Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(7/4/1)-(9/2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(9/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(9/2/8/5)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/5)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/5)-(2/6/5)-(4/7/1/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/7/1/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/7/1/9/3)-(4/5/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (4/7/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/9/3)-(4/7/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/9/3)-(4/7/1/9/3)-(4/7/1/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/1/9/3)-(4/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/9/3)-(4/5/8)-(6/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(6/10/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(6/10/5/3)-(9/1/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/10/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/5/3)-(9/1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/3/4)-(9/1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/3/4)-(9/1/8/3/4)-(9/1/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR MAYHEM Sep05 Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul23 (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
2  WILDERZAR Dec05 Nov16 Nov09 Oct30 Sep28 (wilson david )BRACHO A 125 4.50 10% 9.30    
3  TWELVE MINUS ONE Dec05 Oct30 Oct13 Sep11 Aug23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 5.00    
4  MOON OVER DUBAI Nov21 Nov14 Oct23 Oct03 Sep03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CAPTAIN BERNARDO Nov29 Nov14 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 (poole c)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00    
6  AKITO Nov15         (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  JAYDEN'S PRINCE Nov27         (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
8  FATHER OF LIES Dec05 Nov06 May14 Apr21 Mar10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 125 6.00    
 
MVR-2   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGINA Nov01 Aug16 Aug07 Jul21 Jul02 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIMI'S GOLDEN RING Oct31 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
3  HOLIDAY DECISION Jul26 Jul14 Jun10 May19 Apr26 (delacruz meji)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
4  FABRICATE Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 Apr16 Sep21 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  LEWD Nov28 Nov06 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 (dacosta jason)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 ★    
6  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Nov28 Nov15 Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
7  HARTFUL HOPE Nov28 Nov06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
MVR-3   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KISSTHECROSS Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Feb08 Jan04 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00    
2  GRIZABELLA Mar16 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  SWEET EMPIRE Nov29 Nov09 Oct04 Aug22 Aug08 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00    
4  COWCHI Nov29 Nov20 Oct12 Jun15 May22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
5  NORTHERN JOURNEY Nov29 Nov01 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  I GOT HOPE Jun12 Mar14 Feb06 Jan19 Dec06 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00    
7  BAY MAGIC Jul04 May29 Apr10 Mar16 Feb16 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00    
8  LADY ABRIL Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 4.00 9% 10.20    
9  BAREFOOT BEACH Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
MVR-4   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREAT REVELATION Dec05 Jul14 Jun29     (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 6.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  CHIRON Dec02 Nov05 Aug12 Jul02 Jun04 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
3  QUICK QUICK WHIT Nov14 Oct30 Oct05 Jun21 Jun05 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 125 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
4  ROYAL AIR FORCE Nov16 Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KALAROUNA by SELKIRK)
5  GLOBAL PRIDE Oct25 Sep27 Apr01 Feb01 Nov26 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 125 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
6  SHORTLY Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Sep25 Aug20 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 125 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  RANSAM PAYNTER Dec05 Jul21 Jul10 Jun18 May21 (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER Dec13 Nov19       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MVR-5   12/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Nov29 Oct11 Sep27 Aug16 Jul10 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
2  TUFF ATTACK Nov29 Oct13 Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
3  LOCK ON Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep07 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Nov29 Oct25 Oct03 Aug08 Jul24 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 33% 2.10    
5  AMES MISTER Dec06 Nov20 Oct29 Oct15 Sep27 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
6  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Dec05 Nov22 Nov12 Oct06 Sep27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
7  RESCUE FIVE Jul03 Jun19 Jun07 Jan10 Dec07 (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Dec06 Nov26 Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
9  HONOR LIFE Dec04 Nov08 Oct22 Oct09 Oct01 (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
10  FRANK N DUCKY Dec11 Nov22 Sep12 Jul11 Jun13 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROG TOWN Dec07 Nov25 Nov04 Oct18 Sep15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Nov14 Oct31 Sep29 Aug17 Jun07 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
3  HITE Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 Oct23 Sep25 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
4  CONTROLLER Nov30 Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 Aug11 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  MUGSY MALONE Nov15 Oct23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  WEEKENDER Sep30 Aug11 Apr12 Mar20 Jan11 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 Jun10 May18 (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 10.00    
8  AULD LANGE SYNE Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-7   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Nov30 Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
SCR  DISTORTED LIMITS Dec05 Nov15 Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
3  SKIDSTREAM Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct13 Sep27 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUNAWAY HARRY Nov13 Oct11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.00    
5  MY BROTHER CAM Nov29 Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
6  RAISON KARTER Nov10 Sep20 Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  CINDY'S STORM Dec07 Nov19 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
8  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Nov20 Sep26 Sep05 Aug16 Jul08 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00    
9  ZERO GRAVITY Nov27 Nov13 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 6.00    
10  ITASCA Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 May30 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   12/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE THE FROST Nov30 Nov15       (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
2  VERNON'S BEST Nov30 Jun30 Jun16     (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 12.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
3  LIVING THE DREAM Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11   (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 8% 12.20    
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
4  SEEKING FREEDOM Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
5  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Oct28 Oct11       (shannon jennif)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  LUCKY VICTOR Nov30 Nov15 Oct28     (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
7  OLLIE'S FOLLY Nov30         (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
8  WEEKEND RETREAT         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
9  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
10  PLAYFULASITGETS Oct28 Sep13       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
11  KELLEHER Nov15 Oct28       (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.