The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-2   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
MVR-3   Win (4/11/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 10.40
MVR-4   Win (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $37.00 -8.00
MVR-5   Win (10/7/11/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $22.60 -10.00
MVR-6   Win (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $33.00 -8.00
MVR-7   Win (2/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $26.20 $26.20 18.20
MVR-8   Win (6/5/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -5.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 3 5 3 32   2nk 11 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 27% 2.70 0.70 W
CUSSIN N FUSSIN 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 21 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 8.00 13.40  
OVER MY LIMIT 2 6 610¼ 613   56 3(short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 17.80  
XERXES 1 4 4 56   645 (johnson jennif)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 25% 3.00 5.00  
SIR MASON 4 2 1½ 1nk   32 5(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.10  
INCITATUSWAY 7 3 5 43   45 6(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 52.40  
SPYRO 6 7 720¼ 725   718¼ 723 (johnson jennifer)GILBERT KYLE 122 15.00 32.50  
SCR  DESTINO               (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICIALLY YOURS 5 2 4¾ 1nk   12 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 46% 1.20 0.90 W
OH GLORIOUS DAY 6 1 6 5   52(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 8.00 25.70  
PRINCESS ELLIE 1 6 5 4   43(greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 120 8.00 16.40  
MY GIRL KEW 4 3 3½ 2nk   347 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 1.80 23% 3.40 0.80  
IMA MOM 3 5 1nk 3.2   22 5(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 10.00 11% 7.90 13.00  
PRETTY PATTY 2 4 2nk 6   610¾ 624¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 52.20  
SCR  ARTISTIC LANEY               (west m)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KAY BEE GEE 11 11 9 7   21 1(cline c)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 7% 13.90 9.20 W
J P'S GLADYS 4 4 1nk 1   11 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 64% 0.60 2.40 P
10  BASTET 10 2 11 9   63(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 12.40  
SWEET BELEN 1 8 4 43   31 4(romero oscar)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
SHELLEY'S GEM 9 6 7 53   454 (johnson l)MCKEE J 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.20  
SABELLE 8 9 6 8   76(cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5.20  
FLYING BUSINESS 7 12 12 10   95 7(hurley l)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 88.10  
LA LIMA 3 5 2nk 3   58(urieta johanna)HALDAR J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
12  SUMMER STORM 12 1 31 2   84 910 (rice anthony)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 14.10  
GRAND PRIZE 2 7 8 12   101010 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13.30  
WATERLOO SUNSET 6 10 10 11   117 1114¼ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 15.20  
WAY TO FIRE 5 3 5 6   121216½ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 28.60  
 
MVR-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY KISS 7 2 3 5   11 1(cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 17.50  
CURLIN PEARLS 3 4 7 6   52(gorham m)DIAZ I 122 5.00 6.70  
COMPUTE THIS 1 6 2 3   21 38 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.00 S
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 5 5 4   6411¾ (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 13% 6.90 1.70  
POINTOF ATTRACTION 8 1 4 22   33 513¼ (fadlo)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 ######  
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 5 3 1 12   43 618½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
SHAMANS IMAGE 6 7 811¼ 813¾   7721½ (barker w)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 ######  
COLLECT GOLD 2 8 6 713¾   812¾ 826¾ (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 3.00 9% 10.60 6.10  
 
MVR-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT 4 5 4 3.2   2nk 1½ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10.30  
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 2 7 21 2nk   1nk 2½ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 5% 17.70 6.70 P
MAXIMIZER 1 6 11 1nk   3.2 3(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 3.20  
11  T MONEY 11 1 64 7   44(johnson l)MCKEE J 126 6.00 13% 6.90 4.30  
10  GATES OF HEAVEN 10 3 9 6   653 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 3.50 35% 1.90 2.60  
NYOMAN 8 4 5 5   76(villa francisco)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 24.80  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 7 9 75 8   878 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 25% 3.10 4.80  
CALL WEST 5 11 87 9   98(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 40.20  
BLACK CANDY 3 8 3 4   599 (blackhurst ra)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 18.50  
KHOPILOT 9 2 1112¾ 1110¾   1110½ 1011 (guciardo robert)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
UNCLEJACKOMO 6 10 10 10   109 1112¼ (faulk)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 87.30  
 
MVR-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE DRIVE 6 4 66 42   1½ 13 (guidry terra)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 15.50  
HENRY THE CAT 8 7 7 5   42 23 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
OL' NED 4 1 21 2nk   2½ 34 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9.10 DQ↓5
CALBOYZEKE 7 8 811 76   74(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 54% 0.90 3.10 S
OHIO PLAYER 1 5 11 1nk   35(brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 3.80  
MUTINY 3 3 56 6   668 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 3.50 5% 18.40 2.90  
UPGRADE AL 5 2 3 3½   5711½ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 19% 4.30 5.40  
WILDCAT BILL 2 6 44 8   8817 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 8.30  
 
MVR-7   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASH OF FIRE 6 3 5 5   31nk (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00 12.10 W
LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 8 4 3.2   11 2nk (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 123 5.00 1.80  
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 8 2 7 6   53(ramos fran)FERNANDEZ R 125 6.00 11.90  
CLEVELAND POWER 1 7 8 8   77 4(poole jami )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 18.10  
COLOR BEARER 7 4 31 2nk   21 5(skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 3.50 7.40  
SMOOCHER 5 9 914¾ 9   869 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 22% 3.50 3.70  
ANIMO ROBERTO 9 1 64 7   66 7(tumblin andrew)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 10.00 22% 3.50 8.00  
AINT NO BANDLEADER 2 5 1½ 1nk   43 814 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 24% 3.10 7.10  
STARS N SPACE 4 6 2½ 4¾   9919 (overholt paul )HALDAR J 124 4.00 9.00  
 
MVR-8   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALIZED 5 5 4 4   1nk 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 28% 2.50 1.50 W
SOMEKINDAFUHRY 8 3 31 2nk   2nk 2(cline c)RIVERA R 124 3.50 15% 5.90 2.50 P
CONSTITUTION COAL 9 2 5 3.2   32 37 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 36.10  
SWING STATE 2 6 21 5   54(trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00 7% 13.70 6.00  
PALACE TEMPTATION 7 8 8 7   85(faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00 48.40  
LUCK OF THE CAT 6 9 7 8   76(drury jr)MCKEE J 124 1.20 30% 2.30 3.40  
10  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 10 1 1011¾ 9   67(szczepanski )COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 30.90  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 4 11 1nk   43 815 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 8.00 13.90  
TEQUILA FLATS 3 7 6 6   9918¼ (ramos fran)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 71.40  
RED COMET 1 10 910¼ 1014¾   1012¼ 1019½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.