Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
MVR-3   EXA (3/7/10/1)-(3/7/10/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-10 $45.40 $13.40 42%
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/7/10/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $28.40 $4.40 18%
MVR-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.60 $9.60 160%
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/10/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $67.40 $43.40 181%
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/10/2/5)-(6/4/10/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-5-2 $64.30 $46.30 257%
    SFT (6/4/5)-(6/4/10/2/5)-(6/4/10/2/5)-(6/4/10/2/5) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-5-2-6 $46.15 $38.95 541%
    DD (3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-4 $58.60 $34.60 144%
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-3-4 $56.80 $38.80 216%
MVR-5   DD (6/4/5)-(4/12/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-4 $41.00 $23.00 128%
    PK3 (3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5)-(4/12/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3/8-4-4 $28.90 $10.90 61%
MVR-6   PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/12/5)-(3/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-4-3 $20.60 $2.60 14%
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    DD (7/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $35.80 $11.80 49%
    PK3 (3/7/2/4)-(7/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-1-2 $24.95 $0.95 4%
    PK6 (3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5)-(4/12/5)-(3/7/2/4)-(7/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 1728 $0.20 $345  3/8-4-4-3-1-2 $569.16 $223.56 65%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIR MASON 3 1 13½ 16   12 12¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00 0.80 W
5  KOLTEN'S PRIDE 4 4 56½ 46½   22 22¼ (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 7.20  
7  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 5 3 67½ 36½   45 32¼ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00 4.60  
8  INCITATUSWAY 6 2 34 26   35 44½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
3  DESTINO 2 6 45 69½   58 55¾ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 7.50  
2  STANDINGINTHEFIRE 1 5 23½ 57½   611½ 616 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.90  
SCR  ENDOW               (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
SCR  Y'ZIN UP               (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 6.00    
 
MVR-2   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  J P'S GLADYS 4 5 31½ 22   21½ 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 53% 0.90 3.50 W
6  VACATION SECRET 6 1 11 12   11½ 2½ (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 17.80  
3  SPLASH OF TONIC 3 2 21 33½   31½ 32 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 ★ 9.10 S
7  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 7 3 53½ 45   42½ 42½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 10.00  
2  MITESSE 2 4 43 67   53½ 55¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
1  CAGUA 1 7 64½ 56½   64½ 65¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.30 4.20  
5  SECRET SEDUCTION 5 6 77 77   77 78¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 7.60  
 
MVR-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:141 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'S A SHOOTER 3 4 11½ 11 11 14 18½ (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 33% 2.00 1.80 W
10  BOBBY'S GIFT 9 2 55 43 21 24 28½ (bernardini jay )LEON A 126 3.00 17% 4.90 5.10 P
6  GUARD 6 5 21½ 31 31½ 46 39 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00 14.30  
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 7 32½ 21 43 35½ 410 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 20.00 9.60  
2  EXALTED JOY 2 8 87½ 78 97 79 510¾ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00 6.50  
7  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 7 1 66½ 67 54½ 57½ 611½ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 21% 3.80 4.10  
1  DUEL FUEL 1 9 99 911¼ 86 68½ 714 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 7% 12.60 6.40  
9  DEER CREEK ROAD 8 3 77½ 88¼ 75 810½ 818¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 20.00 27.40  
5  BIG FALCON ROCKET 5 6 44 55½ 65 911½ 920¼ (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 ★ 21.30  
SCR  DYNAFORM               (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:132 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAUREENLOVESFRANK 4 5 1½ 11 13 12½ 12½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 12% 7.50 6.80 W
5  SPECIAL BEACH 5 1 31½ 31½ 33 22½ 22½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
2  ONE NIGHT STAND 2 7 53½ 41½ 23 33 35 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★ 1.80 S
6  SASSY JUSTICE 6 9 85¼ 66 64¾ 44½ 47½ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 4.50 62% 0.60 4.30  
3  ANNMARIA 3 6 43 53 54¼ 66 510¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8.90  
7  ANIPPE 7 4 2½ 21 43¼ 55 611½ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 14.90  
8  GO STELLAIRE 8 3 97¾ 1010¼ 810¼ 88 712½ (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00 29.30  
1  BACKSPLASH 1 10 109¾ 88¼ 79¾ 77½ 812¾ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 19.80  
9  DESIGNATE 9 8 65 98¾ 1011¾ 912 923 (rivera nes)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 59.10  
10  ACCOLADES GALORE 10 2 75 76¼ 911¾ 10100 10100 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 ★ 15.40  
 
MVR-5   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :454       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BLUE HOUR 4 7 12 12   14 14½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
12  CONSTITUTIONALIST 11 2 22 22   24 24½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 30% 2.30 1.10 P
6  BELLAVALENCIA 6 9 68¼ 511   39½ 39¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 17.80  
5  MISS LINDYSUE 5 3 35½ 37   49½ 411 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
11  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 10 1 911¼ 916   916¾ 514¾ (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 38.80  
10  IMA SURE BET 9 11 1012¾ 1016¼   714½ 615¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 ★ 15.40  
7  BEAUTY IN MOTION 7 4 45½ 48½   512½ 715¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 28.60  
2  ITALIAN TWIN 2 8 78¼ 615   614 817 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 ★ 11.90  
3  ICEY ANGEL 3 5 58 715   816½ 917 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 21.50  
1  ARTUME 1 6 810¼ 815½   1016¾ 1018¼ (brinsfield bro)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 90.90  
8  NOGRATZ 8 10 1113 1116¼   1119¾ 1124 (fie)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 ######  
SCR  ONACOUNTA               (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 6.00    
 
MVR-6   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:133 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAIL OF HONOR 3 8 821½ 721 68½ 43¾ 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 49% 1.00 0.70 W
8  BARRELHOUSE 8 4 32½ 21 1nk 2nk 2¼ (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 4.00 7.80  
2  KHOPILOT 2 1 510½ 510½ 45 33½ 31¼ (guciardo rob)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 9% 9.70 37.80 S
1  HOUSED 1 5 44½ 44½ 2nk 1nk 42½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 3.40  
6  GAMING SOUL 6 6 614 616½ 710 69¼ 515 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 125 6.00 24.40  
5  KILLER BEE 5 7 721 824½ 819 814¼ 621¼ (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 13.80  
7  GIZMO'S MISSION 7 2 11½ 11 32 58¾ 722¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 11% 8.20 4.80  
4  WHISKEY SUNRISE 4 3 21½ 32 58 710¾ 829½ (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 7% 13.10 42.30  
 
MVR-7   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:123 1:261   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO GUNS 1 7 12½ 11½ 11 12 13½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 19% 4.30 2.60 W
4  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 4 8 22½ 21½ 21 22 23½ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5.80  
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 5 54½ 31½ 32½ 36 311 (mah)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 3.50 ★ 5.70 S
5  PEACE OF EKATI 5 9 913¼ 913¼ 911½ 79 411½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 25% 3.10 6.00  
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS 2 2 33½ 54 56 46½ 512¾ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 7.10  
9  RUBINSTEIN 9 1 78¼ 77¾ 66½ 57 613¾ (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 25.00  
7  NO MORE TALK 7 6 64¾ 43 44 67 714¾ (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
8  SAY HEY KID 8 4 89¼ 87¾ 811½ 89½ 815¾ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
6  DEBDURITE 6 3 43½ 64¼ 710½ 911½ 921¼ (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 12.00 15.50  
 
MVR-8   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER 2 7 11 11½   11½ 12½ (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 39% 1.60 4.00 W
8  MSHINDI 7 2 43½ 21½   21½ 22½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 2.00  
9  MIGHTY PELE 8 1 55½ 66½   76¼ 39 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 33.60  
6  LOCO 5 4 32½ 44   34 410½ (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★ 1.60  
4  RESVALON 3 6 76½ 76½   65¾ 511 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 10.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
1  WHEN IN ROME 1 8 65½ 55   55½ 614 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 16.70  
5  YARDMAN 4 3 88½ 87½   87¾ 714¼ (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 5.00 9.50  
7  AKITO 6 5 21 32   44 815¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 125 6.00 27% 2.80 8.60  
SCR  RIVER FULL               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.