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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Keeneland
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

KEE-4			WIN	(13/3/1/5/6)						5	$2.00	$10.00	5		$28.06			$18.06				181%
			DD	(4/3/5)-(13/3/1/5/6)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-5		$28.54			$13.54				90%
			PK3	(10/6/8/11/12)-(4/3/5)-(13/3/1/5/6)						75	$0.50	$37.50	11-4-5		$69.77			$32.27				86%
KEE-5			DD	(13/3/1/5/6)-(6/8/1/5)						20	$1.00	$20.00	5-6		$32.46			$12.46				62%
			PK3	(4/3/5)-(13/3/1/5/6)-(6/8/1/5)						60	$0.50	$30.00	4-5-6		$35.05			$5.05				17%
			PK4	(10/6/8/11/12)-(4/3/5)-(13/3/1/5/6)-(6/8/1/5)						300	$0.50	$150	11-4-5-3/6/7		$156.78			$6.78				5%
KEE-6			WIN	(11/12/10/2/15)						5	$2.00	$10.00	2		$15.48			$5.48				55%
			EXA	(11/12/10/2/15)-(11/12/10/2/15)						20	$1.00	$20.00	2-12		$45.16			$25.16				126%
			DD	(6/8/1/5)-(11/12/10/2/15)						20	$1.00	$20.00	6-2		$31.30			$11.30				57%
			PK3	(13/3/1/5/6)-(6/8/1/5)-(11/12/10/2/15)						100	$0.50	$50.00	5-6-2		$194.89			$144.89				290%
KEE-7			PK3	(6/8/1/5)-(11/12/10/2/15)-(8/3/7/1)						80	$0.50	$40.00	6-2-8		$67.17			$27.17				68%
KEE-8			WIN	(4/11/3/1/6)						5	$2.00	$10.00	11		$13.52			$3.52				35%
			DD	(8/3/7/1)-(4/11/3/1/6)						20	$1.00	$20.00	8-11		$39.13			$19.13				96%

Simulator Race results


KEE-1			04/20/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($47K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	PUT THE CRAZY AWAY									(girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 125						10.00						5.20
7	SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE									(morey e)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		53%		0.90		2.28	P
2	LADY ABERDEEN									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.00		13%		6.80		3.17	S
8	GOLDEN DEGREE									(calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.00						3.33
3	GIFT GORGEOUS									(desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118						8.00						9.76
6	WEST COAST HARBOR									(puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118						10.00						16.46
5	TAN LINES									(navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125						15.00		5%		19.00		12.64
4	MS I SPEIGHT									(heath desti)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						12.00		5%		19.00		30.87

KEE-2			04/20/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			3		F		PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	WINAKACHING									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120						8.00		8%		10.80		3.76	W
		(by DIALED IN out of WONDER UPON A STAR by STREET CRY (IRE))
4	PENNY'S SMILE									(sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120						20.00						41.09
		(by BLAME out of OUR MARIA CELESTE by GALILEO (ARG))
12	ZEN MOMENT									(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120						12.00		5%		19.00		12.99	S
		(by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of A P'S HIDDEN HONEY by A.P. INDY)
10	UP ON THE EDGE									(brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120						4.00		25%		3.00		4.43
		(by UPSTART out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
6	CLASSY'N CONNECTED									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120						4.50		24%		3.20		11.83
		(by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
7	EVOCATION									(caramori )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120						15.00						33.03
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
3	ABOVE ALL ELSE									(navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 120						30.00						21.45
		(by HARD SPUN out of REVEL IN THE WIN by RED BULLET)
8	PRINCESS IS OLIVIA									(cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						5.00		21%		3.80		3.05
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of MISS GUIDED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2	SAILING									(mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120						12.00						6.22
		(by UNION RAGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5	QUEEN ANNA T									(mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 120						20.00						33.69
		(by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HEADSTRONG WOMAN by STRONG MANDATE)
9	AARALYN									(hiles a)LANERIE J 120						6.00						12.85
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WAR OFFICE by WAR FRONT)
1	ICE WATER									(medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						6.00						14.83
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of COLD AWAKENING by DEHERE)

KEE-3			04/20/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($110K)			3		ALL		PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MR SKYLIGHT									(mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120						0.80		53%		0.90		1.11	W
5	KNICKS STORM									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.00		9%		10.50		3.40	P
6	IRIDESCENT									(jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118						6.00						2.66
1	ONE RED CENT									(jazdzewski jon)CEDILLO ABEL 118						30.00						17.34
3	MOTOR CITY									(brinkman b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						4.00		12%		7.30		6.28
2	NAVE									(tracy ta)RODRIGUEZ A 118						30.00						36.13

KEE-4			04/20/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($110K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	BARAYE									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118						4.00		9%		10.00		13.03	W
4	TWIRL AROUND									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						10.00						9.03
3	CLOUDWALKER									(walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118						4.50		22%		3.50		1.21	S
8	NUMERO SEIS									(sharp joe)TORRES A 124						20.00						54.55
7	CANDY BAR									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						8.00						14.32
10	WORK OF FICTION									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 124						8.00						15.18
1	ROYAL FLOWER									(asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124						3.00		21%		3.80		4.04
9	RUTHLESS RUA									(leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 124						15.00						57.76
6	BEST KISS YET									(catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00		5%		19.00		24.32
2	GOLD DEL MAR									(bahena )DE CRUZ 118						20.00						75.77
15	WILD IRISH									(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124						15.00						64.90
13	CADENCIA									(morey william)ORTIZ JR 124						8.00		25%		3.00		6.17
SCR	MUSICAL PRAYER									(vaccarezza ca)ORTIZ JR 124						10.00
SCR	MY GIRL GINGER									(hernandez rey)ROCCO S 118						30.00
SCR	TIVALI									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						30.00

KEE-5			04/20/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($32K)					Purse ($64K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SYSTEMIC CHANGE									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118						2.00		35%		1.90		1.72	W
8	FROMANOTHAMUTHA									(handal ra)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						3.00		19%		4.40		4.31	P
2	DIVINE ARMOR									(jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50						6.43
4	BIRD KING									(londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 118						20.00						17.32
1	SAQEEL									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						10.00		15%		5.80		2.76
5	DIRECT LINE									(eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						6.00		5%		19.00		6.08
9	BEYOND BEST									(troiani nic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						15.00						24.14
SCR	CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH									(synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 118						12.00
SCR	HUNTER SCOTT									(acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 111						10.00

KEE-6			04/20/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($120K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MISREAD									(drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118						8.00		5%		19.00		6.74	W
12	OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE)									(walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						4.00		20%		4.00		4.23	P
10	SACRED WISH									(weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118						2.50		15%		5.80		2.16	S
4	ONE SILK STOCKING									(ramirez ricard)CONNER TYLER 118						15.00						31.77
15	QUALITY STAR									(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						12.00		5%		19.00		29.95
8	GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB)									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						15.00						4.86
9	SAMAY (PER)									(arias alfonso)MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00						11.56
3	WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE									(schultz li)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						15.00						17.82
11	PLEASANT PASSAGE									(mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118						6.00		41%		1.50		5.69
13	STORM BAY									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						15.00						48.50
6	MOON RAY (FR)									(ramos rafae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						50.00						52.99
SCR	AMERICAN RETRO									(wilkes ian )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120						10.00
SCR	CAHIRA'S BLESSING									(casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00
SCR	FREYDIS THE RED (FR)									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						5.00
SCR	SARA MIA									(pessin l)LANERIE J 118						20.00
SCR	VERNET (IRE)									(vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						30.00

KEE-7			04/20/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			3		F		PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SARIR									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120						3.00		56%		0.80		3.02	W
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
3	SOUNDBITE									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						4.00		11%		8.20		1.82	P
		(by AUDIBLE out of ABTASAAMAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5	ALICIT INTENTION									(medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						8.00						8.46
		(by MITOLE out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
7	HALSTYN ROSE									(lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120						8.00		9%		9.90		4.38
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of CASHING TICKETS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1	ILLUSION									(brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 120						6.00		5%		19.00		5.59
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9	OH MY MIA									(amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120						15.00						8.56
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
2	JUSTIFY PERFECTION									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120						20.00						23.63
		(by JUSTIFY out of SILENT PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR	FLIGHTNING BOLT									(casse w)LANERIE J 120						15.00
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SCR	SHE'S WICKED SMART									(falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.50
		(by RUNHAPPY out of TEAK TOTEM by NORTHERN AFLEET)

KEE-8			04/20/2024		7920ft	TURF	RC13	FIRM	VisitLEX Elkhorn					Purse ($350K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	SILVER KNOTT (GB)									(appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						8.00		14%		6.20		5.76	W
		(by UNKNOWN out of GOD GIVEN by DOUBLE ZEUS)
10	MISSED THE CUT (IRE)									(sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00						4.13
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of BEAULY by SEA THE STARS)
4	BOLD ACT (IRE)									(appleby c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120						1.50		52%		0.90		0.56	S
		(by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2	KING CURLIN									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 118						30.00						54.09
		(by CURLIN out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
3	HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE)									(motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118						5.00		7%		12.60		15.26
		(by GLENEAGLES out of PINK SYMPHONY by MONTJEU (IRE))
9	LUCKY CURLIN									(maker micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118						50.00						57.97
		(by CURLIN out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
6	WENTRU									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						30.00		5%		19.00		97.06
		(by TOURIST out of WICKED TEMPER by TAPIT)
5	DYNADRIVE									(maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						20.00						40.57
		(by TEMPLE CITY out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1	THE GREY WIZARD (IRE)									(motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00		5%		18.30		11.92
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
SCR	FOREIGN RELATIONS									(murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118						15.00
		(by KARAKONTIE out of QUEST by MR. SIDNEY)
SCR	WINNING SPIRIT (GER)									(clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						6.00
		(by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)

KEE-9			04/20/2024		6270ft	DIRT	RC12	FAST	Ben Ali					Purse ($300K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	KINGSBARNS									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.00		25%		2.90		1.68	W
		(by UNCLE MO out of LADY TAPIT by TAPIT)
9	WAR CAMPAIGN									(sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						4.00		7%		13.90		3.80	P
		(by DECLARATION OF WAR out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
6	ARCHIE THE GIZA									(medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 118						30.00						25.63
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
1	TIME FOR TROUBLE									(hiles a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						6.00		5%		18.00		7.78
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
7	DYNAMIC ONE									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118						8.00						7.17
		(by UNION RAGS out of BEAT THE DRUMS by FOLLOW THE DRUM)
2	SURLY FURIOUS									(wismer gl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						10.00		5%		19.00		11.19
		(by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3	SMILE HAPPY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.00		35%		1.80		4.66
		(by RUNHAPPY out of PLEASANT SMILE by PLEASANT TAP)
5	LAUGHING BOY									(jacobson da)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						15.00						17.23
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
8	HAPPY AMERICAN									(pessin l)LANERIE J 118						15.00						42.11
		(by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)

KEE-10			04/20/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($110K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	ALL I WANT IS YOU									(correas ignaci)PRAT FLAVIEN 124						10.00						5.94
2	PROUD MARY									(thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124						2.50		13%		6.70		1.36	P
12	PAROLA SICURA									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						12.00		5%		19.00		23.54	S
4	EMPIRES PRINCESS									(stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124						15.00						16.92
3	CABERNEIGH									(barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118						20.00						22.35
5	DEFINITE DIVA									(breen j)ORTIZ JR 124						8.00						4.79
10	INTEGRATED DESIGN									(hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118						50.00						######
9	AGENT									(lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124						20.00						43.95
7	SWEET DUTCHESS									(walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124						5.00		7%		12.70		10.20
1	GOLDEN DAGGER									(morey william )MACHADO LUAN 124						3.50		52%		0.90		5.70
6	FAST LANI									(catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 124						15.00		6%		16.30		33.18
8	BOBBIE SOX									(gonzalez rein)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						20.00						76.80
SCR	ITALIAN IVY									(walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118						30.00
SCR	MAKEUP									(asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00
SCR	SANDRA D									(antonucci j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.