Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/7)-(3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/8/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(3/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(3/7/9)-(8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/9)-(3/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/9)-(3/7/9)-(3/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/9)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9)-(8/2)-(4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/2)-(4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(4/9)-(4/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/9)-(4/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/9)-(4/10)-(9/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/10)-(4/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/10)-(9/2/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/1)-(9/2/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/1)-(9/2/8/1/6)-(9/2/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLROSE Dec16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  DIXIE MUSIC Dec14 Nov29 Sep13     (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
3  FIRE EYE Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep13   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
4  DUSTED Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  HAPPYINITIATIVE Dec15 Nov02 Sep30 Aug20   (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
SCR  JUMP A FOX Nov02 Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 May01 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE Dec06 Nov15 Sep08 Jul12 Jun08 (padilla hu)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 3.50    
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA Dec28 Dec14 Jul21 Jun15 May25 (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
 
PEN-2   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN         (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
2  BRIGHT PATH Dec27 Nov29       (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
SCR  INDY'S DUDE         (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
4  DESTINANO Dec20         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
5  SUPER ROCKY Nov10 Jul27       (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
6  MO MOSCATO         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
7  RIGATONI ALA VODKA Oct18         (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Dec14 Nov29 Sep06     (stowers mic)INIRIO J 122 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOON WARRIOR Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 Jul06 Jun20 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  MUSKOKA GIANT Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
3  BLUEBERRY MASH Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Sep15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  MAKOTO Dec15 Nov29 Nov01 Sep16 Aug30 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
5  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct25 Sep30 (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 8.00    
SCR  MR. TUTTLE Dec27 Dec06 Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 (pattershall)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
7  LAWLESSNESS Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUL STORY Dec21 Mar16 Feb22 Feb09 Nov04 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
9  DORSODURO Dec21 Dec08 Nov24 Nov16 Oct18 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JACK SLYE Dec21 Dec07 Nov03 Sep21 Aug10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
SCR  DON'T QUESTION ME Dec21 Nov16 Sep13 Jun21 Jun14 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SCR  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Dec21 Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 (simoff andrew)CORA D 120 3.50    
 
PEN-4   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROTHER SHOWTYME Oct26 Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 Jul19 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
2  WASABI BOY Dec28 Nov30 Oct26 Sep20 Aug18 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  JUST GOT STARTED Apr19 Mar17 Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
SCR  TAP IN FORMATION Dec26 Dec04 Nov15 Dec11 Nov04 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
SCR  BO'S BOURBON Nov29 Mar16 Feb19 Jan29 Jan14 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50    
SCR  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Dec28 Nov27 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00    
7  RAGING BEAR Dec06 Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
8  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Dec28 Nov16 Oct17 Oct02 Sep21 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-5   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOUCH CODE Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 Sep20 Sep01 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Nov30 Nov01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Dec15 Aug04 Jun10 May19 Apr29 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
4  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Sep21 Aug18 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  ALEXIS S Dec15 Oct07 Sep23 Aug22 Jul15 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY Jan01 Dec15 Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
7  BEST DEFENSE Dec15 Nov02 Sep01 Aug19 Jul14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN Dec08 Oct24 Sep13 Aug17 Jul12 (merryman eli)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
9  EAGLES CRY Dec15 Nov30 Nov17 Oct25 Oct16 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Dec08 Oct28 Sep01 Jul01 May18 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
 
PEN-6   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRYCE'S PHILLY Nov01 Oct17 Oct09 Apr08 Mar23 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 50.00    
SCR  FIELD LETTERS Dec21 Nov30 Nov01 Sep14 Aug17 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  RISQUE'S JEWEL Dec22 Dec11 Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 124 10.00    
4  TILTED TIARA Dec29 Dec13 Sep08 Aug16 Jun22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR Dec07 Nov24 Sep14 Aug30 Aug18 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50    
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR Dec27 Nov28 Nov13 Oct11 Sep12 (martinez alexan)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00    
7  MELODIA Dec22 Jul05 Jun16 May26 Apr27 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 10.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET Nov20 Nov11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50    
9  CRICKET WEST Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct15 Oct03 (morzan e)FLORES E 124 12.00    
10  DAILY BRIEFING Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 Sep20 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-7   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLMAN Dec21 Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 6.00 9% 9.70    
2  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Dec21 Nov10 Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  LET IT FLOW JOE Jan08 Nov14 Oct23 Aug04 Jul10 (castillo michel)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
4  THE GREAT CASBY Dec29 Jun16 May26 Mar29 Feb24 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00    
5  HROTHGAR Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 Oct09 (morzan e)FLORES E 120 50.00    
6  TEMPESTUOUS Dec29 Dec21 Nov17 Oct27 Oct17 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 ★    
7  LAKE NAKURU Dec29 Nov01 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 12.00    
8  CHARGING LION Dec28 Dec07 Nov24 Oct25 Sep01 (mcclellan er)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
9  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Dec29 Nov10 Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Dec21 Nov13 Oct31 Oct10 Sep26 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  HE'S A SHOOTER Dec27 Dec12 Nov29 Oct26 Jul14 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.