Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fresno
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $7.60 $3.60 90%
FNO-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    DD (1/4)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $28.80 $16.80 140%
FNO-3   PK3 (1/4)-(5/3/1)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-3-5 $28.10 $10.10 56%
FNO-5   EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $8.70 $2.70 45%
FNO-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $5.20 $1.20 30%
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $4.50 $2.50 125%
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $19.80 $7.80 65%
FNO-7   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $41.20 $37.20 930%
    EXA (7/4)-(7/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-7 $65.10 $61.10 1528%
    DD (4/3)-(7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4-4 $179.20 $171.20 2140%
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/3)-(7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4-4 $310.40 $298.40 2487%
Simulator Race results
 
FNO-1   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:224 :464 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IN HONOR OF AUTISM 4 3 21 2½   2½ 1nk (thomas ru)MARTINEZ CATALINO 119 5.00 25% 3.00 2.80 W
3  STRENGTH OF AUTISM 3 1 11 1½   1½ 2nk (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.40 0.80  
2  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 2 2 32 32   33 34¼ (galvin brendan)ROMAN A 119 3.00 4.50  
1  CHAOKOON 1 4 42½ 42½   44 46¾ (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 1.80 33% 2.00 3.50  
 
FNO-2   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BROKEN FINGER 3 1 32½ 42½ 42½ 3½ 12 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 13% 6.70 3.00 W
4  GORDY'S BOY 4 2 22 21½ 21 2nk 22 (preciado guill)ROMAN A 125 2.00 0.50  
6  EMERALD MAGIC 6 5 43 32 31 1nk 32¾ (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00 9.00  
2  MY SUNSHINE 2 4 54 53½ 53½ 43 46½ (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00 16.00  
5  N. K. ROCKET MAN 5 3 12 11½ 11 54½ 511¼ (hernandez)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.50 47% 1.10 10.70  
1  WALKING BOSS 1 6 65½ 64 64 67 612½ (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 6.00 12% 7.30 17.80  
 
FNO-3   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:221 :454 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MORNING ADDICTION 5 2 2nk 1nk   11½ 17 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 26% 2.80 0.40 W
6  BIG MAMA THORNTON 6 6 3½ 3½   32½ 27 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00 5.80  
3  PERFECTLY JULIE 3 5 52¼ 54   55 37 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 8.00 17.50  
4  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN 4 1 1nk 2nk   21½ 47¼ (stortz marcia)CRUZ M 123 2.00 8.00  
1  AIR FORCE WOMAN 1 3 42 42½   44 58¾ (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.00 32% 2.20 9.30  
2  O'NEILL'S LEGACY 2 4 65¼ 67   67 611½ (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 8.00 13% 6.50 10.60  
 
FNO-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:23 :464 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MARY MARGARET 4 5 41½ 52½   42½ 1¾ (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00 0.80  
3  SHEMAKESCENTS 3 1 1½ 11   11 2¾ (morgan d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 39% 1.50 7.20 P
1  KITTEN'S KID 1 4 31 31½   21 31¾ (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00 ★ 4.70 S
2  SMOOVE AS SILK 2 6 62½ 63   31½ 41¾ (preciado gu)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.50 5.00  
6  DRAW NEAR 6 3 52 42½   65 56¾ (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50 13.50  
5  SEASON TO REMEMBER 5 2 2½ 21   54 67 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 26% 2.80 6.90  
 
FNO-5   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :472 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DR LOW KEY 6 1 21½ 21   11 11¼ (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 122 2.50 10% 9.20 1.60 W
2  CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS 2 4 32½ 32   31½ 21¼ (thomas r)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.40 P
5  BIG DON'S SMILING 5 5 53½ 42½   42½ 31¼ (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 6.70  
4  THE SANDY SURPRISE 4 6 74¾ 63½   54 43 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00 3.70  
1  DAD BOD 1 3 11½ 11   21 54¾ (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.00 31% 2.20 6.70  
3  HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE 3 7 64½ 74½   66½ 69 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 5.00 19.80  
7  RIGHT TURN 7 2 42½ 53½   710 713¼ (morfin sergio)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00 11.40  
 
FNO-6   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPEED GRAZY 4 5 54 52¾ 42 3½ 12½ (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 44% 1.30 1.60 W
3  WELLSWORT (IRE) 3 2 32½ 31½ 31 2½ 22½ (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 3.50 31% 2.20 1.30 P
6  RACKATAPTAP 5 3 12 11½ 11 1½ 33¾ (thomas ru)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.50 5.40  
2  CHIEF WILD EAGLE 2 1 22 21½ 21 41½ 45½ (mccanna tim)RADKE K 125 3.00 5.20  
1  TAM'S TIME 1 4 43½ 42½ 54 56 59 (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 11.00  
SCR  EFFECTIVE GIG               (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 122 8.00    
 
FNO-7   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:24   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MARKSMAN ON TARGET 4 2 21 2½ 11 11 11½ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60 W
7  DUPLICATION 7 4 54 53½ 31½ 21 21½ (steiner jac)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 69% 0.40 1.40 P
1  FANTASTIC DREAM 1 3 11 1½ 54½ 64½ 31¾ (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00 17.70  
2  BEROLIJEAN (FR) 2 7 65½ 66 64½ 53½ 42 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 125 4.00 ★ 4.40  
6  ITS THIEVERY 6 1 43½ 42½ 42½ 32½ 52 (mclean bill)ROMAN A 122 4.00 1.40  
3  ALGERIA (IRE) 3 5 31½ 31 21 42½ 63½ (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 125 5.00 16.90  
5  TAKE THE TWO TEN 5 6 76½ 77 77½ 76½ 76¼ (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00 18.60  
SCR  CALARI BLUECAT               (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.