Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/3/1)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/5/2)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/5)-(2/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/1/6)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/3)-(7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
FNO-7   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOKOON Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 Jun30 May28 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Sep23 Aug13 Aug04 Jul21 Jul03 (galvin brendan)ROMAN A 119 3.00    
3  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Sep17 Jun30 May06 Feb11 Jan16 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.40    
4  IN HONOR OF AUTISM Oct01 Mar04 Feb11 Dec30 Dec09 (thomas ru)MARTINEZ CATALINO 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
FNO-2   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKING BOSS Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 May13 May07 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  MY SUNSHINE Sep23 Aug26 Jul02 May13 Apr21 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00    
3  BROKEN FINGER Oct06 Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jul28 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 13% 6.70    
4  GORDY'S BOY Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 (preciado guill)ROMAN A 125 2.00    
5  N. K. ROCKET MAN Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Aug02 Jul22 (hernandez)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.50 47% 1.10    
6  EMERALD MAGIC Oct08 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Feb17 (tamayo isidro)FLORES PABLO 125 8.00    
 
FNO-3   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR FORCE WOMAN Aug11 Jun19 May01 Apr09 Jan21 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
2  O'NEILL'S LEGACY Sep11 Sep02 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  PERFECTLY JULIE Sep10 Aug11 Jul09 Jun25 Dec09 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 8.00    
4  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 Jul09 (stortz marcia)CRUZ M 123 2.00    
5  MORNING ADDICTION Sep30 Sep01 Aug10 Jun25 Aug26 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  BIG MAMA THORNTON Oct06 Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 Aug04 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
 
FNO-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S KID Oct02 Sep11 Aug13 Jul09 May26 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00 ★    
2  SMOOVE AS SILK Oct01 Sep04 Aug27 Jun18 May14 (preciado gu)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.50    
3  SHEMAKESCENTS Sep17 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (morgan d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 39% 1.50    
4  MARY MARGARET Oct07 Sep11 Feb25 Dec30 Nov18 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
5  SEASON TO REMEMBER Mar07 Feb13 Jan17     (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  DRAW NEAR Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 Jul01 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
 
FNO-5   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAD BOD Sep18 Aug26 Aug19 Aug12 Aug04 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS Aug28 Aug04 Jun11 Sep15 Sep04 (thomas ruby)OROZCO IRVING 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Sep16 Aug27 Aug20 Aug05 Jun24 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 5.00    
4  THE SANDY SURPRISE Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
5  BIG DON'S SMILING Sep04 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
6  DR LOW KEY Sep04 Jul29 Jun30 Mar11 Feb17 (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 122 2.50 10% 9.20    
7  RIGHT TURN Jul01 Jun24 May28     (morfin sergio)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00    
 
FNO-6   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAM'S TIME Sep25 Sep11 Mar18 Mar04 Feb25 (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
2  CHIEF WILD EAGLE Sep23 Sep04 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 125 3.00    
3  WELLSWORT (IRE) Sep17 Aug27 Aug11 Jun10 May07 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  SPEED GRAZY Sep23 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 Jun03 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  EFFECTIVE GIG Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul29 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 122 8.00    
6  RACKATAPTAP Sep18 Aug03 Jul01 Jun11 Apr29 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50    
 
FNO-7   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASTIC DREAM Oct06 Sep11 Aug11 Jul30 Jul09 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00    
2  BEROLIJEAN (FR) Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 125 4.00 ★    
3  ALGERIA (IRE) Sep24 Sep04 Jun30 Jun11 May19 (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 125 5.00    
4  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Aug12 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAKE THE TWO TEN Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 Jun30 May27 (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00    
6  ITS THIEVERY Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jun30 (mclean bill)ROMAN A 122 4.00    
7  DUPLICATION Sep25 Sep04 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 (steiner jac)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 69% 0.40    
SCR  CALARI BLUECAT Oct02 Aug28 Aug13 Jul03 Jun10 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.