Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $6.80  
PEN-2   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $9.40  
PEN-3   Win (3/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.00  
PEN-4   Win (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.80  
PEN-5   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-6   Win (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-7   Win (9/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $27.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:161 1:301   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSTED 4 2 3 31 1nk 11 13 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 2.40  
MILLROSE 1 4 1nk 2nk 3.2 21 23 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 3.00 21% 3.70 0.80 P
DIXIE MUSIC 2 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 33 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.50 42% 1.40 2.50 S
FIRE EYE 3 1 4 43 4 47 412¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 9.30  
SCR  HAPPYINITIATIVE               (meister william)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
SCR  JUMP A FOX               (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE               (padilla hugo)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 3.50    
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA               (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
 
PEN-2   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINANO 2 5 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 3.70  
MO MOSCATO 4 4 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 64% 0.60 2.20 P
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 6 1 42 32   3 3 (stowers miche)INIRIO J 122 3.50 2.10 S
BRIGHT PATH 1 6 5 55   57 410¼ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 4.10  
SUPER ROCKY 3 2 31 4   4 515¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 9.60  
RIGATONI ALA VODKA 5 3 65 6   612 623½ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
SCR  INDY'S DUDE               (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
SCR  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN               (galligan ge)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:133 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 2 1 12 11 1½ 1½ 1hd (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00 2.00  
DORSODURO 5 3 22 21 2½ 2½ 2hd (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 3.70 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 1 2 36 3 33 32 3.15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 63% 0.60 0.80 S
SOUL STORY 4 5 58 49 4 4 4 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 19.70  
LAWLESSNESS 3 4 48 511 510 512 520½ (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 115 30.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
SCR  MUSKOKA GIANT               (chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
SCR  MR. TUTTLE               (pattershall m)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
SCR  MOON WARRIOR               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  MAKOTO               (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
SCR  JACK SLYE               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
SCR  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE               (simoff andrew)CORA D 120 3.50    
SCR  DON'T QUESTION ME               (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST GOT STARTED 2 4 4 3.2   2nk 1¼ (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 2.40  
WASABI BOY 1 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 24% 3.20 3.60 P
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 4 3 2nk 1nk   3.2 3 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 29% 2.40 1.30 S
RAGING BEAR 3 2 3.2 4   4 424 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 2.50  
SCR  BO'S BOURBON               (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50    
SCR  BROTHER SHOWTYME               (sanchez-)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
SCR  MORETHANREADYEDDIE               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00    
SCR  TAP IN FORMATION               (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-5   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:242 :59       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 1 3 3 11   1 1 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 67% 0.50 0.30 W
EAGLES CRY 3 2 21 31   2 2 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 9% 10.50 3.10 P
BEST DEFENSE 2 1 11 21   3 313¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 3.20  
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS               (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
SCR  ROMANTIC GAMBLE               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE               (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN               (merryman eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY               (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  ALEXIS S               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY               (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:244 1:00       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TIARA 1 1 12 1   19 112¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 54% 0.90 0.30 W
MELODIA 2 3 45 4   412 212¼ (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 10.00 5.10  
CRICKET WEST 3 4 32 2   29 312¼ (morzan e)FLORES E 124 12.00 15.10  
10  DAILY BRIEFING 4 2 22 3   310 415½ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 5.00 13% 6.80 2.90  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50    
SCR  RISQUE'S JEWEL               (rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 124 10.00    
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR               (martinez alexande)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00    
SCR  FIELD LETTERS               (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET               (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50    
SCR  BRYCE'S PHILLY               (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 50.00    
 
PEN-7   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THAT'S MY BUSINESS 9 1 1nk 2 22 21 11 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 12.70  
TEMPESTUOUS 5 8 9 9 7 3 21 (salvaggio mark )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 6.80 P
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 8 6 4 4 33 43 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.20 S
THE GREAT CASBY 3 7 7 74 66 66 4 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00 46.10  
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 2 4 2nk 1 12 11 5 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 17% 5.00 2.50  
LAKE NAKURU 6 9 8 8 98 78 6 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 12.00 18.40  
CHARGING LION 7 3 5 53 44 5 7 (mcclellan erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 11% 8.00 17.40  
HELLMAN 1 5 6 63 55 89 817¾ (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 6.00 9% 9.70 2.60  
HROTHGAR 4 2 32 32 88 912½ 918 (morzan e)FLORES E 120 50.00 66.80  
SCR  HE'S A SHOOTER               (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00    
SCR  LET IT FLOW JOE               (castillo michelle)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.