Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-3   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-6   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIVOTAL FEVER Sep24 Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 Jul17 (tamayo isidro)SMITH E 126 4.50    
SCR  HELICOPTER PILOT Aug05 Jul15 May20 Oct30 Aug28 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
TRABIESO AVELITO Jul28 Jul22 Jun24 May21 Apr29 (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 3.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Jul28 Jul01 May26 May12 Apr29 (greiner)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
MR BOTANICALS Jul23 Jul01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
FER-3   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY TOM Jul29 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Aug28 (guerrer)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00 25% 3.00    
MASTER RECOVERY Jun17 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul15 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
BEING A BOSS Aug09 Jul04 Jun25 Aug11 Jul03 (craig r)SMITH E 126 6.00    
FULLY LOADED Aug04 Jul23 Jul02 May28 May05 (greiner gar)JENSEN P 126 5.00    
DUMB LUCK Jul30 Jul22 Jun24 Aug27 Jul17 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.60 9% 9.80    
 
FER-4   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A STORM TOO SOON Aug09 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03   (craig james)IRONEYES R 115 8.00    
ABBEY OOPS Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Apr30 Apr07 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
CAROLINE MARGARET         (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 23% 3.30    
WARNING SOUND Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 Aug19 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 1.60 28% 2.50    
SAINT HELEN Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May26   (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.50    
HEAVENS TO BETSY         (ramos jesus)FLORES P 126 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
FER-5   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 May13 (craig r)SMITH E 122 5.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 Oct16 Oct10 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 11% 8.30    
LADY GREGORY Jul23 Jun25 May27 May04 Apr16 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 1.60 20% 4.00    
CAL Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Apr23 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
SPANISH CHANNEL Jul21 Jul07 May28 Apr16 Apr01 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50    
LILY PAD LAKE Aug10 Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 May21 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 122 10.00    
 
FER-6   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY RANGER Aug05 Jul01 May14     (guerrero emilio)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
JERSEY BIRD Aug05 Jul21 Jun18 Feb19 Jan06 (eaton terri)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 2.00    
LEAD ACTRESS Jul12 Jul01 Jun17 Oct15 Aug26 (maelfeyt br)IRONEYES R 126 12.00    
SCR  ESCAPE FREE (IRE) Jun30 Jun03 Apr21 Apr01 Feb19 (williams gabri)MARTIN A 126 5.00    
STEEL NERVES Aug09 Jul12 Jul01 Jun17 Aug21 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 10.00    
HAMPTONRUN Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun25 Jun04 (aquino an)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 21% 3.90    
LUTE'S DIAMOND Jul28 Jul14 May29 May14 Apr12 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.