The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-2   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
MVR-3   Win (3/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
MVR-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 9.60
MVR-5   Win (4/12/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-6   Win (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
MVR-7   Win (7/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
MVR-8   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR MASON 3 1 1 16   12 1(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00 0.80 W
KOLTEN'S PRIDE 4 4 5 4   22 2(short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 7.20  
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 5 3 6 3   45 3(zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00 4.60  
INCITATUSWAY 6 2 34 26   35 4(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
DESTINO 2 6 45 6   58 5(morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 7.50  
STANDINGINTHEFIRE 1 5 2 5   611½ 616 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.90  
SCR  ENDOW               (thornbury jeff)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
SCR  Y'ZIN UP               (bernardini p)LEON A 122 6.00    
 
MVR-2   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J P'S GLADYS 4 5 3 22   21½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 53% 0.90 3.50 W
VACATION SECRET 6 1 11 12   12½ (kocijan marcus)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 17.80  
SPLASH OF TONIC 3 2 21 3   332 (elli)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 9.10 S
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 7 3 5 45   44(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 10.00  
MITESSE 2 4 43 67   55(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
CAGUA 1 7 6 5   66(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.30 4.20  
SECRET SEDUCTION 5 6 77 77   77 7(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 7.60  
 
MVR-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:141 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A SHOOTER 3 4 1 11 11 14 1(sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 33% 2.00 1.80 W
10  BOBBY'S GIFT 9 2 55 43 21 24 2(bernardini p)LEON A 126 3.00 17% 4.90 5.10 P
GUARD 6 5 2 31 3 46 39 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00 14.30  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 7 3 21 43 3410 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 20.00 9.60  
EXALTED JOY 2 8 8 78 97 79 510¾ (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00 6.50  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 7 1 6 67 5 5611½ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 21% 3.80 4.10  
DUEL FUEL 1 9 99 911¼ 86 6714 (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 7% 12.60 6.40  
DEER CREEK ROAD 8 3 7 8 75 810½ 818¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 20.00 27.40  
BIG FALCON ROCKET 5 6 44 5 65 911½ 920¼ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 21.30  
SCR  DYNAFORM               (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:132 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUREENLOVESFRANK 4 5 1½ 11 13 11(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 12% 7.50 6.80 W
SPECIAL BEACH 5 1 3 3 33 22(mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
ONE NIGHT STAND 2 7 5 4 23 33 35 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 1.80 S
SASSY JUSTICE 6 9 8 66 6 44(treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 4.50 62% 0.60 4.30  
ANNMARIA 3 6 43 53 5 66 510¼ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8.90  
ANIPPE 7 4 2½ 21 4 55 611½ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 14.90  
GO STELLAIRE 8 3 9 1010¼ 810¼ 88 712½ (vickers richard )DIAZ I 124 20.00 29.30  
BACKSPLASH 1 10 10 8 7 7812¾ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 19.80  
DESIGNATE 9 8 65 9 1011¾ 912 923 (rivera nesto)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 59.10  
10  ACCOLADES GALORE 10 2 75 7 911¾ 10100 10100 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 15.40  
 
MVR-5   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :454       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE HOUR 4 7 12 12   14 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
12  CONSTITUTIONALIST 11 2 22 22   24 2(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 30% 2.30 1.10 P
BELLAVALENCIA 6 9 6 511   33(flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 17.80  
MISS LINDYSUE 5 3 3 37   4411 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
11  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 10 1 911¼ 916   916¾ 514¾ (suarez javie)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 38.80  
10  IMA SURE BET 9 11 1012¾ 1016¼   714½ 615¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 15.40  
BEAUTY IN MOTION 7 4 4 4   512½ 715¾ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 28.60  
ITALIAN TWIN 2 8 7 615   614 817 (pappada julie )ROSARIO L 124 15.00 11.90  
ICEY ANGEL 3 5 58 715   816½ 917 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 21.50  
ARTUME 1 6 810¼ 815½   1016¾ 1018¼ (brinsfield brook)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 90.90  
NOGRATZ 8 10 1113 1116¼   1119¾ 1124 (fiesm)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 ######  
SCR  ONACOUNTA               (zawitz jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 6.00    
 
MVR-6   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:133 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAIL OF HONOR 3 8 821½ 721 6 41¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 49% 1.00 0.70 W
BARRELHOUSE 8 4 3 21 1nk 2nk 2¼ (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 4.00 7.80  
KHOPILOT 2 1 510½ 510½ 45 33(guciardo rober)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 9% 9.70 37.80 S
HOUSED 1 5 4 4 2nk 1nk 4(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 3.40  
GAMING SOUL 6 6 614 616½ 710 6515 (gotera car)TOLEDO S 125 6.00 24.40  
KILLER BEE 5 7 721 824½ 819 814¼ 621¼ (szczepanski )COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 13.80  
GIZMO'S MISSION 7 2 1 11 32 5722¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 11% 8.20 4.80  
WHISKEY SUNRISE 4 3 2 32 58 710¾ 829½ (vickers richard )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 7% 13.10 42.30  
 
MVR-7   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:123 1:261   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO GUNS 1 7 1 1 11 12 1(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 19% 4.30 2.60 W
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 4 8 2 2 21 22 2(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5.80  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 5 5 3 3 36 311 (mahan)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 3.50 5.70 S
PEACE OF EKATI 5 9 913¼ 913¼ 911½ 79 411½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 25% 3.10 6.00  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 2 2 3 54 56 4512¾ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 7.10  
RUBINSTEIN 9 1 7 7 6 57 613¾ (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 25.00  
NO MORE TALK 7 6 6 43 44 67 714¾ (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
SAY HEY KID 8 4 8 8 811½ 8815¾ (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
DEBDURITE 6 3 4 6 710½ 911½ 921¼ (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 12.00 15.50  
 
MVR-8   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER 2 7 11 1   11(meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 39% 1.60 4.00 W
MSHINDI 7 2 4 2   22(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 2.00  
MIGHTY PELE 8 1 5 6   739 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 33.60  
LOCO 5 4 3 44   34 410½ (hetrick )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 1.60  
RESVALON 3 6 7 7   6511 (herrington a)CCAMAQUE M 123 10.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
WHEN IN ROME 1 8 6 55   5614 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 16.70  
YARDMAN 4 3 8 8   8714¼ (pappada julie )ROSARIO L 124 5.00 9.50  
AKITO 6 5 21 32   44 815¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 125 6.00 27% 2.80 8.60  
SCR  RIVER FULL               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.