Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ferndale
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.00 $4.00 67%
FER-4   DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-2 $19.60 $1.60 9%
FER-5   EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $7.40 $1.40 23%
FER-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.60 $0.60 10%
Simulator Race results
 
FER-1   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :482       1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIR LAUGHALOT 4 1 13 12   13 14¾ (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.60 3.40  
1  HAY JUAN 1 3 45 32   23 24¾ (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.20 1.30  
2  MIKE OPERATOR 2 2 34 43   46½ 35½ (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 3.00 38% 1.60 1.50 S
3  LIVE A GOOD LIFE 3 4 23 22   34½ 46 (hof d)SMITH E 126 5.00 24% 3.20 5.40  
 
FER-2   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:241 :49       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEIGE THE DAY 2 3 11½ 1½   12 1½ (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 122 2.00 2.20  
1  SMOKIN KEN 1 5 58½ 55   44 2½ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.80 54% 0.90 3.30 P
5  ZHIVAGO 5 4 33 32   22 32¼ (greiner g)IRONEYES R 115 3.50 2.10  
4  BIG BAD BRIAN 4 1 21½ 2½   33½ 44 (craig james )SMITH E 126 8.00 22% 3.60 2.50  
3  MISSY PARKER 3 2 44½ 44½   57 510 (naranjo salv)MARTIN A 121 5.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
 
FER-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHOCKAZULU 2 4 54 3½   1nk 11 (craig james )SMITH E 126 1.80 29% 2.40 4.00 W
4  OBVIOUS 4 5 43½ 2½   2nk 21 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 3.20  
5  HOLYJAZZ 5 3 2½ 41½   42¾ 33 (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 33% 2.00 2.20 S
1  DAD BOD 1 2 31½ 51¾   52¾ 43½ (greiner gary)FLORES P 126 5.00 1.50  
3  PHANTOMS BOOK 3 1 1½ 1½   32½ 53½ (naranjo s)JENSEN P 121 6.00 9% 9.90 12.10  
 
FER-4   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:242 :483       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAWK HILL 2 1 1nk 11½   14 11¾ (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80 30% 2.30 1.20 W
4  SASQUATCH RIDE 4 3 33 34   24 21¾ (grein)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00 21% 3.70 1.70 P
5  SNICKER'N DAN 5 2 2nk 21½   34½ 36½ (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 3.20  
1  STANLEY RYDER 1 4 45 49   48½ 410¼ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 19% 4.20 10.30  
3  CABALLERANGO 3 5 57½ 513   514½ 514½ (craig j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00 12.80  
 
FER-5   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:161     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RIVIERA SUNRISE 2 4 1½ 1nk   11½ 14¾ (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 25% 3.00 1.10 W
3  OUR GIRL ASHLEY 3 1 32½ 32   21½ 24¾ (hof bi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 4.00 22% 3.50 6.50 P
5  ENGEE OMBEE 5 3 2½ 2nk   33½ 36¼ (hansen roger)FLORES P 126 3.00 3.80  
4  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 4 2 45½ 45   56½ 48½ (guerrero emi)SMITH E 126 6.00 15.80  
1  ESCAPE FREE (IRE) 1 5 510½ 56½   46 511 (williams gab)MARTIN A 126 2.50 30% 2.30 1.90  
 
FER-6   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:144     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRAW NEAR 3 4 47½ 33½   2½ 12¼ (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.00 5.40  
4  BETHEL RIDGE 4 1 23½ 22   1½ 22¼ (williams gab)MARTIN A 126 1.80 40% 1.50 4.80 P
1  XTRAFINE XTINA 1 2 13½ 12   33 38 (beckner teri)SMITH E 126 1.60 35% 1.90 1.30 S
5  TRUE FRIEND 5 3 33½ 43½   45½ 410 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 5% 19.00 2.30  
2  BANDON BRIDGE 2 5 512½ 510½   512½ 518¾ (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 10.00 5.60  
 
FER-7   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:251 :502       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANOTHER STRIKE 5 2 11½ 12   13 11¼ (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 2.00 25% 3.10 2.30 W
1  FOYT 1 3 43½ 32   23 21¼ (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 0.90  
4  SMOKENSILVER 4 6 66½ 53¼   35 35¾ (beckner l)WEBB B 122 10.00 13% 6.50 10.50 S
3  NICKEY BIRD 3 1 21½ 22   47 46¾ (ledezm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 6.30  
2  HOLY SMOKES 2 5 56½ 67¼   57½ 57¾ (eaton t)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 8.00 25% 3.10 10.20  
6  SMUGGLER'S COVE 6 4 32 43   612½ 613¾ (eaton ter)IRONEYES R 115 6.00 11.00  
SCR  THECHIEFHASTRICKS               (puentes jose)FLORES P 126 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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