 120 20.00 73.10  
SILVER ABSTRACT 1 1 3½ 3½   6914¾ (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50  
LIGHTNING GIRL 8 5 9 108   101015¾ (lamber)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 60.90  
SCR  JULIA'S PROMISE               (cappellucci ji)FUENTES A 120 6.00    
SCR  MYSTIC GOLD               (olguin ever)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:223 :453       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A JOURNEY 8 4 21 31   2½ 1(marr h)TOHILL S 119 1.50 42% 1.40 1.20 W
SHELLY D'ORO 2 3 31 1nk   1½ 2(amparan alb)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 18.80 P
PUT A BOW ON IT 9 5 5 42   53(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 9.00 S
BLUE BLAZES WHO 7 2 6 8   44(summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 5 9 9 9   75(chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00 73.80  
NOBLE MISS 6 8 8 7   66(gonzalez andres)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 34% 1.90 5.00  
PRINCESS KITTEN 3 1 11 2nk   31 7(martinez e)CARRENO J 119 10.00 55.00  
CATRIANNA 1 7 7 6   84 87 (bolen br)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00 11.30  
ANNA B 4 6 4 5   99(lamber)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 12.50  
 
ZIA-8   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWELVE STARS 3 5 41 4   2nk 12 (martinez este)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 4.00 DQ↓5
HALOSNHEAVEN 9 3 3½ 2nk   1nk 22 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 22% 3.60 3.10 W
LOVE TANK 6 6 8 7   41 3(summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 1.00 30% 2.40 1.10 P
BIRDIE CURDY 8 1 2nk 3.2   54(gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 10.00 23.20  
PRESENT TIME 5 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 56 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 119 8.00 8% 11.00 9.50  
WON SASSY RIDE 1 9 9 8   66(wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 12.00 45.50  
FOOLISH DELIGHT 2 8 7 5   7713 (green greg)FUENTES A 119 8.00 19% 4.30 6.60  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 7 7 6 6   810½ 822¾ (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 119 30.00 24.40  
CAROLYN'S WAY 4 4 52 9   925½ 9100 (lavanway )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 50.00 ######  
 
ZIA-9   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT AN IDEA 5 3 31 2½   1nk 1(fincher w)VERGARA P 123 8.00 2.90  
JUSTICE DEPARTMENT 3 2 2½ 3½   31 2(summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 5.00 29% 2.40 5.80 P
MCMERCELUS 1 1 1½ 1½   2nk 3(summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00 41% 1.40 3.50 S
10  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM 8 5 64 86   54 4(cappellucci jim)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 4.20  
12  TEXTHELEGEND 10 6 53 75   65 5(mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 10.10  
11  GREY STORM 9 4 43 53   46(gonzalez jose)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 16.40  
GOLDEN MERGER 4 7 9 9   87(rojero c)ROSENDO J 123 10.00 19.30  
CAPITAL JOKE 2 10 8 6   78(green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
TRUST MANDO 7 8 7 4   97 911½ (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 121 20.00 58.70  
CREATIVE MIRACLE 6 9 10 109   108 1011¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  BEAU VERO               (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  SMARTY'S BACK               (gavin tom)CHAPA I 121 50.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:22 :444       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON DROP GOLD 2 3 1½ 11   12 1(fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 12.00 10% 9.00 2.60 W
CHARLIES HURRICANE 1 2 4 4   32(buechler j)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 3.70  
MARQUIS LIGHTS 6 1 5 3   22 3(chavez a)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50 33% 2.00 1.70 S
TIGHT FITTIN JEANS 4 5 2½ 21   4410 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 32% 2.20 4.40  
SHUGS CHARLIE 3 6 6 6   5518¾ (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 36.60  
LINE CALL 5 4 3 5   610 626½ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00 4.50  
SCR  BYE BYE BRANDI               (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 121 1.60    
SCR  MAMA WAS A ROCKET               (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.