The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.80 -4.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $84.60 $84.60 80.60
PEN-3   Win (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
PEN-4   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PEN-5   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
PEN-6   Win (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $25.20 $25.20 17.20
PEN-7   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 1:012       1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH THE TRAMCAR 3 1 3½ 1nk   11 1(boniface c)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 2.90  
LUCCA'S LEGACY 1 3 2nk 31   21 2(padilla )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 5.00 34% 1.90 1.50 P
IN THE AIR 2 2 1nk 2nk   33(shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 2.50  
COXZY 4 4 44 4   44(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 31% 2.20 2.50  
SCR  FAST LEARNER               (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
SCR  VISITOR'S WELCOME               (sullivan elliott)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00    
 
PEN-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :583       1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH CODE 4 3 2 22   22 1(lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 41.30 W
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 3 1 1 12   12 2(farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 2.50 P
ASHAAB 1 6 6 66   34 3(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 5.00  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 7 2 32 33   44 46 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50 2.20  
BAYOU SHACK 2 5 4 43   56 5(ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 3.70  
WASABI BOY 6 4 5 54   68 6(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 68% 0.50 4.00  
KEYSTONE HANK 5 7 710½ 714   716 720 (morrell justin )ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 50.80  
 
PEN-3   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN KID 4 2 1 12   12 14 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 3.50 63% 0.60 1.90 W
CITY OF LONDON 6 4 2 22   324 (salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 2.70 P
JOYFUL DEPARTURE 1 7 6 5   22 3(grusmark karl)INIRIO J 123 15.00 47.60  
WIN FOR LAILA 3 9 7 6   44(zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 55.50  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 8 9 8   55 57 (wadams j)CORA D 123 10.00 11.30  
DUSTED 8 10 10 9   9611 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 5.40  
SECRET SPELL 9 3 44 7   6711¼ (zalalas michael)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
GEMINI WARRIOR 2 1 3 3   7812¾ (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 10% 9.10 7.70  
10  CHIMING IN 10 6 54 4   8914¼ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 55.40  
FLIRTING 7 5 8 10   1013½ 1025¾ (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 5.90  
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 15.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL THE PISTOL               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
 
PEN-4   12/28/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:124     1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRVINIZED 4 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 57% 0.80 1.00 W
NAIL POLISH 3 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 21 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 21% 3.70 6.20 P
UGHROUDA 1 1 4 44 34 34 3(kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 10.20  
SAVE THE FLAG 5 5 6 56 57 48 47 (zook w)INIRIO J 120 15.00 15.70  
FILTERED LIGHT 7 6 5 68 712 715 520 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
DALLAS 6 7 7 7 610 510 621½ (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 20.00 45.40  
BIG JAVA 2 3 31 31 4 612 726¾ (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 2.50  
 
PEN-5   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:122 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. STEVE 1 1 11 12 15 11(murillo a)CORA D 120 2.50 70% 0.40 0.90 W
TRENDING UP 2 4 6 6 4 32(synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7% 13.80 9.10 P
TIME TO CRUISE 3 6 21 22 25 233 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 1.20  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 4 3 3 32 3 4417¼ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 14.00  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 6 5 52 4 68 5524 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 20.20  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 5 2 4 5 58 6626¼ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 12.00 20.20  
SCR  CLASSIC UNION               (velazquez daniel)MOYA F 121 3.00    
 
PEN-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :46       1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER BOSS 2 2 2½ 1½   11 1¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 18% 4.70 11.60 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 5 5 66 6   42¼ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 12.80  
NADIABIZNIZ 1 4 43 42   21 3¼ (cooper stacey)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 36.10  
SUPER DUPER FLY 9 3 31 2½   34(flores-coba l)CORA D 120 10.00 5.50  
OUT OF AMMO 7 6 5 53   554 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 21% 3.80 2.50  
MASKED HEROINE 4 8 8 7   912¾ 6(martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 6 1 1½ 32   6711½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 12.80  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 8 7 98 9   8813¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.60  
SCOREBOARD LILY 3 9 7 86   7914¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 8.80  
 
PEN-7   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR RONNY ALAN 7 3 2 21   2½ 1¾ (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 21% 3.70 2.90 W
RED DEVOLUTION 6 2 1 11   1½ 2¾ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 11.80  
SILENT TIGER 2 1 33 52   31 3(patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 49% 1.00 5.20 S
CACTUS JACK 5 6 76 3   53 4(salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 6.60  
CHARGING LION 3 5 6 65   77 5(mcclellan c)CORA D 122 5.00 7.80  
LONGTAIL 4 4 43 42   46(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 2.80  
ACT OF VALOR 1 9 5 7   64 76 (murtough step)INIRIO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
SPINNING MUSICIAN 8 7 910 910½   912 8(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 6.80  
BOYS OF QUEENS 9 8 88 8   810 910¼ (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 115 30.00 53.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.