Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Elko County Fair
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELK-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Elko Thoroughbred Derby Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SATIN HEART 2 3 2½ 2½   14 17½ (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 1.60 42% 1.40 0.80 W
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
1  ONLY LIGHTNING 1 5 45½ 45½   34½ 27½ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119 4.00 4.90  
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  THIRSTY NO MORE 4 1 1½ 1½   24 39¾ (dahlk)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 119 4.50 5.60  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of FORESTRY'S DELIGHT by FORESTRY)
5  CHIEF MISCHIEF 3 4 57½ 59½   511½ 420¾ (dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 2.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of TALLCHIEF by SEA OF SECRETS)
7  BEBBANBURG 5 2 33½ 33½   410½ 527½ (mitchell chris)JAMES JARELL 119 3.50 5.10  
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of COWGIRLS CAUSE by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  BAY BOSS               (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DONITA'S RULER by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  GRONKSKY               (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ ZOE CEE by TIZBUD)
 
ELK-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Miss Elko Fillies Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHEZA DELIGHT 1 2 1½ 11   1nk 1¼ (dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.00 W
  (by GIG HARBOR out of FORESTRY'S DELIGHT by FORESTRY)
5  CLAY'S CLOUD BURST 2 4 32 32   2nk 2¼ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 1.20  
  (by RACE DAY out of BUSH'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  COME CORRECT 3 1 2½ 21   3.2 32¾ (williams dewe)BURNEY ROBERT 124 8.00 6.80  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of REWRITTEN by EL CORREDOR)
7  HERE'S THE THING 4 3 44 46   44¼ 43½ (tschi)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00 20% 4.00 4.30  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ISTEEFAA by EDDINGTON)
SCR  DR GS SWEETIE               (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00    
  (by CHITU out of TRUE BLUE NATION by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  EARLY APRIL               (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 1.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of TULANE by RIVER SQUALL)
SCR  SNOW HILL               (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
ELK-8   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:401         1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KEENEYE GEORGE 5 6 35 32½ 23 2nk 12¾ (child che)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 4.50  
2  KOA CAT 2 5 57 68½ 55½ 59 22¾ (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 9.10  
1  ALPINE HYPNOSIS 1 4 46½ 45½ 44 33 34¼ (burns eugene)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.50 S
3  PASAMONTE MAN 3 7 67½ 57 67 46 49¼ (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 124 1.60 14% 6.00 5.90  
4  N. K. ROCKET MAN 4 2 1nk 12 13 1nk 514¼ (carter ronald )JAMES JARELL 124 2.00 60% 0.70 1.90  
7  NAP TIME 7 1 2nk 22 33½ 69½ 615 (luna ceasar)CORTEZ LUIS 121 12.00 8.80  
6  GOLD NOTE 6 3 79 710½ 710 710 718¼ (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 8.00 4.50  
 
ELK-9   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY ALW7000 ($0K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SKYE JADE 1 2 1½ 11   13 16 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL null   30% 2.30 0.70 W
4  ROYAL TAP 4 4 45½ 43   34 26 (scudder m)KELLENBERGER KODY null   45% 1.20 5.60 P
2  SCOTTY WHO 2 3 58½ 57   45½ 38 (mckinney d)GAMEZ M null   2.50  
3  FOREST ECHO 3 1 2½ 21   23 48¾ (dahlk)FIGUEROA ANTONIO null   10.50  
7  HIDETHELOOT 6 5 33½ 31½   59½ 515½ (gibbs tyler)CORTEZ LUIS null   8.30  
6  MUSCLE HEAD 5 6 613½ 611   614½ 619¼ (tsosie terrill)JAMES JARELL null   5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  POPS AWESOME               (williams dewe)BURNEY ROBERT null      
 
ELK-10   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY STK10000 ($0K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MCGEORGE 5 5 55½ 512   31 11¼ (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO null   26% 2.90 3.70 W
1  BETTOR TRIP NICK 1 6 2½ 22   1½ 21¼ (christoffersen far)ACEVES E null   45% 1.20 1.50 P
5  TOOTHLESS WONDER 4 2 33½ 33   41½ 31¾ (scudder mike)GAMEZ M null   8.50  
2  SOLA 2 1 1½ 12   2½ 43½ (mckinney kynd)BURNEY ROBERT null   8% 10.90 5.00  
3  ACE AND KINGS 3 3 45 47   53½ 57¼ (mitchell chris)JAMES JARELL null   8.60  
7  WAYLAY 6 4 65½ 615   64½ 67¾ (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL null   2.40  
SCR  CHASE THE MUSIC               (scudder m)KELLENBERGER KODY null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.