Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/8)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(4/2/1)-(3/7/10/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/7/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/1)-(3/7/10/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/1)-(3/7/10/1/5)-(3/7/10/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/10/1)-(6/4/5)-(4/12/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/10/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/10/2/5)-(6/4/10/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/12/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/12/5)-(3/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/12/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/12/5)-(4/12/5/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/12/5)-(4/12/5/10/2)-(4/12/5/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/12/5)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/12/5)-(3/7/2/4)-(7/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(7/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/4)-(7/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/3/8)-(7/5/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  Y'ZIN UP Dec12         (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 6.00    
2  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 Sep17 Sep01 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  DESTINO Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 Jul15 Jun03 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
4  SIR MASON Dec14 Nov29 Oct27 Sep30 Sep07 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Oct24 Aug26 Aug08 Jul12   (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
SCR  ENDOW Nov27 Sep28       (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
7  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 Sep10 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00    
8  INCITATUSWAY Dec14 Oct03 May07 May01   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAGUA Nov28 Oct11 Sep11 Sep04 Aug21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.30    
2  MITESSE Dec12 Oct24 Sep14 Jul20 Jul03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  SPLASH OF TONIC Dec06 Nov15 Oct28 Oct17 Oct10 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 ★    
4  J P'S GLADYS Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 Aug01 Jul09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  SECRET SEDUCTION Dec13 Dec05 Nov15 Nov01 Oct22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
6  VACATION SECRET Nov20 Oct16 Oct02 Aug30 Aug08 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
7  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Oct03 Sep16 Aug10 Jul07 Jun21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUEL FUEL Dec05 Nov16 Oct31 Oct21 Sep27 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 7% 12.60    
2  EXALTED JOY Dec12 Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
3  HE'S A SHOOTER Dec12 Nov29 Oct26 Jul14 Jun15 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Dec05 Nov08 Oct25 Oct14 Sep22 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
5  BIG FALCON ROCKET Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 ★    
6  GUARD Dec16 Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 May16 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00    
7  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Oct02 Aug31 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  DYNAFORM Dec06 Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
9  DEER CREEK ROAD Dec04 Nov08 Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 20.00    
10  BOBBY'S GIFT Dec07 Feb16 Dec21 Nov26 Oct14 (bernardini jay )LEON A 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
MVR-4   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Sep25 Sep05 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
2  ONE NIGHT STAND Nov07 Oct18 Sep25 Sep18 Aug22 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
3  ANNMARIA Nov13 Oct31 Sep25 Sep05 Jul25 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
4  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Nov13 Sep25 Sep05 Jul27 Jun19 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SASSY JUSTICE Nov29 Oct24 Oct15 Oct03 Sep18 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 4.50 62% 0.60    
7  ANIPPE Nov16 Oct25 Oct09 Sep26 Aug22 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
8  GO STELLAIRE Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
9  DESIGNATE Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep14 Mar20 (rivera nes)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
10  ACCOLADES GALORE Dec12 Nov14 Oct18 Sep12 Aug30 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   12/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTUME Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 Jan02 Nov30 (brinsfield bro)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
2  ITALIAN TWIN Dec04 Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 Aug28 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 ★    
3  ICEY ANGEL Nov16 Oct10 Aug28 Aug11 Jul20 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 15.00    
4  BLUE HOUR Dec08 Nov03 Oct07 Aug26 Aug03 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  MISS LINDYSUE Dec03 Oct30 Oct22 Oct03 Sep26 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELLAVALENCIA Nov14 Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Aug21 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
7  BEAUTY IN MOTION Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 Sep22 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
8  NOGRATZ Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 Oct04 Sep17 (fie)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
SCR  ONACOUNTA Dec10 Nov29 Nov14 Oct14 Sep05 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 6.00    
10  IMA SURE BET Nov29 Oct24 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 ★    
11  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Nov14 Oct30 Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
12  CONSTITUTIONALIST Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-6   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSED Dec12 Nov27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
2  KHOPILOT Dec14 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 (guciardo rob)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 9% 9.70    
3  VAIL OF HONOR Dec16 Nov15 Oct30 Oct15 Oct06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
4  WHISKEY SUNRISE Dec12 Nov19 Nov06 Oct24 Oct08 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 7% 13.10    
5  KILLER BEE Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Sep21 Jun23 (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00    
6  GAMING SOUL Dec03 Nov06 Sep28 Sep02 Aug10 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 125 6.00    
7  GIZMO'S MISSION Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 11% 8.20    
8  BARRELHOUSE Dec09 Dec01 Oct05 Sep09 Aug17 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 4.00    
 
MVR-7   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO GUNS Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Oct22 Oct11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS Dec13 Nov05 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Dec14 Dec06 Nov08 Oct31 Oct03 (mah)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 3.50 ★    
4  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Dec06 Nov20 Sep29 Jul16 Jul03 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
5  PEACE OF EKATI Dec04 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
6  DEBDURITE Dec06 Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 Oct04 (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
7  NO MORE TALK Dec06 Nov19 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  SAY HEY KID Dec06 Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 Sep27 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUBINSTEIN Dec06 Nov16 Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEN IN ROME Nov16 Nov02 Jun20 Jun06 Mar20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
2  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Nov14 Oct31 Oct16 Sep20 Aug10 (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  RIVER FULL Nov05 Oct14 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
4  RESVALON Dec11 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  YARDMAN Oct25 Oct12 Oct02 Sep20 Aug21 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 5.00    
6  LOCO Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Oct05 Sep11 (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★    
7  AKITO Dec18 Nov15       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 125 6.00 27% 2.80    
8  MSHINDI Nov30 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
9  MIGHTY PELE Nov24 Nov03 Oct17 Oct02 Sep25 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.