Handicappers' Race Results
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Ferndale
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FER-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.20  
FER-3   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
FER-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
FER-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
FER-6   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
Simulator Race results
 
FER-2   08/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:154     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRABIESO AVELITO 2 2 25 25   21½ 1½ (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 3.00 7.10  
1  PIVOTAL FEVER 1 1 15 15   11½ 2½ (tamayo isidro)SMITH E 126 4.50 2.70  
4  LOOKOUT POINT 3 3 37½ 36½   43½ 31½ (greiner)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80 48% 1.10 1.60 S
5  MR BOTANICALS 4 4 49½ 47   33 44¾ (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 18% 4.60 1.20  
SCR  HELICOPTER PILOT               (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
 
FER-3   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DUMB LUCK 5 1 1nk 1½   11½ 11¼ (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.60 9% 9.80 1.40 W
2  MASTER RECOVERY 2 4 43¼ 42½   31½ 21¼ (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 45% 1.20 3.60 P
1  SPEEDY TOM 1 3 2nk 2½   21½ 33½ (guerrer)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00 25% 3.00 1.90 S
3  BEING A BOSS 3 2 33 32½   45 45 (craig r)SMITH E 126 6.00 8.60  
4  FULLY LOADED 4 5 55¾ 55½   57 58 (greiner gar)JENSEN P 126 5.00 6.70  
 
FER-4   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAROLINE MARGARET 3 6 54 43   2nk 13¾ (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 23% 3.30 1.90 W
4  WARNING SOUND 4 2 2nk 22   32 23¾ (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 1.60 28% 2.50 6.20 P
6  HEAVENS TO BETSY 6 4 31 32   42½ 35 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 8.00 23% 3.30 7.20 S
2  ABBEY OOPS 2 5 68 610   54½ 45¾ (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00 2.90  
5  SAINT HELEN 5 3 1nk 12   1nk 57¼ (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.50 2.30  
1  A STORM TOO SOON 1 1 42 54   610½ 616¼ (craig james)IRONEYES R 115 8.00 19.30  
 
FER-5   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:24 :481       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY GREGORY 3 1 11 1½   12 1nk (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 1.60 20% 4.00 2.40 W
5  SPANISH CHANNEL 5 5 32½ 2½   22 2nk (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 2.50  
2  MO SUGAFOOT 2 3 42½ 53½   46 34½ (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 11% 8.30 7.00 S
4  CAL 4 2 21 3½   33½ 45¾ (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80  
6  LILY PAD LAKE 6 6 53 42   58 59 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 122 10.00 17.20  
1  SHESALILRUNAWAY 1 4 64½ 68½   612 615½ (craig r)SMITH E 122 5.00 9.00  
 
FER-6   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY RANGER 1 3 1nk 1½   1nk 1hd (guerrero emilio)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.00 40% 1.50 1.80 W
5  STEEL NERVES 4 2 32½ 32   32 2hd (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 10.00 4.70  
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND 6 5 54¾ 42½   44 31 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 13% 6.90 7.20 S
2  JERSEY BIRD 2 4 44½ 52½   2nk 41½ (eaton terri)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 2.00 1.60  
3  LEAD ACTRESS 3 6 68¾ 67½   64¾ 54 (maelfeyt br)IRONEYES R 126 12.00 17.30  
6  HAMPTONRUN 5 1 2nk 2½   54½ 65 (aquino an)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 21% 3.90 7.00  
SCR  ESCAPE FREE (IRE)               (williams gabri)MARTIN A 126 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.