Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
FG-2   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
FG-3   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
FG-4   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.20  
FG-5   Win (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $12.60  
FG-6   Win (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FG-7   Win (3/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.80  
FG-8   Win (4/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
FG-9   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
FG-10   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
FG-11   Win (12/4/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:22 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOYAL TO THE CHIEF 5 2 1nk 12   15 112¼ (terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 30% 2.30 4.00 W
SUM CHARM 6 1 3 22   25 212¼ (ney john)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 7% 13.20 5.00 P
JUST ANOTHER WIN 2 4 4 4   3 312¾ (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 4.10  
DANAS MULE 4 6 54 33   47 413½ (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60  
ROSIE SPRIT 3 5 6 67   612½ 522¼ (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 5.30  
CONTINENTAL RED 1 3 2nk 54   511 622¾ (richards cor)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 7.80  
 
FG-2   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SCULLY 2 1 2 2nk   12 1hd (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 50% 1.00 3.30 W
RISKY PRIORITY 3 8 43 3   22 2hd (thomas le)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 19.80  
FIELD OF VISION 4 4 5 7   56 3 (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 14% 6.00 1.30 S
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 5 3 3 4   3 410½ (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 14% 6.30 5.50  
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 8 6 74 5   7 512¾ (thompson kevin)PARKER L 119 6.00 7.20  
INTHEALY 1 2 1 1nk   4 613¾ (schmidt denis)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 5.00  
CUSTOM PRAYER 7 5 64 6   68 717¾ (ladner rannie)MELANCON G 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
THE THREE KS 6 7 8 811¾   812 818 (williams kevi)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 15.00 29.30  
 
FG-3   12/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:16 1:284   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT WASN'T ME 4 3 42 44 4 2nk 1½ (handal raymond)TORRES A 121 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 2 4 3 3 2 1nk 2½ (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 7.20  
IM SINGLED UP 3 8 5 5 3 3.2 3 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 121 6.00 9.70 S
CAPELLA RED 6 6 7 65 6 5 44 (west g)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 32.20  
TRES CHIC (ARG) 7 7 86 87 7 6 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 3.60  
TURBO PROP 1 1 1½ 11 1 4¾ 6 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 2.30  
MARMO MOON 5 2 6 76 8 7 710½ (zeringue j)MURRAY M 121 6.00 32% 2.10 10.90  
WINE IN THE DARK 8 5 2½ 21 54 8 816½ (zeringue j)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  IRISH MOLLY               (west henry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 2 2 1 1½   1 1 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 2.10  
AZTEC EMPRESS 4 1 2 2½   2 2 (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 7% 14.10 1.30 P
LADY ABERDEEN 5 3 5 5   4 3 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 10.90  
COFFEE CRISP 7 4 4 34   36 48 (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 2.70  
FROST AND FIRE 1 7 33 4   5 512½ (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 23.70  
LOLA'S LIGHT 3 5 66 6   6 615 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 40.50  
MAYLEN 6 6 7 710½   714 720 (leonard iii)PARKER L 120 6.00 14% 6.30 19.00  
 
FG-5   12/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORT TOWNSEND 7 1 1½ 1nk   14 14 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5.30  
TRULY GRATEFUL 4 9 63 7   24 24 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 14% 6.20 5.10 P
CANDY BAR 6 4 73 6   55 3 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 11% 8.00 1.80 S
LIFFEY 9 6 84 8   8 4 (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 16.00  
FIESTA BESTA 1 2 2½ 4   7 58 (felks joseph)MARQUEZ L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
CLASSIC CLAIRE 2 3 52 5   6 6 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 7.30  
FIRST LOVE 8 5 4 3.2   3 711¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 6.00 4.80  
MYSTIC CREED 5 8 31 2nk   4 812 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 52% 0.90 7.90  
THEMISCHIEVOUSONE 3 7 9 911¼   914¾ 920½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 27.50  
SCR  ORLOFF               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00    
 
FG-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL INTENT 9 5 11 1nk   1½ 1¾ (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 18.40 DQ↓3
BARNABY 4 3 5 3½   31 2¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 55% 0.80 2.00 W
RUNAWAY JOKE 6 4 4 2nk   2½ 3 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 2.10  
DEN'S GOOD GRACE 1 8 6 6   4 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 7% 13.80 4.00  
KINGSCOTE 8 1 8 54   54 5 (balderas al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 5.40  
PHILANTHROPER 2 6 31 41   6 610½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 8.80  
SHARMA'D 7 7 9 7   7 716 (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 10.00 7% 13.80 41.50  
BLAME DENNIS 3 2 21 8   812½ 826¼ (arey anthony)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00 70.10  
FLY'N FRISBEE 5 9 7 9   916½ 935½ (arey anthony)MATA U 120 20.00 7% 13.80 59.00  
 
FG-7   12/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:151 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL COAXING 5 1 3 31 21 11 1 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 4.40  
FREEDOM FACTOR 7 6 2½ 11 11 21 2 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.10 P
HALEYS SAILOR 4 2 5 5 4 34 3 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 6.50  
SNIVELING 1 4 711½ 710 7 67 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 38.80  
MALTHAEL 3 7 68 67 67 5 5 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 9% 10.00 2.60  
TELEPHONE TALKER 2 3 44 4 33 44 6 (hernandez arman)HERNANDEZ K 121 3.00 35% 1.90 2.20  
MOUNTAIN PINE 6 5 1½ 21 5 7 714 (borel renay)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 19.70  
SCR  FLEET OF HOOF               (tracy tanner)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK               (cravens ro)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
 
FG-8   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTED 3 2 1 1   13 1½ (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 9% 9.90 5.30 W
TRUST ISSUES 4 7 32 2   23 2½ (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 3.50 55% 0.80 0.70 P
B FIFTY TWO 2 6 6 57   55 32 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 9.60  
STARSTUDDED AFFAIR 7 1 2 34   45 4 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 42.00  
ROCK N ROLL BOLT 5 5 4 4   3 5 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 22.70  
SABI 1 9 7 710   67 6 (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 7.70  
VINCITA 6 4 810 810   7 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 27.40  
SNOW KING 9 8 910½ 911   811 8 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 120 4.50 9% 9.90 11.70  
COOKN WIT CATMAN 8 3 5 6   911½ 912½ (catalano wayn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
 
FG-9   12/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :50 1:142 1:403   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO BE MARIE 5 2 43 44 44 1nk 11 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 58% 0.70 1.10 W
WITHOUT CAUSE 9 5 21 32 2 2nk 21 (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 7.50  
10  RAGTIME LADY 10 8 8 8 910 45 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 47.50  
CORA'S LEGACY 1 1 11 12 1 33 4 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 19% 4.30 31.30  
JOYFUL IMAGE 7 10 1111 1111½ 1112½ 10 5 (walsh brend)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 16.60  
11  PURR FACTOR 11 7 6 6 67 56 67 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 4.60  
NOT TONIGHT JOE 4 4 5 5 56 8 78 (morley thoma)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 34.90  
STILL TEMPER 8 6 7 7 78 78 8 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 38.10  
MISS HARMONIC 2 9 9 9 89 9 9 (forster t)LANERIE J 120 8.00 7.40  
MS SEDONA 3 11 1010 1011¼ 1012 1112¾ 1013¼ (morley thomas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 24.10  
TEMPTING LADY 6 3 3 22 3 6 1113¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50 7.30  
SCR  BROUGHTY FERRY               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
SCR  HAUNTRESS               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SCR  MS QUALITY CONTROL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00    
 
FG-10   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOURALIVIA 4 3 11 1   1 1 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 1.80 67% 0.50 0.90 W
CAJUN NINJA 2 2 21 3   2 2 (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 3.00 1.90 P
LOUISIANA LIBERTY 1 6 6 4   35 3 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 119 6.00 5.80  
SHES A LUCKY REBEL 7 1 31 2   4 4 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 18.30 15.70  
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY 3 5 5 5   5 5 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 12.10  
LUMINOUS FLIGHT 6 4 43 6   6 610½ (west henry)MCMAHON J 119 12.00 40.40  
SHELLI'S ANGEL 5 7 7 7   711 712¼ (ladner chad)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 17.90  
 
FG-11   12/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZAICI 9 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 1 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 0.80  
12  HOODLUM 10 8 3 33 32 33 2 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 48% 1.10 5.50 P
10  CONRADO 8 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 3 (vitali marcu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
ROOSTER RUN 3 6 6 78 6 4 4 (munoz yovani)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 15% 5.80 7.20  
ONE MORE BABY 6 2 54 44 4 5 5 (fogarty desmon)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 18.20  
BELLA'S GATSBY 5 7 7 6 710½ 6 612¾ (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 4.50 10% 8.60 6.60  
FATHER PATRICK 1 5 1110¼ 1115 1119¼ 1015½ 716 (alba-hern)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 68.50  
KEESAWAH 2 1 44 8 916¼ 915½ 816¼ (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 20.00 5% 19.00 74.30  
F J'S GEM 7 10 10 9 810¾ 710½ 918¾ (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00 87.10  
HEY JACKSON 4 11 8 5 55 811½ 1021½ (camejo jose )MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 17.40  
13  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY 11 9 9 1010 1018¼ 1120 1130¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 89.40  
SCR  OVER CALENDARED               (hernandez javier)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (hernandez javie)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.