Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $7.20 $3.20 80%
ZIA-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-7 $28.70 $19.70 219%
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-7-5 $28.60 $19.60 218%
    SFT (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 18 $0.10 $1.80  6-7-5-3 $10.67 $8.87 493%
ZIA-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $30.80 $24.80 413%
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $56.50 $44.50 371%
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/12/11)-(1/3/6/12/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-3-11 $149.05 $131.05 728%
    SFT (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/12/11)-(1/3/6/12/11)-(1/3/6/12/11) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-3-11-12 $122.03 $114.83 1595%
ZIA-7   EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $34.30 $22.30 186%
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-2-9 $72.60 $54.60 303%
    SFT (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-2-9-7 $40.95 $33.75 469%
ZIA-10   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:221 :581         :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET ON BOURBON 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 1¼ (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 4.50 24% 3.20 2.60 W
6  PEGGY B FAST 5 3 2½ 2½   1nk 2¼ (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 13.50  
2  FOR FUN 2 5 53 31½   42 31¼ (green greg)PEREZ A 121 1.60 28% 2.60 3.10 S
5  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 4 4 43 42   31½ 41½ (green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 ★ 2.30  
3  KELLEY SAID READY 3 1 32 53   52½ 53¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 1.80  
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP               (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
SCR  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL               (l)DE CRUZ 121 2.50    
 
ZIA-2   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:222 :582         :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLOWER POWER 3 1 11 11   11 1½ (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 ★ 5.00  
7  REAL ME 7 7 21 21   21 2½ (munoz gua)VALENZUELA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
6  SHELL GAME 6 5 41¼ 31   31½ 34¾ (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 9.80  
5  DOUBLE STORM 5 4 63¾ 53½   54 46¼ (gonzalez c)CARRENO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00 98.50  
1  LAS TRES MARIPOSAS 1 2 52¾ 63¾   64 57 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00 35.10  
2  ATHENA'S STORM 2 3 31 41½   42 68 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.60 6.20  
4  WAY RITE 4 6 74¾ 76¾   76 710½ (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 2.00 64% 0.60 1.30  
 
ZIA-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:22 :453       1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OGALLALA 5 4 42½ 21   11 1nk (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.00 20% 4.10 3.70 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of CLARA ALLEN by CURLIN)
7  RASPBERRY WINE 6 7 75½ 42½   41½ 2nk (r)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 ★ 5.50 P
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  IZE A BLAST 4 5 32 31½   31½ 3½ (ashford tri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 20% 4.00 0.70 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
3  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE 3 2 53 53   52½ 42 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.50 39% 1.60 5.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOUTHERN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  KOMFORT KID 7 1 12 11   21 53¾ (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00 13.30  
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
1  HIGH CALIBER CATCH 1 6 64½ 75½   67½ 619½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00 46.80  
  (by BRADESTER out of CALIBER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  LOTSA STEEL 2 3 22 64½   79½ 721½ (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00 16.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  FLAT OUT LOUDER               (ashford tristan)HEBERT J 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LITTLE BIT LOUDER by DIABOLICAL)
SCR  FLYING FIRST CLASS               (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
 
ZIA-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:222 :454       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NO GAIN N NO WILL 8 2 52 2nk   1nk 1¼ (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.50 W
  (by PUNCTUATE out of COLORS OF POMPEII by TRICKY CREEK)
1  STACKERS 1 3 21 1nk   2nk 2¼ (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 20% 4.10 3.60 P
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of STAX by SIGHTSEEING)
8  JR'S CONFIDENCE 7 9 87 74¾   57 312 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 121 20.00 ######  
  (by COMFORT out of LA CONFIDENCE by GRAND SLAM)
7  LET EM RIP 6 7 42 42¼   45½ 412 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of BELLA ANATOLA by ESKENDEREYA)
2  UNBRIDLED OPTIMIST 2 4 11 3.2   35 513½ (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00 8% 11.20 4.90  
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of PROPHESIZE by PRECOCITY)
3  DESERT PUNK 3 5 63 64¼   68 614½ (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 13.30  
  (by PUNCTUATE out of PRECIOUS BAY QUEEN by BAY HEAD KING)
10  RIG IT RIGHT 9 8 98½ 97¾   913½ 721 (honesto joe )CARDENAS JACOB 121 50.00 95.70  
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of TRUELY TRICKY by TRICKY CREEK)
6  F J COLIMA 5 1 31½ 53¼   79½ 821¾ (padilla fran)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 30.00 85.60  
  (by SONG OF NAVARONE out of SWEET RUMOR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  BULL MOON 4 6 74 85¾   812 931¼ (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00 ★ 32.60  
  (by KING BULL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WALL STREET LOGIC               (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 1.60    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
 
ZIA-5   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:22 :573         :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  DISCREET TIGER 12 5 4¾ 2nk   12½ 1¼ (chacon sebedeo )VERGARA P 121 1.80 41% 1.40 2.30 W
11  NEW MEXICO JEREMY 11 6 61¾ 52½   22½ 2¼ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 27% 2.80 1.70 P
10  ARIMONY 10 9 84¼ 84½   33½ 33 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 31.30  
5  THOUGHTS OF GOLD 5 3 51¼ 73½   55½ 47 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 25.50  
3  LIL LATIGO 3 10 95¾ 63   97½ 57 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 58.70  
9  PATRIOT 9 4 2nk 1nk   44 67¾ (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 6% 14.50 15.40  
4  TAINO HOUSE 4 8 73¾ 95   87 78½ (alvarez sergio)HEBERT J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
8  SUNDAY BLING 8 1 3.2 42   66 89¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 3.30  
6  VODKA TWIST 6 7 106¼ 107   1010½ 910½ (padilla fr)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00 5% 19.00 65.80  
7  OKIE FREEZE 7 11 116¾ 118½   76½ 1011 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 12.60  
1  HEART TO BEAT 1 2 1nk 31   1110½ 1113 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 15.00 25.60  
2  ABETEMARCO 2 12 1213¾ 1218½   1213½ 1217¾ (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 30.00 77.60  
 
ZIA-6   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HONKY TONK HONEY 6 10 73¾ 41½   21 12 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
3  SWAYING LASSIE 3 2 1nk 1nk   11 22 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 4.50 32% 2.10 1.80 P
11  QUEEN HADASSAH 9 3 107¾ 95   43 34 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 120 8.00 ★ 4.80 S
12  SWEET BUT FIERCE 10 7 2nk 2nk   32½ 49¾ (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 10.00 ★ 6.90  
7  SMARTSEA 7 8 63¾ 74   75½ 512¼ (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 32.10  
4  PINK LACE 4 4 52¼ 52   53½ 612½ (weeder tim)TOHILL S 120 10.00 29.60  
5  MARKED ACE 5 6 42 63   86½ 713¾ (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 15.00 31.00  
2  MISS WONDERFUL 2 9 84¼ 84½   97 814½ (aldavaz herm)CARDENAS JACOB 120 20.00 73.10  
1  SILVER ABSTRACT 1 1 3½ 3½   64½ 914¾ (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50  
8  LIGHTNING GIRL 8 5 96¼ 108   108½ 1015¾ (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 60.90  
SCR  JULIA'S PROMISE               (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 6.00    
SCR  MYSTIC GOLD               (olguin ever)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:223 :453       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIZ A JOURNEY 8 4 21 31   2½ 12¼ (marr h)TOHILL S 119 1.50 42% 1.40 1.20 W
2  SHELLY D'ORO 2 3 31 1nk   1½ 22¼ (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 ★ 18.80 P
9  PUT A BOW ON IT 9 5 51¾ 42   52½ 32½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 ★ 9.00 S
7  BLUE BLAZES WHO 7 2 62¾ 84¼   41½ 43¼ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
5  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 5 9 97¾ 95¾   73½ 55½ (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00 73.80  
6  NOBLE MISS 6 8 83¾ 73¼   63½ 66¼ (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 34% 1.90 5.00  
3  PRINCESS KITTEN 3 1 11 2nk   31 76¼ (martinez e)CARRENO J 119 10.00 55.00  
1  CATRIANNA 1 7 73¼ 62¾   84 87 (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00 11.30  
4  ANNA B 4 6 41¼ 52½   94½ 97¼ (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 12.50  
 
ZIA-8   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TWELVE STARS 3 5 41 41¾   2nk 12 (martinez es)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 ★ 4.00 DQ↓5
9  HALOSNHEAVEN 9 3 3½ 2nk   1nk 22 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 22% 3.60 3.10 W
6  LOVE TANK 6 6 84¼ 74¼   41 33¼ (summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 1.00 30% 2.40 1.10 P
8  BIRDIE CURDY 8 1 2nk 3.2   51½ 45½ (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 10.00 23.20  
5  PRESENT TIME 5 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 56 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 119 8.00 8% 11.00 9.50  
1  WON SASSY RIDE 1 9 95¾ 84¾   63½ 68¼ (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 12.00 45.50  
2  FOOLISH DELIGHT 2 8 72¾ 52¾   75½ 713 (green greg)FUENTES A 119 8.00 19% 4.30 6.60  
7  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 7 7 62¼ 63¾   810½ 822¾ (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 119 30.00 24.40  
4  CAROLYN'S WAY 4 4 52 98¾   925½ 9100 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 50.00 ######  
 
ZIA-9   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WHAT AN IDEA 5 3 31 2½   1nk 11½ (fincher w)VERGARA P 123 8.00 2.90  
5  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT 3 2 2½ 3½   31 21½ (summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 5.00 29% 2.40 5.80 P
2  MCMERCELUS 1 1 1½ 1½   2nk 31½ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00 41% 1.40 3.50 S
10  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM 8 5 64 86   54 43¾ (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 ★ 4.20  
12  TEXTHELEGEND 10 6 53 75   65 56½ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 10.10  
11  GREY STORM 9 4 43 53   43½ 66¾ (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 16.40  
6  GOLDEN MERGER 4 7 97¼ 97½   86½ 77¾ (rojero c)ROSENDO J 123 10.00 19.30  
3  CAPITAL JOKE 2 10 84¾ 64½   75½ 88¼ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
9  TRUST MANDO 7 8 74½ 42½   97 911½ (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 121 20.00 58.70  
8  CREATIVE MIRACLE 6 9 108¼ 109   108 1011¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  BEAU VERO               (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  SMARTY'S BACK               (gavin tom)CHAPA I 121 50.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:22 :444       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEMON DROP GOLD 2 3 1½ 11   12 15¾ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 12.00 10% 9.00 2.60 W
1  CHARLIES HURRICANE 1 2 41½ 42½   32½ 25¾ (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 6.00 3.70  
8  MARQUIS LIGHTS 6 1 51¾ 31½   22 37½ (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50 33% 2.00 1.70 S
4  TIGHT FITTIN JEANS 4 5 2½ 21   43½ 410 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 32% 2.20 4.40  
3  SHUGS CHARLIE 3 6 67¾ 67½   58½ 518¾ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 36.60  
6  LINE CALL 5 4 31½ 56½   610 626½ (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00 4.50  
SCR  BYE BYE BRANDI               (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 121 1.60    
SCR  MAMA WAS A ROCKET               (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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