Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (4/11/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $20.40 $10.40 104%
    EXA (4/11/9/1/3)-(4/11/9/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-4 $72.00 $32.00 80%
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/11/9/1/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-11 $57.20 $27.20 91%
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(6/5/4)-(4/11/9/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50  3-6-11 $24.15 $1.65 7%
MVR-7   WIN (2/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $26.20 $18.20 228%
MVR-8   DD (2/9/5/6)-(6/5/8/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-5 $95.40 $55.40 139%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 3 5 32½ 32   2nk 11 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 27% 2.70 0.70 W
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
5  CUSSIN N FUSSIN 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 21 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 8.00 13.40  
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
2  OVER MY LIMIT 2 6 610¼ 613   56 33½ (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 17.80  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
1  XERXES 1 4 42½ 56   66¼ 45 (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 25% 3.00 5.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SWEETSONGOFTHENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  SIR MASON 4 2 1½ 1nk   32 55¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.10  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
8  INCITATUSWAY 7 3 52¾ 43   45 66¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 52.40  
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
7  SPYRO 6 7 720¼ 725   718¼ 723 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 122 15.00 32.50  
  (by GIRVIN out of SOCIAL SECURITY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  DESTINO               (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PINCHBECK by MINESHAFT)
 
MVR-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OFFICIALLY YOURS 5 2 4¾ 1nk   12 14½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 46% 1.20 0.90 W
7  OH GLORIOUS DAY 6 1 65¼ 52¾   52¾ 24½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 8.00 25.70  
1  PRINCESS ELLIE 1 6 53¼ 41¼   42½ 35½ (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 120 8.00 16.40  
5  MY GIRL KEW 4 3 3½ 2nk   32½ 47 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 120 1.80 23% 3.40 0.80  
4  IMA MOM 3 5 1nk 3.2   22 57¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 10.00 11% 7.90 13.00  
3  PRETTY PATTY 2 4 2nk 62¾   610¾ 624¾ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 52.20  
SCR  ARTISTIC LANEY               (west m)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KAY BEE GEE 11 11 95¼ 73¼   21 12¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 7% 13.90 9.20 W
4  J P'S GLADYS 4 4 1nk 11½   11 22¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 64% 0.60 2.40 P
10  BASTET 10 2 116¼ 94½   62¼ 33¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 12.40  
1  SWEET BELEN 1 8 41¼ 43   31 43½ (romero oscar)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
9  SHELLEY'S GEM 9 6 73¼ 53   41¼ 54 (johnson l)MCKEE J 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.20  
8  SABELLE 8 9 62¾ 83½   72½ 65¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5.20  
7  FLYING BUSINESS 7 12 127¾ 104½   95 76¼ (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 88.10  
3  LA LIMA 3 5 2nk 32½   51¼ 86¾ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
12  SUMMER STORM 12 1 31 21½   84 910 (rice anthony)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 14.10  
2  GRAND PRIZE 2 7 83¾ 124¾   105½ 1010 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13.30  
6  WATERLOO SUNSET 6 10 105¾ 114½   117 1114¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 15.20  
5  WAY TO FIRE 5 3 52¼ 63¼   128½ 1216½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 28.60  
 
MVR-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DERBY DAY KISS 7 2 31½ 52¾   11 16½ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 17.50  
  (by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
3  CURLIN PEARLS 3 4 79¼ 69¼   53½ 26½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 5.00 6.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1  COMPUTE THIS 1 6 21½ 32½   21 38 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.00 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
4  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 5 51¾ 42½   63¾ 411¾ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 13% 6.90 1.70  
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
8  POINTOF ATTRACTION 8 1 41¾ 22   33 513¼ (fad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 ######  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 5 3 11½ 12   43 618½ (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
6  SHAMANS IMAGE 6 7 811¼ 813¾   78¾ 721½ (barker w)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 ######  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
2  COLLECT GOLD 2 8 68¾ 713¾   812¾ 826¾ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 3.00 9% 10.60 6.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
 
MVR-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEACH FRONT 4 5 42½ 3.2   2nk 1½ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10.30  
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 2 7 21 2nk   1nk 2½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 5% 17.70 6.70 P
1  MAXIMIZER 1 6 11 1nk   3.2 32¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 3.20  
11  T MONEY 11 1 64 76¼   43¼ 42¾ (johnson l)MCKEE J 126 6.00 13% 6.90 4.30  
10  GATES OF HEAVEN 10 3 97½ 65¼   63¾ 53 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 3.50 35% 1.90 2.60  
8  NYOMAN 8 4 53½ 53¾   74¼ 67½ (villa francisco)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 24.80  
7  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 7 9 75 86¼   84½ 78 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 25% 3.10 4.80  
5  CALL WEST 5 11 87 96¾   95½ 88¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 40.20  
3  BLACK CANDY 3 8 32½ 43¼   53¼ 99 (blackhurst )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 18.50  
9  KHOPILOT 9 2 1112¾ 1110¾   1110½ 1011 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
6  UNCLEJACKOMO 6 10 107¾ 108¾   109 1112¼ (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 87.30  
 
MVR-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRIVATE DRIVE 6 4 66 42   1½ 13 (guidry ter)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 15.50  
8  HENRY THE CAT 8 7 77½ 52½   42 23 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
4  OL' NED 4 1 21 2nk   2½ 34 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9.10 DQ↓5
7  CALBOYZEKE 7 8 811 76   72¾ 44½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 54% 0.90 3.10 S
1  OHIO PLAYER 1 5 11 1nk   31½ 56¾ (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 3.80  
3  MUTINY 3 3 56 63½   62½ 68 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 5% 18.40 2.90  
5  UPGRADE AL 5 2 32½ 3½   52½ 711½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 19% 4.30 5.40  
2  WILDCAT BILL 2 6 44 86¼   86¾ 817 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 8.30  
 
MVR-7   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DASH OF FIRE 6 3 52½ 51¼   31½ 1nk (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00 12.10 W
3  LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 8 42½ 3.2   11 2nk (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 123 5.00 1.80  
8  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 8 2 74¼ 62¾   54½ 35½ (ramos fr)FERNANDEZ R 125 6.00 11.90  
1  CLEVELAND POWER 1 7 87¾ 83¾   77 45¾ (poole jam)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 18.10  
7  COLOR BEARER 7 4 31 2nk   21 56¾ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 3.50 7.40  
5  SMOOCHER 5 9 914¾ 97¾   87½ 69 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 22% 3.50 3.70  
9  ANIMO ROBERTO 9 1 64 72¾   66 79¼ (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 10.00 22% 3.50 8.00  
2  AINT NO BANDLEADER 2 5 1½ 1nk   43 814 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 24% 3.10 7.10  
4  STARS N SPACE 4 6 2½ 4¾   99½ 919 (overholt pau)HALDAR J 124 4.00 9.00  
 
MVR-8   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPECIALIZED 5 5 41¼ 41¼   1nk 12¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 28% 2.50 1.50 W
8  SOMEKINDAFUHRY 8 3 31 2nk   2nk 22¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 124 3.50 15% 5.90 2.50 P
9  CONSTITUTION COAL 9 2 52¼ 3.2   32 37 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 36.10  
2  SWING STATE 2 6 21 53¾   54½ 47½ (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00 7% 13.70 6.00  
7  PALACE TEMPTATION 7 8 88¼ 75¾   86¾ 58¼ (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00 48.40  
6  LUCK OF THE CAT 6 9 77¼ 87¾   76½ 69½ (drury jr)MCKEE J 124 1.20 30% 2.30 3.40  
10  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 10 1 1011¾ 99¾   65½ 79½ (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 30.90  
4  BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 4 11 1nk   43 815 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 8.00 13.90  
3  TEQUILA FLATS 3 7 63¼ 63¾   98¼ 918¼ (ramos fr)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 71.40  
1  RED COMET 1 10 910¼ 1014¾   1012¼ 1019½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.