Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ferndale
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FER-2   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $2.60 $0.60 30%

Simulator Race results

 
FER-2   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:242 :481       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW DOSE 4 5 21 2nk   2nk 1 (hof d)SMITH E 126 1.00 35% 1.80 0.40 W
HEY WILMAAA 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 2 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 29% 2.40 3.10 P
FANTASTIC SECRET 2 3 43 4   4 33 (puentes jose)WEBB B 126 2.00 9.50  
TAKES A VILLAGE 1 2 31 3   33 4 (rubin howa)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00 9.10  
BANDON BRIDGE 5 4 57 510½   5 5 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 18.50  
 
FER-3   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
See original race card.
:253 :493       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASQUATCH RIDE 1 2 22 2nk   1nk 1½ (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.60 58% 0.70 0.50 DQ↓3
MR BOTANICALS 3 3 3 1nk   2nk 2½ (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 1.70  
BIG BAD BRIAN 4 1 12 3.2   34 3 (craig j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 13% 6.70 9.10 P
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 2 4 4 4   46 4 (maelfeyt )IRONEYES R 119 8.00 10.30  
SCR  SEIGE THE DAY               (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 122 4.00    
SCR  TOO TALL TO CALL               (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 10.00    
 
FER-4   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
See original race card.
:234 :473       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAD BOD 6 3 14 16   17 18 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 2.90  
OBVIOUS 5 5 57 3   27 28 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.50 2.10  
SHOCKAZULU 1 1 6 6   3 39 (craig james )SMITH E 126 2.00 38% 1.60 2.60 S
HOLYJAZZ 4 6 46 4   511 411¼ (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 19% 4.20 3.00  
MR MEMPHIS 3 4 24 26   49 511¾ (guerrero )JENSEN P 126 10.00 13.60  
STANLEY RYDER 2 2 36 5   614 613¾ (beckner t)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 12% 7.40 29.10  
 
FER-5   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVIERA SUNRISE 6 2 4 4   3½ 1nk (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 4.50 4.80  
BLUSHING BAY 4 5 6 65   4¾ 2nk (miller quent)SMITH E 126 2.00 3.50  
BETHEL RIDGE 1 3 1nk 1½   1½ 3 (williams gab)MARTIN A 126 3.50 59% 0.70 5.40 S
DRAW ME 3 6 5 54   2½ 4 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.50 2.20  
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY 2 4 2nk 2½   5 58 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00 19% 4.10 3.10  
SHESAIDSHESPERFECT 5 1 3.2 3   6 610¼ (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
 
FER-6   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
See original race card.
:25 :50       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARNING SOUND 1 1 3 32   21 1 (guerrero emi)SMITH E 126 3.50 1.30  
SAINT HELEN 2 2 11 1nk   11 2 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 2.20  
HEAVENS TO BETSY 3 3 21 2nk   3 3 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 5.00 11% 7.80 1.10 S
SCR  KIMBERLY'S DEVIL               (aquino an)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
SCR  ABBEY OOPS               (aquino ang)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY               (cantrell margie)WEBB B 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  A LOTTA NERVE               (paldanius shel)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
 
FER-7   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:232 :472       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR LAUGHALOT 4 5 5 44   22 1hd (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 1.00  
XTRAFINE XTINA 5 1 2nk 1nk   12 2hd (beckner te)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.50 3.60  
RUN FACTOR 2 3 1nk 31   4 3 (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 18% 4.50 2.10 S
LIVE A GOOD LIFE 3 4 4 2nk   32 4 (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 6.00 12.30  
STARBOARD LIST 1 2 3 55   5 512¼ (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 3.00 41% 1.40 8.00  
 
FER-8   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:144     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER RECOVERY 2 4 4 56   3.2 1 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 17% 4.80 2.10 W
TRABIESO AVELITO 7 5 5 4   5 2 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 2.50 4.80  
EFFECTIVE GIG 4 3 3 3   1nk 35 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80 54% 0.80 1.50 S
ANTICIPATED 6 2 2nk 2½   2nk 4 (naranjo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 10.00 18.00  
DANZ TILL TEN 3 6 6 610   6 58 (howey qui)IRONEYES R 122 8.00 12.50  
ZOE'S PAPA CEE 1 1 1nk 1½   4 6 (bumgardner j)SMITH E 126 6.00 15.50  
SMOKIN KEN 5 7 712¾ 716   715¼ 723¾ (craig )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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