Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   TRI (6/7/2/10)-(6/7/2/10)-(6/7/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-10 $20.03 $8.03 67%
KEE-3   EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $10.65 $4.65 78%
KEE-8   WIN (11/4/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $16.76 $6.76 68%
    EXA (11/4/3/5/9)-(11/4/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-3 $28.46 $8.46 42%
KEE-10   TRI (1/4/9/2)-(1/4/9/8/2)-(1/4/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-1-9 $30.93 $6.93 29%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TILTED TOWERS 5 3 1nk 13   13½ 13¾ (vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.11 W
2  FIGURETI (CHI) 2 2 2nk 23   23½ 23¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30 1.85 P
10  SPYCRAFT 8 4 32 35   36½ 311 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.60 4.76 S
1  RIVOLI 1 1 42¼ 59   510 414¼ (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.89  
7  HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 6 52¼ 46½   48 514¾ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 19% 4.20 12.11  
3  ONE FOR RICHIE 3 8 64¾ 610½   610½ 617¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 9.57  
5  COYOTE ROAD 4 5 75¼ 713½   713 723½ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 12.00 25.65  
9  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 7 85¾ 815   816 832¼ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 39.77  
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL               (manley stev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
SCR  LATIN CASINO               (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHARP SHOT 5 3 11 1½   13 19¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 73% 0.40 0.73 W
14  MASTER OF THE NITE 12 2 31½ 2½   23 29¼ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 67.30  
9  QUEBRANCHO 8 4 63 42   34½ 39½ (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.03  
4  NO BRAKE NEEDED 4 8 95½ 87   47 412½ (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 20.13  
7  HIGH ALERT 6 7 42½ 63½   68 516¼ (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 31.94  
2  BATTLE BORN 2 10 53 53   58 616½ (king l)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 42.87  
10  PORT ROYAL 9 6 117 109¼   812½ 721¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 10.98  
1  LIQUOR TALK 1 11 127½ 119¼   912¾ 822 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 26.91  
8  ELM STREET 7 5 21 32   79½ 924 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 ★ 36.23  
3  SHANNONRUN 3 12 106 97¼   1015¾ 1034 (perez car)LEZCANO ABEL 125 30.00 82.49  
11  IF I WERE YOU 10 1 73½ 1210¼   1118¼ 1136 (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 ★ 7.56  
12  ERASMUS 11 9 84 75   1219¼ 1243¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00 15.68  
SCR  GLAMOROUS               (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  MODERN DAY WARRIOR               (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 3.00    
SCR  UNREASONABLE (IRE)               (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-3   04/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PYRENEES 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 13 13 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.61 W
2  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 2 1 31½ 41½ 31 23 23 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10 4.69 P
3  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 33 37¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 4.16  
6  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 5 4 66 68 66½ 59 410½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 23.15  
4  BABA VOSS 4 6 53½ 53½ 42½ 47½ 514¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.70 3.54  
7  TALL BOY 6 5 42 31 53 617 637¾ (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 4.63  
SCR  BARBER ROAD               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
 
KEE-4   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:10     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARRODSBURG 2 1 11 11½   15 15½ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40 0.69 W
5  ASMODEUS 3 3 42½ 43½   25 25½ (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.73 P
8  ABADIN 6 2 21 21½   35½ 310½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 ★ 5.97 S
10  ICEATUDE 8 6 86¾ 78   611 415¼ (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 42.34  
7  AGED TRUTH 5 9 54 55½   510½ 516 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 9.15  
9  FLIPARINO 7 8 910¼ 911½   812 617 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 30.00 42.87  
1  DAZZLEMESILVER 1 4 31 32   48 718 (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 28.72  
11  WICKED AGAIN 9 5 64½ 65½   711 823 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 6% 16.20 4.75  
6  QUENCIO 4 7 74¾ 88½   915 928 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 76.63  
SCR  FIGLIO DEL RE (IRE)               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 20.00    
SCR  MOREAU               (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST BETTER 4 2 2½ 2nk 12 15 16¾ (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 57% 0.80 1.20 W
7  PURLOIN 2 3 42 33 34 25 26¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 1.85  
9  BELLA CRUELLA 3 1 1½ 1nk 22 37½ 315¼ (williamson )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 16% 5.20 6.84 S
2  ENZI 1 4 53 53¼ 48½ 413½ 424¼ (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.39  
14  SPICE 5 5 31½ 43¼ 512 523½ 552½ (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 4.07  
SCR  MODERN SOUND               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  ONLY EMOTIONS               (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL WINTOUR               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00    
SCR  SMILING ELLIE               (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY               (mckeever andr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  KERLO'S CAUSE               (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 50.00    
SCR  SUMMERINTAHOE               (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  EXPATRIATE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  BELLE OF RIGHTS               (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:213 :444 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEHOE BEACH 2 7 1½ 11   15 16½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.40 1.17 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS 12 1 85¼ 66   25 26½ (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9% 10.10 7.85 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA BIONDETTI by BIONDETTI)
4  SONGMAKER 4 2 31½ 44½   46½ 311¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12.15  
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
1  PRETTY LAYLA 1 11 74¾ 56   58½ 413¾ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.78  
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
9  ON COMMAND 9 4 53 34   36½ 514¾ (arnold george )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 21% 3.80 5.07  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
11  MARINA VILLAGE 11 3 64½ 76½   710¾ 615 (heath destin)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 83.32  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FOUR WISHES by MORE THAN READY)
3  SHORT SKIRTS 3 9 1110¾ 1012   914¾ 721¼ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 23.26  
  (by FLATTER out of UR DVLN DISGUISE by CALEB'S POSSE)
6  LEGAL DECEIVER 6 8 96¼ 88   812¾ 822 (hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 98.44  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEGAL MIND by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  ELEGANT VISION 7 6 2½ 21   610½ 926¾ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 46.47  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  TIME FOR MAGIC 10 10 1211¼ 1217   1118¾ 1028 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 66.13  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MINES AND MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
8  MAY MAY STRONG 8 5 43 99½   1015¾ 1128¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 31% 2.20 6.17  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
5  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY 5 12 108¼ 1115½   1224¾ 1251½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9.75  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOTSANDLOTSOFHOPE by TIZNOW)
 
KEE-7   04/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HOT BEACH 8 1 11½ 11   12½ 14 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 22% 3.60 0.99 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  ZOE'S PRIME 2 4 21½ 21   22½ 24 (camejo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 40% 1.50 5.04 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PETUNIA by CHIEF SINGER)
5  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) 3 8 55 55½   35½ 35 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.06  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BIG TROUBLE 6 7 76 66   57 46¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 8.76  
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  ANTIQUE SILVER 4 2 65½ 77   67½ 56¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.71  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAUY'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 1 5 33 33   46½ 610¼ (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00 49.58  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
9  FOXXY CLEOPATRA 7 3 43½ 43½   77½ 712¼ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 16% 5.40 3.95  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE FOXY GREY by BIG BROWN)
7  GREAVETTE 5 6 88½ 812   814½ 826¼ (begg ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 39.36  
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
SCR  AMIDST WAVES               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CRIMSON ADVOCATE               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CITIZEN ADVOCATE by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  NICE AS PIE               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  TOUPIE (GB)               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
SCR  XTREME DIVA               (robertson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILLY LITTLE MAMA by OLD TOPPER)
 
KEE-8   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:091     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUNCROFT 5 7 1nk 1½   12½ 11 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 8% 12.10 7.38 W
3  CLASSIC LEGACY 3 10 117½ 107¼   33 21 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 14% 6.10 3.72 P
2  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 2 11 107¼ 76   55½ 33¼ (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 48.66  
4  MAGIC EXPRESS 4 6 51¾ 32   43½ 45½ (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 26% 2.80 12.82  
11  TUNISIAN SPRING 11 5 4¾ 2½   22½ 58 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 28% 2.60 0.94  
1  BRAMITO 1 9 63¼ 54½   67 610¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 8.90  
7  NO NO JOE 7 8 95¼ 65½   89 710½ (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 28.08  
6  LAVER 6 1 73¼ 87   910½ 814¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 66.17  
10  B SUDD 10 4 3½ 42   78½ 916¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 35.16  
9  POLSTER 9 3 83¾ 119¼   1012½ 1020¾ (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.21  
8  PERFECT EDGE 8 2 2nk 97¼   1120½ 1153¼ (brinkman bret)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
 
KEE-9   04/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:124 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) 3 5 32 32 31½ 11½ 12¼ (appleby cha)BUICK T 123 0.80 28% 2.60 0.77 W
  (by DUBAWI out of FIRTH OF LORNE by DANEHILL)
3  NAVAL POWER (GB) 2 6 64½ 53½ 52 21½ 22¼ (appleby ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 5.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  INTEGRATION 6 4 53½ 63¾ 62½ 42½ 34½ (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.50 26% 2.90 3.74 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HARMONIZE by SCAT DADDY)
6  SHIRL'S SPEIGHT 5 2 42 42 42 32 44¾ (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 15.26  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PERFECT SHIRL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  EMMANUEL 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 53 57½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 16% 5.20 8.54  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
5  KUBRICK (IRE) 4 3 2½ 21 2½ 63 67¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 20.00 8.61  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROSA BONHEUR by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  DU JOUR               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  EQUITIZE (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WALDLIED by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
 
KEE-10   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:14 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDNIGHT RAID 4 2 42½ 31 31½ 15 19¾ (casse w)LANERIE J 125 3.00 39% 1.60 2.25 W
1  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY 1 3 1½ 11 11 25 29¾ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.50 39% 1.60 3.80 P
9  TAGLIATELLE 8 9 97¾ 95½ 64 35½ 310¼ (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.81 S
5  GILDED CRAKEN 5 1 32 52¾ 75½ 59½ 415¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 8.10  
3  MY FRIEND LOUIE 3 6 74¾ 73¼ 43 49 517¼ (murphy cono)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00 32.44  
2  LONGSHADOW 2 7 85¾ 83½ 53 612 624 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00 5% 19.00 46.16  
10  EJTIMAA 9 8 52½ 21 21 712½ 734½ (dini mike)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.83  
8  WASHINGTON'S UNION 7 5 62¾ 62¾ 86 816½ 843½ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 ★ 12.15  
6  STOP THE SPREAD 6 4 2½ 41¼ 918 9100 9100 (caramori eduar)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 31.88  
SCR  LIPS SAY BLISS               (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.