Handicappers' Race Results

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Ferndale
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $10.60  
FER-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $13.80  
FER-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $10.60  
FER-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
FER-6   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $8.20  
FER-7   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 7.00

Simulator Race results

 
FER-2   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:234 :474       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER PERFECT VISION 3 1 1½ 12   13 1 (guerrero emilio)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00 4.30  
HAY JUAN 2 3 2½ 22   23 2 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.50 13% 6.70 2.30 P
MIGHTY MATT 1 2 4 47   45 3 (hobson simon)SMITH E 126 1.40 57% 0.80 1.30 S
HAWK HILL 4 4 3 35   34 43 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.20 2.40  
 
FER-3   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:24 :481       1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 2 2 2nk 2nk   1 1¾ (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 3.50 5.90  
GREAT CURVES 5 4 5 4   33 2¾ (hof d)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 57% 0.80 1.70 P
PHANTOMS BOOK 4 1 1nk 1nk   2 33 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 126 4.00 19% 4.20 2.20 S
COASTAL STARLITE 1 3 36 36   54 43 (mcdonald me)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 12.60  
JERSEY STAR 3 5 4 58   44 5 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 1.80 2.20  
 
FER-4   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:24 :49       1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE 4 3 35 34   1nk 12 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 3.00 4.30  
ZHIVAGO 2 2 2nk 2nk   3.2 22 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 6.00 8% 11.20 2.30 P
DANNY MICHAEL 5 5 511 510   4 3 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 61% 0.60 2.30 S
LUKE'S PLACE 3 4 47 47   5 4 (hof d)SMITH E 126 5.00 7.00  
ANOTHER STRIKE 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 56 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80 2.40  
 
FER-5   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:15     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASHHAD FLATS 2 1 1½ 1nk   11 1½ (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 39% 1.60 0.80 W
PERSEVERANCE 5 4 34 32   3 2½ (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80 1.80  
FORT YORK 3 2 2½ 2nk   21 3 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 23% 3.40 4.50 S
SYNC 1 5 512 414   413½ 415½ (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00 13.50  
SWEET MEG 4 3 411 517   514½ 515½ (williams gabri)SMITH E 121 8.00 12.90  
 
FER-6   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:141     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE WARRIOR 2 1 11 12   11 1 (greiner)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.50 3.10  
SATANTA 3 5 3 33   21 2 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00 50% 1.00 2.10 P
WELLSWORT (IRE) 4 3 21 22   32 3 (hobson simon)SMITH E null   23% 3.30 2.10 S
LOOKOUT POINT 1 2 510½ 5   59 4 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 11.60  
ROSES R BLUE 5 4 4 4   4 510 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 121 6.00 3.20  
 
FER-7   08/27/2023 8580ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
2:56         2:56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) 4 5 5 5 38 2 1 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO null   13% 6.50 5.50 W
GROWTH ENGINE 3 22 12 1 14 1 2 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 0.30  
LOVE OF THE SPORT 1 32 3 3 413 413½ 317½ (baker wayne)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 4.50 13% 6.50 13.40 S
MUCHO MACHISMO 2 44 4 2 24 312½ 421½ (franko )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50 15.40  
CORAZON DE LUCIA 5 6 611½ 6 519 523½ 526½ (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 5.00 17.00  
MIKE OPERATOR 6 12 22 4 627 638½ 647½ (aquino ange)JENSEN P 124 10.00 7.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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