Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-6   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-7   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY MATT Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (hobson simon)SMITH E 126 1.40 57% 0.80    
HAY JUAN Aug19 Jul29 Jul23 Jun16 May28 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.50 13% 6.70    
HER PERFECT VISION Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun24 (guerrero emilio)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00    
HAWK HILL Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 May26 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.20    
 
FER-3   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL STARLITE Aug20 May21 May05 Apr15 Mar04 (mcdonald me)IRONEYES R 119 6.00    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Aug19 Aug12 Jul01 Jun24 Aug28 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 3.50    
JERSEY STAR Jul23 Jun18 May26 Jan06 Nov18 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 1.80    
PHANTOMS BOOK Aug19 Aug09 Jun24 Jun18 Jun10 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
GREAT CURVES Aug20 Aug10 Jul02 Jun25 Aug11 (hof d)WEBB B 126 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
FER-4   08/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER STRIKE Aug19 Jul30 Jul22 May28 May20 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 1.80    
ZHIVAGO Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 Feb24 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
LUKE'S PLACE Aug20 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 (hof d)SMITH E 126 5.00    
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Aug20 Aug05 Jun24 Jun11 May29 (calvario samuel)FLORES P 122 3.00    
DANNY MICHAEL Aug20 Jun30 May27 Apr09 Mar18 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
FER-5   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNC Aug20 Jul28 Jun17 Jun03 May07 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00    
MASHHAD FLATS Aug13 Aug03 Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
FORT YORK Aug20 Aug11 Jun18 Aug27 Aug19 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
SWEET MEG Aug20 Jul01 Jun17 Nov16 Oct15 (williams gabri)SMITH E 121 8.00    
PERSEVERANCE Aug20 Nov20 Oct29 Oct16 Oct07 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80    
 
FER-6   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKOUT POINT Aug18 Jul28 Jul01 May26 May12 (greiner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
BRONZE WARRIOR Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 (greiner)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.50    
SATANTA Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 May27 Apr15 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 5.00 50% 1.00    
WELLSWORT (IRE) Aug11 Jun10 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (hobson simon)SMITH E null   23% 3.30    
ROSES R BLUE Aug20 Aug10 Jun24 Jun02 May07 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 121 6.00    
 
FER-7   08/27/2023 8580ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OF THE SPORT Aug04 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 Jan28 (baker wayne)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
MUCHO MACHISMO Aug13 Aug04 Sep30 Sep11 Jan22 (franko )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
GROWTH ENGINE Aug11 Jul02 Jun03 May12 Jun18 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00    
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Aug13 Jul21 Jul04 May26 May07 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO null   13% 6.50    
CORAZON DE LUCIA Aug20 Jun18 May21 Apr23 Jan21 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 5.00    
MIKE OPERATOR Aug19 Aug06 Jul27 May21 Mar11 (aquino ange)JENSEN P 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.