Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ferndale
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-3   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $11.10 $5.10 85%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2-1 $16.20 $10.20 170%
FER-4   EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4-6 $75.00 $69.00 1150%
FER-5   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00  5-3-3 $28.80 $1.80 7%
FER-6   PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/3/2)-(1/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-3-1 $39.40 $12.40 46%
    PK4 (2/1/5)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/2)-(1/6/7) 81 $0.50 $40.50  5-3-3-1 $67.30 $26.80 66%
Simulator Race results
 
FER-2   08/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:154     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRABIESO AVELITO 2 2 25 25   21½ 1½ (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 3.00 7.10  
1  PIVOTAL FEVER 1 1 15 15   11½ 2½ (tamayo isidr)SMITH E 126 4.50 2.70  
4  LOOKOUT POINT 3 3 37½ 36½   43½ 31½ (grein)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80 48% 1.10 1.60 S
5  MR BOTANICALS 4 4 49½ 47   33 44¾ (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 18% 4.60 1.20  
SCR  HELICOPTER PILOT               (aquino ang)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
 
FER-3   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DUMB LUCK 5 1 1nk 1½   11½ 11¼ (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.60 9% 9.80 1.40 W
2  MASTER RECOVERY 2 4 43¼ 42½   31½ 21¼ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 45% 1.20 3.60 P
1  SPEEDY TOM 1 3 2nk 2½   21½ 33½ (guerr)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00 25% 3.00 1.90 S
3  BEING A BOSS 3 2 33 32½   45 45 (craig james )SMITH E 126 6.00 8.60  
4  FULLY LOADED 4 5 55¾ 55½   57 58 (greiner g)JENSEN P 126 5.00 6.70  
 
FER-4   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAROLINE MARGARET 3 6 54 43   2nk 13¾ (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 23% 3.30 1.90 W
4  WARNING SOUND 4 2 2nk 22   32 23¾ (guerrero emi)SMITH E 126 1.60 28% 2.50 6.20 P
6  HEAVENS TO BETSY 6 4 31 32   42½ 35 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 8.00 23% 3.30 7.20 S
2  ABBEY OOPS 2 5 68 610   54½ 45¾ (aquino ang)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00 2.90  
5  SAINT HELEN 5 3 1nk 12   1nk 57¼ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.50 2.30  
1  A STORM TOO SOON 1 1 42 54   610½ 616¼ (craig jam)IRONEYES R 115 8.00 19.30  
 
FER-5   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:24 :481       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY GREGORY 3 1 11 1½   12 1nk (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 1.60 20% 4.00 2.40 W
5  SPANISH CHANNEL 5 5 32½ 2½   22 2nk (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 2.50  
2  MO SUGAFOOT 2 3 42½ 53½   46 34½ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 11% 8.30 7.00 S
4  CAL 4 2 21 3½   33½ 45¾ (aquino ang)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80  
6  LILY PAD LAKE 6 6 53 42   58 59 (naranjo s)JENSEN P 122 10.00 17.20  
1  SHESALILRUNAWAY 1 4 64½ 68½   612 615½ (craig james )SMITH E 122 5.00 9.00  
 
FER-6   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY RANGER 1 3 1nk 1½   1nk 1hd (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.00 40% 1.50 1.80 W
5  STEEL NERVES 4 2 32½ 32   32 2hd (guerrero emi)SMITH E 126 10.00 4.70  
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND 6 5 54¾ 42½   44 31 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 13% 6.90 7.20 S
2  JERSEY BIRD 2 4 44½ 52½   2nk 41½ (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 2.00 1.60  
3  LEAD ACTRESS 3 6 68¾ 67½   64¾ 54 (maelfeyt )IRONEYES R 126 12.00 17.30  
6  HAMPTONRUN 5 1 2nk 2½   54½ 65 (aquino )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 21% 3.90 7.00  
SCR  ESCAPE FREE (IRE)               (williams gab)MARTIN A 126 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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