Handicappers' Race Results

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Elko County Fair
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELK-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
ELK-6   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
ELK-8   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.00  

Simulator Race results

 
ELK-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Elko Thoroughbred Derby Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATIN HEART 2 3 2½ 2½   14 1 (scudder ric)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 1.60 42% 1.40 0.80 W
ONLY LIGHTNING 1 5 4 4   3 2 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119 4.00 4.90  
THIRSTY NO MORE 4 1 1½ 1½   24 3 (dahlke )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 119 4.50 5.60  
CHIEF MISCHIEF 3 4 5 5   511½ 420¾ (dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 2.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
BEBBANBURG 5 2 3 3   410½ 527½ (mitchell r)JAMES JARELL 119 3.50 5.10  
SCR  BAY BOSS               (carter ronald )AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00    
SCR  GRONKSKY               (mitchell r)CORTEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
ELK-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Miss Elko Fillies Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA DELIGHT 1 2 1½ 11   1nk 1¼ (dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.00 W
CLAY'S CLOUD BURST 2 4 32 32   2nk 2¼ (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 1.20  
COME CORRECT 3 1 2½ 21   3.2 3 (williams dewey)BURNEY ROBERT 124 8.00 6.80  
HERE'S THE THING 4 3 44 46   4 4 (tschirg)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00 20% 4.00 4.30  
SCR  DR GS SWEETIE               (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00    
SCR  EARLY APRIL               (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 1.40    
SCR  SNOW HILL               (mitchell r)CORTEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
 
ELK-8   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:401         1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEENEYE GEORGE 5 6 35 3 23 2nk 1 (child chet)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 4.50  
KOA CAT 2 5 57 6 5 59 2 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 9.10  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 1 4 4 4 44 33 3 (burns eugene)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.50 S
PASAMONTE MAN 3 7 6 57 67 46 4 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 124 1.60 14% 6.00 5.90  
N. K. ROCKET MAN 4 2 1nk 12 13 1nk 514¼ (carter f)JAMES JARELL 124 2.00 60% 0.70 1.90  
NAP TIME 7 1 2nk 22 3 6 615 (luna ceasar)CORTEZ LUIS 121 12.00 8.80  
GOLD NOTE 6 3 79 710½ 710 710 718¼ (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 8.00 4.50  
 
ELK-9   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY ALW7000 ($0K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SKYE JADE 1 2 1½ 11   13 16 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL null   30% 2.30 0.70 W
ROYAL TAP 4 4 4 43   34 26 (scudder mik)KELLENBERGER KODY null   45% 1.20 5.60 P
SCOTTY WHO 2 3 5 57   4 38 (mckinney d)GAMEZ M null   2.50  
FOREST ECHO 3 1 2½ 21   23 4 (dahlke )FIGUEROA ANTONIO null   10.50  
HIDETHELOOT 6 5 3 3   5 515½ (gibbs tyler)CORTEZ LUIS null   8.30  
MUSCLE HEAD 5 6 613½ 611   614½ 619¼ (tsosie terrill)JAMES JARELL null   5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  POPS AWESOME               (williams dewey)BURNEY ROBERT null      
 
ELK-10   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY STK10000 ($0K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCGEORGE 5 5 5 512   31 1 (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO null   26% 2.90 3.70 W
BETTOR TRIP NICK 1 6 2½ 22   1½ 2 (christoffersen farre)ACEVES E null   45% 1.20 1.50 P
TOOTHLESS WONDER 4 2 3 33   4 3 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M null   8.50  
SOLA 2 1 1½ 12   2½ 4 (mckinney kyndra)BURNEY ROBERT null   8% 10.90 5.00  
ACE AND KINGS 3 3 45 47   5 5 (mitchell r)JAMES JARELL null   8.60  
WAYLAY 6 4 6 615   6 6 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL null   2.40  
SCR  CHASE THE MUSIC               (scudder mik)KELLENBERGER KODY null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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