The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - December 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
MVR-2   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
MVR-3   Win (9/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
MVR-4   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90
MVR-5   Win (4/7/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $25.20 $25.20 15.20
MVR-6   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-7   Win (6/10/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.80 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (9/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 1.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKITO 4 1 1 1   11(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30 W
WILDERZAR 1 5 5 32   22(wilson jr)BRACHO A 125 4.50 10% 9.30 2.80 P
FATHER OF LIES 6 3 2 2   34 3(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 125 6.00 4.90  
MOON OVER DUBAI 3 2 32 42   47 4(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 6.00 27% 2.70 4.50  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 2 6 6 54   59 510¾ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 5.00 4.90  
JAYDEN'S PRINCE 5 4 43 614   634 655 (urieta johan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00 40.70  
SCR  CAPTAIN BERNARDO               (poole c)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00    
SCR  MR MAYHEM               (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
 
MVR-2   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTFUL HOPE 7 1 3 3½   1½ 1(smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 65% 0.50 0.90 W
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 6 6 4 4¾   41 2(suarez javie)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 9.30  
FABRICATE 4 7 63 5   53 3(fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 13% 6.80 3.90 S
HOLIDAY DECISION 3 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 4(delacruz mejia )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 8.80  
MIMI'S GOLDEN RING 2 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 5(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 4.70  
CHARGINA 1 5 5 7   76 610 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
LEWD 5 2 74 6   6710¼ (dacosta jason)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 10.30  
 
MVR-3   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ABRIL 7 2 4 3   2nk 1(pappada a)BRACHO A 126 4.00 9% 10.20 1.50 W
COWCHI 3 4 2nk 2½   1nk 2(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 8.60  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 5 3 42   3½ 3(calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10 S
GRIZABELLA 1 7 5 5   54(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 26% 2.80 4.50  
BAREFOOT BEACH 8 1 7 7   63 56 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 41% 1.40 2.50  
SWEET EMPIRE 2 3 1nk 1½   41 69 (rone mike)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 12.90  
I GOT HOPE 5 8 8 8   75 710 (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00 46.40  
BAY MAGIC 6 6 6 64   8814½ (calderon ivan)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 9.00  
SCR  KISSTHECROSS               (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:123 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIRON 1 4 3 32 2nk 12 1(estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 126 3.00 42% 1.40 0.05 W
SHORTLY 5 2 2½ 2 1nk 22 2(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 125 3.50 20% 4.10 7.20 P
QUICK QUICK WHIT 2 1 44 4 32 35 3(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 125 8.00 22.50  
GLOBAL PRIDE 4 5 5 53 4 48 414½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 125 12.00 16% 5.40 16.80  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 3 6 6 68 5 515 524¾ (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 23.70  
RANSAM PAYNTER 6 3 1½ 1 611¼ 627 651¼ (vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 29.30  
SCR  GREAT REVELATION               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 6.00    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50    
 
MVR-5   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCK ON 3 6 5 5   2nk 1(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 8% 11.30 11.60 W
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 5 1½ 1½   1nk 2(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7.30  
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 8 2 64 75   34 35 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 11.60  
HONOR LIFE 9 1 75 6   64(van den)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 9% 9.70 1.60  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 1 7 3 4   457 (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 3.50 11% 7.70 4.20  
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 4 9 86 8   75 6(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 33% 2.10 20.00  
AMES MISTER 5 10 1012½ 1010½   107(spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00 22.10  
10  FRANK N DUCKY 10 3 2½ 2½   589 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 14.60  
RESCUE FIVE 7 4 4 3   89(kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 124 6.00 14% 6.10 4.80  
TUFF ATTACK 2 8 9 9   96 10(romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 20.20  
 
MVR-6   12/18/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:13 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUGSY MALONE 4 3 11 12 1½ 13 1(meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 17% 4.80 2.50 W
FROG TOWN 1 1 4 3 3½ 23 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.00 1.30 P
CONTROLLER 3 2 21 43 43 33(hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 26% 2.90 2.50 S
AULD LANGE SYNE 7 4 31 22 2½ 46 4(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 16% 5.20 12.90  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 6 6 67 612 610 59 510 (meyers shane)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 10.00 22.90  
HITE 2 7 7 713 710½ 6611¼ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 35.80  
WEEKENDER 5 5 5 59 55 711 715¼ (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 8.00 10.00  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughes w)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:124 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY HARRY 3 3 2 24 11 12 1(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 1.40  
ZERO GRAVITY 7 7 412½ 4 3 34 2(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 6.00 10.90  
RAISON KARTER 5 6 512½ 5 21 22 33 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.70 S
VENETIAN DREAM 1 4 717½ 716½ 7 59 4(bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 124 20.00 20.30  
MY BROTHER CAM 4 2 3 36 42 48 5(ray )SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6% 15.10 29.80  
TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 1 615½ 612½ 6 610 610¾ (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 3.40  
SKIDSTREAM 2 5 1 14 5 712 718 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
10  ITASCA 8 8 818½ 817½ 816½ 819 829¾ (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 27% 2.70 30.70  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos francisc)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
SCR  DISTORTED LIMITS               (galloway kha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKE THE FROST 1 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 12% 7.50 4.60 W
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 9 1 32 2nk   2nk 2hd (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 48% 1.10 0.80 P
LIVING THE DREAM 3 8 8 7   43 32 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 8% 12.20 21.70 S
11  KELLEHER 11 5 4 4   3½ 4(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 54.90  
LUCKY VICTOR 6 6 6 5   6511 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 21.00  
OLLIE'S FOLLY 7 4 21 31   57 613 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00 8.90  
SEEKING FREEDOM 4 3 7 6   710¼ 717 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 5 11 1112¾ 911½   912¾ 817¼ (shannon jennifer)DIAZ I 122 20.00 86.60  
VERNON'S BEST 2 7 5 8   812¼ 919¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 12.00 11.50  
WEEKEND RETREAT 8 10 1012½ 1112   1114¼ 1020½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 11% 7.80 5.70  
10  PLAYFULASITGETS 10 9 910½ 1011½   1013¼ 1121 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 83.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.