Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-3   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-4   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-5   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-6   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
FER-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-8   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKES A VILLAGE Aug20 Aug06 Mar18 Feb26 Jan15 (rubin howard)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00    
FANTASTIC SECRET Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 May28 Apr28 (puentes jose)WEBB B 126 2.00    
HEY WILMAAA Aug20 Jul02 Jun25 Jun18 Oct16 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
LOW DOSE Aug20 Aug10 Jul07 Jun18 Jun10 (hof d)SMITH E 126 1.00 35% 1.80    
BANDON BRIDGE Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 May21 (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
 
FER-3   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEIGE THE DAY Aug19 Aug12 Jun18 Feb19 Jan09 (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 122 4.00    
SASQUATCH RIDE Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.60 58% 0.70    
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY Aug09         (maelfeyt br)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
MR BOTANICALS Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Mar05 Feb12 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00    
BIG BAD BRIAN Aug19 Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 Jul23 (craig jam)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul13 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 10.00    
 
FER-4   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOCKAZULU Aug19 Aug12 Jun24 Sep17 Aug12 (craig r)SMITH E 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
STANLEY RYDER Aug19 Jul04 Jun17 Sep17 Sep11 (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
MR MEMPHIS Aug11 Jul13 Jul02 Jun18 Aug28 (guerrero em)JENSEN P 126 10.00    
HOLYJAZZ Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
OBVIOUS Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 May28 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.50    
DAD BOD Aug19 Aug12 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
 
FER-5   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHEL RIDGE Aug19 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 Sep17 (williams gabri)MARTIN A 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 Nov25 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00 19% 4.10    
DRAW ME Aug13 Jul29 Jun24 Oct30 Oct15 (eaton terri)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.50    
BLUSHING BAY Jul30 Jul21 Jun18 Jun09 May29 (miller quentin)SMITH E 126 2.00    
SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 Jul15 Jun28 (hof d)JENSEN P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
RIVIERA SUNRISE Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 4.50    
 
FER-6   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARNING SOUND Aug18 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 3.50    
SCR  KIMBERLY'S DEVIL Jul09 Jul01 May05 Feb04   (aquino ange)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
SAINT HELEN Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May26 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00    
SCR  A LOTTA NERVE         (paldanius sheldo)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  ABBEY OOPS Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Apr30 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00    
HEAVENS TO BETSY Aug18         (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY Jul22         (cantrell margie)WEBB B 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
FER-7   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARBOARD LIST Aug10 Jun25 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
RUN FACTOR Mar08 Feb25 Nov25 Aug26   (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
LIVE A GOOD LIFE Aug19 Jul04 Jun18 Feb18 Feb11 (hof d)WEBB B 126 6.00    
SIR LAUGHALOT Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 Aug26 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00    
XTRAFINE XTINA Aug19 Jul04 Jun17 Oct09 Aug26 (beckner teri)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
 
FER-8   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Aug20 Aug11 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 (bumgardner jim)SMITH E 126 6.00    
MASTER RECOVERY Aug18 Jun17 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
DANZ TILL TEN Aug11 Jul23 Jul01 Jun09 May19 (howey quinn)IRONEYES R 122 8.00    
EFFECTIVE GIG Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 May28 May05 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
SMOKIN KEN Aug19 Jun24       (craig ja)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
ANTICIPATED Aug11 Jul13 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (naranjo s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 10.00    
TRABIESO AVELITO Aug18 Jul28 Jul22 Jun24 May21 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.