Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $12.80 $0.80 7%
MVR-5   WIN (4/7/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $25.20 $15.20 152%
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-1-4 $10.10 $1.10 12%
    SFT (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  5-1-4-8 $7.38 $5.58 310%
    DD (4/7/1/9/3)-(4/5/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-5 $78.20 $48.20 161%
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/7/1/9/3)-(4/5/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1/2-3-5 $24.65 $2.15 10%
MVR-8   WIN (9/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    TRI (9/1/8/3/4)-(9/1/8/3/4)-(9/1/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-9-3 $39.00 $9.00 30%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AKITO 4 1 11½ 11½   12½ 11½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30 W
2  WILDERZAR 1 5 54½ 32   22½ 21½ (wilson david )BRACHO A 125 4.50 10% 9.30 2.80 P
8  FATHER OF LIES 6 3 21½ 21½   34 37¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 125 6.00 4.90  
4  MOON OVER DUBAI 3 2 32 42   47 48½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 6.00 27% 2.70 4.50  
3  TWELVE MINUS ONE 2 6 65½ 54   59 510¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 5.00 4.90  
7  JAYDEN'S PRINCE 5 4 43 614   634 655 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00 40.70  
SCR  CAPTAIN BERNARDO               (poole c)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00    
SCR  MR MAYHEM               (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
 
MVR-2   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HARTFUL HOPE 7 1 31½ 3½   1½ 11½ (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 65% 0.50 0.90 W
6  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 6 6 42½ 4¾   41 21½ (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 9.30  
4  FABRICATE 4 7 63 52¼   53 32½ (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 13% 6.80 3.90 S
3  HOLIDAY DECISION 3 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 44¼ (delacruz meji)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 8.80  
2  MIMI'S GOLDEN RING 2 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 55¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 4.70  
1  CHARGINA 1 5 52½ 76¼   76 610 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
5  LEWD 5 2 74 64¼   65½ 710¼ (dacosta jason)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 ★ 10.30  
 
MVR-3   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LADY ABRIL 7 2 41¾ 31½   2nk 11¼ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 4.00 9% 10.20 1.50 W
4  COWCHI 3 4 2nk 2½   1nk 21¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 8.60  
5  NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 5 31½ 42   3½ 34¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10 S
2  GRIZABELLA 1 7 52¼ 53½   51½ 44½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 26% 2.80 4.50  
9  BAREFOOT BEACH 8 1 74¼ 75½   63 56 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 41% 1.40 2.50  
3  SWEET EMPIRE 2 3 1nk 1½   41 69 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 12.90  
6  I GOT HOPE 5 8 88¼ 87½   75 710 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00 46.40  
7  BAY MAGIC 6 6 63¾ 64   85½ 814½ (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 9.00  
SCR  KISSTHECROSS               (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:123 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHIRON 1 4 32½ 32 2nk 12 15½ (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 126 3.00 42% 1.40 0.05 W
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
6  SHORTLY 5 2 2½ 21½ 1nk 22 25½ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 125 3.50 20% 4.10 7.20 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  QUICK QUICK WHIT 2 1 44 42½ 32 35 39½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 125 8.00 22.50  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
5  GLOBAL PRIDE 4 5 54½ 53 42¼ 48 414½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 125 12.00 16% 5.40 16.80  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
4  ROYAL AIR FORCE 3 6 69½ 68 56¼ 515 524¾ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 23.70  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KALAROUNA by SELKIRK)
7  RANSAM PAYNTER 6 3 1½ 11½ 611¼ 627 651¼ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 29.30  
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  GREAT REVELATION               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 6.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MVR-5   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOCK ON 3 6 53½ 53½   2nk 13½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 8% 11.30 11.60 W
6  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 5 1½ 1½   1nk 23½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7.30  
8  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 8 2 64 75   34 35 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 11.60  
9  HONOR LIFE 9 1 75 64½   64½ 45¼ (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 9% 9.70 1.60  
1  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 1 7 31½ 42½   44¼ 57 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 11% 7.70 4.20  
4  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 4 9 86 85½   75 67¾ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 33% 2.10 20.00  
5  AMES MISTER 5 10 1012½ 1010½   106½ 78½ (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00 22.10  
10  FRANK N DUCKY 10 3 2½ 2½   54¼ 89 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 14.60  
7  RESCUE FIVE 7 4 41½ 32½   85½ 99¼ (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 124 6.00 14% 6.10 4.80  
2  TUFF ATTACK 2 8 96½ 97½   96 109½ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 20.20  
 
MVR-6   12/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:13 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUGSY MALONE 4 3 11 12 1½ 13 11½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 17% 4.80 2.50 W
1  FROG TOWN 1 1 42½ 32½ 3½ 23 21½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★ 1.30 P
4  CONTROLLER 3 2 21 43 43 34½ 35½ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 26% 2.90 2.50 S
8  AULD LANGE SYNE 7 4 31 22 2½ 46 48¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 16% 5.20 12.90  
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 6 6 67 612 610 59 510 (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 10.00 22.90  
3  HITE 2 7 78½ 713 710½ 69½ 611¼ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 35.80  
6  WEEKENDER 5 5 54½ 59 55 711 715¼ (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 8.00 10.00  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughes w)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:124 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RUNAWAY HARRY 3 3 22½ 24 11 12 12¾ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 1.40  
9  ZERO GRAVITY 7 7 412½ 46½ 31½ 34 22¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 6.00 10.90  
6  RAISON KARTER 5 6 512½ 57½ 21 22 33 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.70 S
1  VENETIAN DREAM 1 4 717½ 716½ 79½ 59 47½ (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 124 20.00 20.30  
5  MY BROTHER CAM 4 2 38½ 36 42 48 59¾ (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6% 15.10 29.80  
8  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 1 615½ 612½ 67½ 610 610¾ (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 3.40  
3  SKIDSTREAM 2 5 12½ 14 52½ 712 718 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
10  ITASCA 8 8 818½ 817½ 816½ 819 829¾ (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 27% 2.70 30.70  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
SCR  DISTORTED LIMITS               (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE THE FROST 1 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 12% 7.50 4.60 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
9  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 9 1 32 2nk   2nk 2hd (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 48% 1.10 0.80 P
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
3  LIVING THE DREAM 3 8 86½ 74½   43 32 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 8% 12.20 21.70 S
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
11  KELLEHER 11 5 43½ 41¼   3½ 42¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 54.90  
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
6  LUCKY VICTOR 6 6 64½ 54¼   67¼ 511 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 21.00  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
7  OLLIE'S FOLLY 7 4 21 31   57 613 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00 8.90  
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
4  SEEKING FREEDOM 4 3 75½ 64¼   710¼ 717 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
5  DREAMINGABOUTTIME 5 11 1112¾ 911½   912¾ 817¼ (shannon jennif)DIAZ I 122 20.00 86.60  
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
2  VERNON'S BEST 2 7 54½ 86½   812¼ 919¼ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 12.00 11.50  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
8  WEEKEND RETREAT 8 10 1012½ 1112   1114¼ 1020½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 11% 7.80 5.70  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
10  PLAYFULASITGETS 10 9 910½ 1011½   1013¼ 1121 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 83.20  
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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