Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   TRI (6/7/2/10)-(6/7/2/10)-(6/7/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-10 $20.03 $8.03 67%
KEE-3   EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $10.65 $4.65 78%
KEE-8   WIN (11/4/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $16.76 $6.76 68%
    EXA (11/4/3/5/9)-(11/4/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-3 $28.46 $8.46 42%
KEE-10   TRI (1/4/9/2)-(1/4/9/8/2)-(1/4/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-1-9 $30.93 $6.93 29%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TILTED TOWERS   (vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.11 W
2  FIGURETI (CHI)   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30 1.85 P
10  SPYCRAFT   (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.60 4.76 S
1  RIVOLI   (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.89  
7  HOLIDAY HOUSE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 19% 4.20 12.11  
3  ONE FOR RICHIE   (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 9.57  
5  COYOTE ROAD   (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 12.00 25.65  
9  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER   (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 39.77  
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL   (manley stev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
SCR  LATIN CASINO   (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHARP SHOT   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 73% 0.40 0.73 W
14  MASTER OF THE NITE   (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 67.30  
9  QUEBRANCHO   (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.03  
4  NO BRAKE NEEDED   (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 20.13  
7  HIGH ALERT   (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 31.94  
2  BATTLE BORN   (king l)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 42.87  
10  PORT ROYAL   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 10.98  
1  LIQUOR TALK   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 26.91  
8  ELM STREET   (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 ★ 36.23  
3  SHANNONRUN   (perez car)LEZCANO ABEL 125 30.00 82.49  
11  IF I WERE YOU   (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 ★ 7.56  
12  ERASMUS   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00 15.68  
SCR  GLAMOROUS   (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  MODERN DAY WARRIOR   (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 3.00    
SCR  UNREASONABLE (IRE)   (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-3   04/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PYRENEES   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.61 W
2  THE PRINCE'S SPUR   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10 4.69 P
3  CYCLONE MISCHIEF   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 4.16  
6  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 23.15  
4  BABA VOSS   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.70 3.54  
7  TALL BOY   (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 4.63  
SCR  BARBER ROAD   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
 
KEE-4   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARRODSBURG   (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40 0.69 W
5  ASMODEUS   (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.73 P
8  ABADIN   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 ★ 5.97 S
10  ICEATUDE   (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 42.34  
7  AGED TRUTH   (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 9.15  
9  FLIPARINO   (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 30.00 42.87  
1  DAZZLEMESILVER   (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 28.72  
11  WICKED AGAIN   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 6% 16.20 4.75  
6  QUENCIO   (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 76.63  
SCR  FIGLIO DEL RE (IRE)   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 20.00    
SCR  MOREAU   (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST BETTER   (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 57% 0.80 1.20 W
7  PURLOIN   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 1.85  
9  BELLA CRUELLA   (williamson )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 16% 5.20 6.84 S
2  ENZI   (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.39  
14  SPICE   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 4.07  
SCR  MODERN SOUND   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  ONLY EMOTIONS   (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL WINTOUR   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00    
SCR  SMILING ELLIE   (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY   (mckeever andr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  KERLO'S CAUSE   (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 50.00    
SCR  SUMMERINTAHOE   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  EXPATRIATE   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  BELLE OF RIGHTS   (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)   (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEHOE BEACH   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.40 1.17 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS   (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9% 10.10 7.85 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA BIONDETTI by BIONDETTI)
4  SONGMAKER   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12.15  
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
1  PRETTY LAYLA   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.78  
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
9  ON COMMAND   (arnold george )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 21% 3.80 5.07  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
11  MARINA VILLAGE   (heath destin)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 83.32  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FOUR WISHES by MORE THAN READY)
3  SHORT SKIRTS   (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 23.26  
  (by FLATTER out of UR DVLN DISGUISE by CALEB'S POSSE)
6  LEGAL DECEIVER   (hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 98.44  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEGAL MIND by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  ELEGANT VISION   (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 46.47  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  TIME FOR MAGIC   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 66.13  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MINES AND MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
8  MAY MAY STRONG   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 31% 2.20 6.17  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
5  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9.75  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOTSANDLOTSOFHOPE by TIZNOW)
 
KEE-7   04/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HOT BEACH   (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 22% 3.60 0.99 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  ZOE'S PRIME   (camejo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 40% 1.50 5.04 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PETUNIA by CHIEF SINGER)
5  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE)   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.06  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BIG TROUBLE   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 8.76  
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  ANTIQUE SILVER   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.71  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAUY'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER)   (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00 49.58  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
9  FOXXY CLEOPATRA   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 16% 5.40 3.95  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE FOXY GREY by BIG BROWN)
7  GREAVETTE   (begg ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 39.36  
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
SCR  AMIDST WAVES   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CRIMSON ADVOCATE   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CITIZEN ADVOCATE by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  NICE AS PIE   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)   (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  TOUPIE (GB)   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
SCR  XTREME DIVA   (robertson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILLY LITTLE MAMA by OLD TOPPER)
 
KEE-8   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUNCROFT   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 8% 12.10 7.38 W
3  CLASSIC LEGACY   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 14% 6.10 3.72 P
2  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON   (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 48.66  
4  MAGIC EXPRESS   (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 26% 2.80 12.82  
11  TUNISIAN SPRING   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 28% 2.60 0.94  
1  BRAMITO   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 8.90  
7  NO NO JOE   (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 28.08  
6  LAVER   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 66.17  
10  B SUDD   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 35.16  
9  POLSTER   (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.21  
8  PERFECT EDGE   (brinkman bret)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
 
KEE-9   04/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE)   (appleby cha)BUICK T 123 0.80 28% 2.60 0.77 W
  (by DUBAWI out of FIRTH OF LORNE by DANEHILL)
3  NAVAL POWER (GB)   (appleby ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 5.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  INTEGRATION   (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.50 26% 2.90 3.74 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HARMONIZE by SCAT DADDY)
6  SHIRL'S SPEIGHT   (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 15.26  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PERFECT SHIRL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  EMMANUEL   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 16% 5.20 8.54  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
5  KUBRICK (IRE)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 20.00 8.61  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROSA BONHEUR by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  DU JOUR   (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  EQUITIZE (GB)   (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WALDLIED by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
 
KEE-10   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDNIGHT RAID   (casse w)LANERIE J 125 3.00 39% 1.60 2.25 W
1  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.50 39% 1.60 3.80 P
9  TAGLIATELLE   (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.81 S
5  GILDED CRAKEN   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 8.10  
3  MY FRIEND LOUIE   (murphy cono)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00 32.44  
2  LONGSHADOW   (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00 5% 19.00 46.16  
10  EJTIMAA   (dini mike)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.83  
8  WASHINGTON'S UNION   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 ★ 12.15  
6  STOP THE SPREAD   (caramori eduar)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 31.88  
SCR  LIPS SAY BLISS   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.