Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Gillespie County Fair
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
GIL-7   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD 4 3 1nk 1nk   14½ 16¼ (schneider)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 125 8.00 4.20  
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
3  IRON MOON 3 2 56 35½   24½ 26¼ (hernandez al)HERBERT R 125 12.00 6% 15.00 7.60 P
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  SMARTY'S BACK 6 6 66½ 69¼   45 36¼ (gavin tom)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 128 3.00 35% 1.90 3.70 S
  (by SMARTY JONES out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
5  ONEDRUNKNIGHT 5 5 2nk 2nk   34½ 47¾ (triana alfred)GARCIA GASPAR 125 1.80 36% 1.80 1.80  
  (by DOME out of ALLEY'S LADY by IN EXCESSIVE BULL)
2  CHIQUITA CHANNEL 2 1 45½ 48   58½ 512¼ (lloyd caro)MORALES X 123 20.00 11.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
1  FLYING IN HOT 1 4 34½ 58¼   611½ 619¾ (echeverria h)VERA T 128 10.00 2.60  
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HOT GLAM GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RIP RULES               (ech)URIETA MANUEL 125 2.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of GIRL'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
 
GIL-8   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  IMMA BLINGY LAD 7 4 43½ 45   14 15½ (ascencio j)MORALES X 125 6.00 6.80  
1  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR 1 1 2½ 21   24 25½ (swift )HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★ 6.70 P
3  GOLD CAPO 2 2 33½ 34½   37½ 39 (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 3.50 11% 7.70 2.30 S
8  DAVID'S DREAM GIRL 6 7 56 55½   48½ 413 (jenkins bobb)VIVANCO L 123 5.00 4.00  
5  CLIPPER COVE 3 3 1½ 11   59 515 (del olmo-rodr)GARCIA GASPAR 123 4.00 44% 1.30 3.20  
6  KRISYNSARASBOY 4 6 68 69½   611½ 618¾ (uriegas )ALVIZO RAFAEL 128 20.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
7  BLUEGRASS DIXIE 5 5 79 712½   714½ 720¾ (herrera a)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 6.60  
SCR  BRAZIL NUT               (kotara ronal)VIVANCO L 128 8.00    
SCR  NATURAL HIGH               (echeverria h)VERA T 128 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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