Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/4)-(4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/2/9)-(4/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/12/9)-(4/2/6/12/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/9)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9)-(4/3/7)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(1/2)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(8/7/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(8/7/2/4)-(2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/3/4)-(8/7/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VISITOR'S WELCOME Dec15 Dec01 Oct20 Oct01   (sullivan elliot)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00    
2  LUCCA'S LEGACY Nov28 Jul23 Jun25 May14   (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 34% 1.90    
3  IN THE AIR Dec06 Nov11 Oct10     (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
4  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Dec06 Sep22       (boniface kevin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
5  COXZY         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FAST LEARNER Dec06 Nov02       (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
 
PEN-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHAAB Dec06 Nov10 Oct26 Sep01 Jul29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
2  BAYOU SHACK Dec06 Nov16 Oct07 Aug18 Jul28 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 ★    
3  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Nov27 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 May14 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 ★    
4  TOUCH CODE Nov23 Nov04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug16 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KEYSTONE HANK Dec06 Oct18 Aug02 Jun05 May23 (morrell justi)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
6  WASABI BOY Nov30 Oct26 Sep20 Aug18 Aug06 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 68% 0.50    
7  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Nov16 Oct17 Oct02 Sep21 Sep06 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50    
 
PEN-3   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Dec14 Oct25 Sep26     (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
2  GEMINI WARRIOR Dec14 Nov30       (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Dec14 Jul21 Jun15 May25 May05 (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00    
4  UPTOWN KID Dec14         (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
5  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep15 Aug24 (wadams j)CORA D 123 10.00    
6  CITY OF LONDON Nov30 Nov01 Aug03 May25   (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 ★    
7  FLIRTING Nov20 Oct18 Feb06     (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00    
8  DUSTED Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
9  SECRET SPELL Dec14         (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHIMING IN Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN Jul29 Jul08 Jun15 Apr22 Mar18 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 123 15.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL THE PISTOL Dec14 Nov30 Nov11 Jul16 Jun25 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-4   12/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UGHROUDA Dec08 Nov08 Jan11 Dec11 Oct19 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
2  BIG JAVA Dec15 Nov21 Oct11 Jul15 May03 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 ★    
3  NAIL POLISH Dec08 Oct27 Oct11 Sep08 Aug31 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  GIRVINIZED Nov16 Oct25 Oct09 Sep08 Aug18 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 57% 0.80    
5  SAVE THE FLAG Dec02 Nov15 Oct23 Sep15 Aug12 (zook w)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
6  DALLAS Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 Sep13 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 20.00    
7  FILTERED LIGHT Dec06 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug22 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. STEVE Nov30 Oct27 Sep26 Aug18 Jun28 (murillo a)CORA D 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
2  TRENDING UP Nov30 Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  CLASSIC UNION Nov09 Oct17 Sep26 Sep04 Jul04 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 121 3.00    
4  TIME TO CRUISE Dec13 Oct18 Sep04 Aug04 Jun26 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00    
5  COLONEL MOORHEAD Nov01 Oct07 Aug31 Jul26 Jun15 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 ★    
6  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Aug02 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
7  COPPERHEAD CREEK Dec13 Dec01 May31 May10 Apr21 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NADIABIZNIZ Dec14 Nov15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep01 (cooper stacey)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
2  THUNDER BOSS Nov29 Nov16 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  SCOREBOARD LILY Dec14 Nov29 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★    
4  MASKED HEROINE Dec14 Nov17 Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIGHWAY QUEEN Dec14 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug16 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
6  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Nov29 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00    
7  OUT OF AMMO Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep15 May11 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 Sep14 Aug30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  SUPER DUPER FLY Dec18 Dec11 Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 (flores-coba l)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT OF VALOR Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Sep07 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SILENT TIGER Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 Sep24 Sep06 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  CHARGING LION Dec07 Nov24 Oct25 Sep01 Aug16 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
4  LONGTAIL Dec13 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 Jun20 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 ★    
5  CACTUS JACK Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 Mar25 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
6  RED DEVOLUTION Dec12 Dec05 Nov09 Oct25 Sep30 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
7  OUR RONNY ALAN Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Jun29 Jun03 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
8  SPINNING MUSICIAN Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
9  BOYS OF QUEENS Nov29 Sep22 Dec13 Oct26 Oct05 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.