Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(9/1/2/7)-(12/11/9/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (9/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/7)-(9/1/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/7)-(9/1/2/7/4)-(9/1/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/7)-(12/11/9/4/6)-(1/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (12/11/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/11/9/4/6)-(12/11/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/11/9/4/6)-(12/11/9/4/6)-(12/11/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (12/11/9/4/6)-(1/3/6)-(8/6/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/12/11)-(1/3/6/12/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (6/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/5)-(6/9/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/5)-(6/9/2/5/3)-(6/9/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/5)-(2/5/3/8)-(8/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8/10)-(2/5/3/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/8)-(8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON BOURBON Mar26 Feb24 Jan16 Jan05 Dec18 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
FOR FUN Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 Sep08 Jul04 (green greg)PEREZ A 121 1.60 28% 2.60    
KELLEY SAID READY Nov21 Oct04 Sep13 Aug19 Jul01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00    
SCR  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Sep14 Jul16 Apr02 Jan31 Jan08 (l)DE CRUZ 121 2.50    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Dec12 Nov21 Sep27 Sep10 Aug05 (green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
PEGGY B FAST Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 May07 Apr22 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Apr01 Feb19 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Nov14 Oct20 Oct01 Aug20 Jul29 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00    
ATHENA'S STORM May21 Apr15 Feb28 Feb05 Jan01 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.60    
FLOWER POWER Dec11 Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 Sep15 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50    
WAY RITE Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 Jul08 May13 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
DOUBLE STORM Nov14 Oct20 Oct01 May21 May22 (gonzalez c)CARRENO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHELL GAME Nov14 Oct11 Sep15 Jun24 Jun02 (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
REAL ME Dec11 Oct20 Sep02 Apr30 Mar28 (munoz gua)VALENZUELA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH CALIBER CATCH Nov28 Nov06 Jun03     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CALIBER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LOTSA STEEL Nov06         (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Nov28 Nov06 Aug28     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOUTHERN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  FLYING FIRST CLASS Nov28 Jun03       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
IZE A BLAST Nov28 Oct21       (ashford tri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
OGALLALA Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 Sep30   (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CLARA ALLEN by CURLIN)
RASPBERRY WINE Nov28         (r)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  FLAT OUT LOUDER Nov30 Oct25 Sep27 Sep07   (ashford tristan)HEBERT J 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LITTLE BIT LOUDER by DIABOLICAL)
KOMFORT KID Dec05 Oct11 Aug05     (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
 
ZIA-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKERS Nov27 Nov07 Oct18 Oct04 Sep02 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of STAX by SIGHTSEEING)
UNBRIDLED OPTIMIST Nov27 Nov07 Dec06 Nov14   (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of PROPHESIZE by PRECOCITY)
DESERT PUNK Nov07 Aug18       (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of PRECIOUS BAY QUEEN by BAY HEAD KING)
BULL MOON         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WALL STREET LOGIC Mar28 Mar12 Feb14 Jan22   (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 1.60    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
F J COLIMA Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Jun17 (padilla fran)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 30.00    
  (by SONG OF NAVARONE out of SWEET RUMOR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LET EM RIP Nov27 Nov07 Sep14 Sep02 Feb14 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of BELLA ANATOLA by ESKENDEREYA)
JR'S CONFIDENCE Nov28 Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 Jul15 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 121 20.00    
  (by COMFORT out of LA CONFIDENCE by GRAND SLAM)
NO GAIN N NO WILL Nov27         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of COLORS OF POMPEII by TRICKY CREEK)
10  RIG IT RIGHT Dec05 Sep14 Jul16 Jun03 Mar21 (honesto joe )CARDENAS JACOB 121 50.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of TRUELY TRICKY by TRICKY CREEK)
 
ZIA-5   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART TO BEAT Nov21 Oct15 Sep03 May20 Apr30 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
ABETEMARCO Nov14 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Jun11 (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 30.00    
LIL LATIGO Nov20 Oct27 Oct18 Sep30 Sep17 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
TAINO HOUSE May14 Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 Jan14 (alvarez sergio)HEBERT J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Nov06 Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 Jul31 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
VODKA TWIST Dec04 Nov06 Sep09 Aug25 Jun04 (padilla fr)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
OKIE FREEZE Nov21 Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 May06 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
SUNDAY BLING Nov20 Oct07 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00    
PATRIOT Nov21 Oct27 Jul08 Jun16 Jun04 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 6% 14.50    
10  ARIMONY Nov21 Oct25 Oct15 Oct04 Sep10 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00    
11  NEW MEXICO JEREMY Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Jul23 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 27% 2.80    
12  DISCREET TIGER Oct27 Oct04 Sep17 Jun23 May20 (chacon sebedeo )VERGARA P 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
ZIA-6   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER ABSTRACT Nov20 Oct08       (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
MISS WONDERFUL Nov20 Oct08 Sep08     (aldavaz her)GILES FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SWAYING LASSIE Nov20         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
PINK LACE Nov21         (weeder tim)TOHILL S 120 10.00    
MARKED ACE Nov20         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 15.00    
HONKY TONK HONEY         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMARTSEA Nov20         (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
LIGHTNING GIRL Nov20         (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
SCR  JULIA'S PROMISE         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 6.00    
SCR  MYSTIC GOLD Nov14         (olguin ever)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
11  QUEEN HADASSAH Oct08 Sep08       (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 120 8.00    
12  SWEET BUT FIERCE Dec05 Jun09       (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATRIANNA Dec12 Nov14 Oct13 Sep02   (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00    
SHELLY D'ORO Dec11 Nov14 Oct06 Apr02 Mar21 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
PRINCESS KITTEN Oct28 Oct14 Sep02 Aug05 May20 (martinez e)CARRENO J 119 10.00    
ANNA B Nov21 Oct18 Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct06 Sep27 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 123 20.00    
NOBLE MISS Nov06 Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 Jul23 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
BLUE BLAZES WHO Dec12 Nov06 Sep14 Mar21 Mar07 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ A JOURNEY Nov27 Nov07 Mar26 Feb26 Jan01 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 1.50 42% 1.40    
PUT A BOW ON IT Dec12 Nov13 Jun25 May04 Apr16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON SASSY RIDE Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 Aug05 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 12.00    
FOOLISH DELIGHT Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan29 (green greg)FUENTES A 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
TWELVE STARS Dec05 Nov13 Apr04 Mar11 Feb14 (martinez es)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
CAROLYN'S WAY Nov13 Oct18 Oct01 Sep15 Aug27 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 50.00    
PRESENT TIME Nov13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 119 8.00 8% 11.00    
LOVE TANK Nov28 Sep24 Aug18 Jul08 May20 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 1.00 30% 2.40    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Oct29 Oct06 Oct01 Sep11 Sep04 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 119 30.00    
BIRDIE CURDY Nov21 Nov13 Aug31 Jun10 May28 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 10.00    
HALOSNHEAVEN Nov28 Nov06 Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
ZIA-9   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMARTY'S BACK Aug27 Aug12       (gavin tom)CHAPA I 121 50.00    
MCMERCELUS Nov27 Nov20 Apr22 Mar26 Feb28 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
CAPITAL JOKE Dec04 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Jun23 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEAU VERO Nov27         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Sep01 Aug13 Jun24 May21 Feb11 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
GOLDEN MERGER Dec11 Nov20 Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 123 10.00    
WHAT AN IDEA Nov20 Oct07 Sep03 Aug11 Mar19 (fincher w)VERGARA P 123 8.00    
CREATIVE MIRACLE Oct11 Sep16 Aug19 Dec16 Nov16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRUST MANDO Nov14 Oct22 Sep08 Jul14 May14 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
10  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM Nov28 Nov14 Sep24 Sep16 Aug19 (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 123 4.00    
11  GREY STORM Nov20 Nov07 Oct04 Sep04 Jul16 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
12  TEXTHELEGEND Nov28 Nov07 Sep25 Aug27 Apr30 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIES HURRICANE Nov27 Sep03 Sep17 Aug19 Jul17 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 6.00    
LEMON DROP GOLD Oct22 Sep23 Jul23 Aug27 Aug07 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 12.00 10% 9.00    
SHUGS CHARLIE Nov27 Feb05 Jan29 Jan01 Dec12 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Nov27 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep04 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  MAMA WAS A ROCKET Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Sep03 Jul22 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00    
LINE CALL Nov07 Sep14 Mar21 Jan17 Dec19 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00    
SCR  BYE BYE BRANDI Nov27 Nov06 Sep04 Apr09 Mar05 (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 121 1.60    
MARQUIS LIGHTS Nov27 Nov07 Oct22 Mar07 Feb05 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.