Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $20.20 $14.20 237%
FG-2   WIN (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $20.10 $8.10 68%
FG-3   PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/4/5/7)-(4/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-2-4 $32.20 $14.20 79%
FG-8   WIN (4/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (4/9/3/8)-(4/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $14.80 $2.80 23%
FG-9   DD (4/9/3/8)-(5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $16.70 $4.70 39%
FG-10   EXA (4/7)-(4/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-2 $5.30 $1.30 33%
    PK3 (4/9/3/8)-(5/1/8)-(4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-4 $20.05 $8.05 67%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:22 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOYAL TO THE CHIEF 5 2 1nk 12   15 112¼ (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 30% 2.30 4.00 W
SUM CHARM 6 1 3 22   25 212¼ (ney john)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 7% 13.20 5.00 P
JUST ANOTHER WIN 2 4 4 4   3 312¾ (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 4.10  
DANAS MULE 4 6 54 33   47 413½ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60  
ROSIE SPRIT 3 5 6 67   612½ 522¼ (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 5.30  
CONTINENTAL RED 1 3 2nk 54   511 622¾ (richards c)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 7.80  
 
FG-2   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SCULLY 2 1 2 2nk   12 1hd (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 50% 1.00 3.30 W
RISKY PRIORITY 3 8 43 3   22 2hd (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 19.80  
FIELD OF VISION 4 4 5 7   56 3 (courville )MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 14% 6.00 1.30 S
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 5 3 3 4   3 410½ (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 14% 6.30 5.50  
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 8 6 74 5   7 512¾ (thompson kevin)PARKER L 119 6.00 7.20  
INTHEALY 1 2 1 1nk   4 613¾ (schmidt den)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 5.00  
CUSTOM PRAYER 7 5 64 6   68 717¾ (ladner rann)MELANCON G 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
THE THREE KS 6 7 8 811¾   812 818 (williams ke)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 15.00 29.30  
 
FG-3   12/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:16 1:284   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT WASN'T ME 4 3 42 44 4 2nk 1½ (handal raymo)TORRES A 121 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 2 4 3 3 2 1nk 2½ (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 7.20  
IM SINGLED UP 3 8 5 5 3 3.2 3 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 121 6.00 9.70 S
CAPELLA RED 6 6 7 65 6 5 44 (west patricia )GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 32.20  
TRES CHIC (ARG) 7 7 86 87 7 6 5 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 3.60  
TURBO PROP 1 1 1½ 11 1 4¾ 6 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 2.30  
MARMO MOON 5 2 6 76 8 7 710½ (zeringue j)MURRAY M 121 6.00 32% 2.10 10.90  
WINE IN THE DARK 8 5 2½ 21 54 8 816½ (zeringue w )CARMONA SERAFIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  IRISH MOLLY               (west henry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 2 2 1 1½   1 1 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 2.10  
AZTEC EMPRESS 4 1 2 2½   2 2 (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 7% 14.10 1.30 P
LADY ABERDEEN 5 3 5 5   4 3 (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 10.90  
COFFEE CRISP 7 4 4 34   36 48 (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 2.70  
FROST AND FIRE 1 7 33 4   5 512½ (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 23.70  
LOLA'S LIGHT 3 5 66 6   6 615 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 40.50  
MAYLEN 6 6 7 710½   714 720 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 6.00 14% 6.30 19.00  
 
FG-5   12/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORT TOWNSEND 7 1 1½ 1nk   14 14 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5.30  
  (by UNCLE MO out of QUIET PLACE by TAPIZAR)
TRULY GRATEFUL 4 9 63 7   24 24 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 14% 6.20 5.10 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of MUCH OBLIGED by KINGMAMBO)
CANDY BAR 6 4 73 6   55 3 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 11% 8.00 1.80 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
LIFFEY 9 6 84 8   8 4 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 16.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
FIESTA BESTA 1 2 2½ 4   7 58 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CLASSIC CLAIRE 2 3 52 5   6 6 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 7.30  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
FIRST LOVE 8 5 4 3.2   3 711¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 6.00 4.80  
  (by KANTHAROS out of R D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MYSTIC CREED 5 8 31 2nk   4 812 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 52% 0.90 7.90  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MYSTIC CHARM by WAR PASS)
THEMISCHIEVOUSONE 3 7 9 911¼   914¾ 920½ (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 27.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ORLOFF               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
 
FG-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL INTENT 9 5 11 1nk   1½ 1¾ (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 18.40 DQ↓3
  (by RELOAD out of PHILZANA by PHILANTHROPIST)
BARNABY 4 3 5 3½   31 2¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 55% 0.80 2.00 W
  (by TAPITURE out of GIANTS DIVA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RUNAWAY JOKE 6 4 4 2nk   2½ 3 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 2.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUIVERY by VIOLENCE)
DEN'S GOOD GRACE 1 8 6 6   4 4 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 7% 13.80 4.00  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of THREE GRACES by DONERAILE COURT)
KINGSCOTE 8 1 8 54   54 5 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 5.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of UP AT DAWN by UNCLE MO)
PHILANTHROPER 2 6 31 41   6 610½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 8.80  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
SHARMA'D 7 7 9 7   7 716 (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 10.00 7% 13.80 41.50  
  (by TAPWRIT out of HEARTBREAK HILL by GHOSTZAPPER)
BLAME DENNIS 3 2 21 8   812½ 826¼ (arey anthony)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00 70.10  
  (by COAL FRONT out of SLEWPY'S STAR by STAR PROGRAMMER)
FLY'N FRISBEE 5 9 7 9   916½ 935½ (arey anthony)MATA U 120 20.00 7% 13.80 59.00  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MINUTIA by CONCORD POINT)
 
FG-7   12/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:151 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL COAXING 5 1 3 31 21 11 1 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 4.40  
FREEDOM FACTOR 7 6 2½ 11 11 21 2 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.10 P
HALEYS SAILOR 4 2 5 5 4 34 3 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 6.50  
SNIVELING 1 4 711½ 710 7 67 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 38.80  
MALTHAEL 3 7 68 67 67 5 5 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 9% 10.00 2.60  
TELEPHONE TALKER 2 3 44 4 33 44 6 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 121 3.00 35% 1.90 2.20  
MOUNTAIN PINE 6 5 1½ 21 5 7 714 (borel renay)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 19.70  
SCR  FLEET OF HOOF               (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK               (cravens )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
 
FG-8   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTED 3 2 1 1   13 1½ (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 9% 9.90 5.30 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
TRUST ISSUES 4 7 32 2   23 2½ (lovell miche)TORRES A 120 3.50 55% 0.80 0.70 P
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
B FIFTY TWO 2 6 6 57   55 32 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 9.60  
  (by FLATTER out of STORMY B by CHEROKEE RUN)
STARSTUDDED AFFAIR 7 1 2 34   45 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 42.00  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
ROCK N ROLL BOLT 5 5 4 4   3 5 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 22.70  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
SABI 1 9 7 710   67 6 (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 7.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEHOZACAT by TAPIT)
VINCITA 6 4 810 810   7 7 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 27.40  
  (by ENTICED out of MISS CANADA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SNOW KING 9 8 910½ 911   811 8 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 4.50 9% 9.90 11.70  
  (by TAPIT out of FIFTY FOOT WOMAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
COOKN WIT CATMAN 8 3 5 6   911½ 912½ (catalano wa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MINDFULLY by BERTRANDO)
 
FG-9   12/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :50 1:142 1:403   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO BE MARIE 5 2 43 44 44 1nk 11 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 58% 0.70 1.10 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
WITHOUT CAUSE 9 5 21 32 2 2nk 21 (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 7.50  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WITHHOLD by TIZNOW)
10  RAGTIME LADY 10 8 8 8 910 45 3 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 47.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUC'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
CORA'S LEGACY 1 1 11 12 1 33 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 19% 4.30 31.30  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
JOYFUL IMAGE 7 10 1111 1111½ 1112½ 10 5 (walsh bre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 16.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
11  PURR FACTOR 11 7 6 6 67 56 67 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 4.60  
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
NOT TONIGHT JOE 4 4 5 5 56 8 78 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 34.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ARONIA by MUTAKDDIM)
STILL TEMPER 8 6 7 7 78 78 8 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 38.10  
  (by ARROGATE out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
MISS HARMONIC 2 9 9 9 89 9 9 (forster t)LANERIE J 120 8.00 7.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of SPEED SEEKER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
MS SEDONA 3 11 1010 1011¼ 1012 1112¾ 1013¼ (morley thom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 24.10  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LASEEN by DYLAN THOMAS)
TEMPTING LADY 6 3 3 22 3 6 1113¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50 7.30  
  (by ENTICED out of FANTASTIC GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  BROUGHTY FERRY               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRAIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  HAUNTRESS               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of VIOLENT LADY by VIOLENCE)
SCR  MS QUALITY CONTROL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-10   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOURALIVIA 4 3 11 1   1 1 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 1.80 67% 0.50 0.90 W
CAJUN NINJA 2 2 21 3   2 2 (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 3.00 1.90 P
LOUISIANA LIBERTY 1 6 6 4   35 3 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 119 6.00 5.80  
SHES A LUCKY REBEL 7 1 31 2   4 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 18.30 15.70  
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY 3 5 5 5   5 5 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 12.10  
LUMINOUS FLIGHT 6 4 43 6   6 610½ (west henry)MCMAHON J 119 12.00 40.40  
SHELLI'S ANGEL 5 7 7 7   711 712¼ (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 17.90  
 
FG-11   12/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZAICI 9 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 0.80  
12  HOODLUM 10 8 3 33 32 33 2 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 48% 1.10 5.50 P
10  CONRADO 8 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 3 (vitali mar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
ROOSTER RUN 3 6 6 78 6 4 4 (munoz yova)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 15% 5.80 7.20  
ONE MORE BABY 6 2 54 44 4 5 5 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 18.20  
BELLA'S GATSBY 5 7 7 6 710½ 6 612¾ (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 4.50 10% 8.60 6.60  
FATHER PATRICK 1 5 1110¼ 1115 1119¼ 1015½ 716 (alba-he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 68.50  
KEESAWAH 2 1 44 8 916¼ 915½ 816¼ (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 20.00 5% 19.00 74.30  
F J'S GEM 7 10 10 9 810¾ 710½ 918¾ (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00 87.10  
HEY JACKSON 4 11 8 5 55 811½ 1021½ (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 17.40  
13  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY 11 9 9 1010 1018¼ 1120 1130¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 89.40  
SCR  OVER CALENDARED               (hernandez javie)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (hernandez jav)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.