Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ferndale
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/5)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FER-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/4/2)-(1/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FER-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/2/5)-(6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FER-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FER-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/2)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FER-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FER-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FER-2   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKES A VILLAGE Aug20 Aug06 Mar18 Feb26 Jan15 (rubin howa)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00    
2  FANTASTIC SECRET Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 May28 Apr28 (puentes jose)WEBB B 126 2.00    
3  HEY WILMAAA Aug20 Jul02 Jun25 Jun18 Oct16 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
4  LOW DOSE Aug20 Aug10 Jul07 Jun18 Jun10 (hof d)SMITH E 126 1.00 35% 1.80    
5  BANDON BRIDGE Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 May21 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
 
FER-3   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEIGE THE DAY Aug19 Aug12 Jun18 Feb19 Jan09 (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 122 4.00    
2  SASQUATCH RIDE Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.60 58% 0.70    
3  AMANDA'S BEACH BOY Aug09         (maelfeyt )IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
4  MR BOTANICALS Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Mar05 Feb12 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00    
5  BIG BAD BRIAN Aug19 Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 Jul23 (craig j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul13 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 10.00    
 
FER-4   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOCKAZULU Aug19 Aug12 Jun24 Sep17 Aug12 (craig james )SMITH E 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  STANLEY RYDER Aug19 Jul04 Jun17 Sep17 Sep11 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  MR MEMPHIS Aug11 Jul13 Jul02 Jun18 Aug28 (guerrero )JENSEN P 126 10.00    
4  HOLYJAZZ Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  OBVIOUS Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 May28 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.50    
6  DAD BOD Aug19 Aug12 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
 
FER-5   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHEL RIDGE Aug19 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 Sep17 (williams gab)MARTIN A 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
2  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 Nov25 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00 19% 4.10    
3  DRAW ME Aug13 Jul29 Jun24 Oct30 Oct15 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.50    
4  BLUSHING BAY Jul30 Jul21 Jun18 Jun09 May29 (miller quent)SMITH E 126 2.00    
5  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 Jul15 Jun28 (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVIERA SUNRISE Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 4.50    
 
FER-6   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARNING SOUND Aug18 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 (guerrero emi)SMITH E 126 3.50    
SCR  KIMBERLY'S DEVIL Jul09 Jul01 May05 Feb04   (aquino an)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
3  SAINT HELEN Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May26 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00    
SCR  A LOTTA NERVE         (paldanius shel)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  ABBEY OOPS Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Apr30 (aquino ang)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00    
6  HEAVENS TO BETSY Aug18         (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY Jul22         (cantrell margie)WEBB B 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
FER-7   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARBOARD LIST Aug10 Jun25 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  RUN FACTOR Mar08 Feb25 Nov25 Aug26   (aquino angela )HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Aug19 Jul04 Jun18 Feb18 Feb11 (hof d)WEBB B 126 6.00    
4  SIR LAUGHALOT Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 Aug26 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00    
5  XTRAFINE XTINA Aug19 Jul04 Jun17 Oct09 Aug26 (beckner te)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
 
FER-8   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Aug20 Aug11 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 (bumgardner j)SMITH E 126 6.00    
2  MASTER RECOVERY Aug18 Jun17 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  DANZ TILL TEN Aug11 Jul23 Jul01 Jun09 May19 (howey qui)IRONEYES R 122 8.00    
4  EFFECTIVE GIG Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 May28 May05 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
5  SMOKIN KEN Aug19 Jun24       (craig )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANTICIPATED Aug11 Jul13 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (naranjo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 10.00    
7  TRABIESO AVELITO Aug18 Jul28 Jul22 Jun24 May21 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.