Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   EXA (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $35.74 $11.74 49%
    TRI (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-3 $45.84 $33.84 282%
    SFT (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-6-3-8 $32.90 $30.50 1271%
TP-2   DD (3/7/8/6)-(9/6/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-10 $25.89 $5.89 29%
TP-3   WIN (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.48 $4.48 56%
    EXA (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $229.54 $205.54 856%
    TRI (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-7-2 $207.72 $195.72 1631%
    DD (9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-8 $27.92 $7.92 40%
    PK3 (3/7/8/6)-(9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00  7-10-8 $72.16 $32.16 80%
TP-4   WIN (4/2/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $12.48 $2.48 25%
    EXA (4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-2 $56.78 $16.78 42%
    TRI (4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-2-4 $53.95 $23.95 80%
    DD (1/8/2/7)-(4/2/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-1 $69.22 $49.22 246%
    PK3 (9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(4/2/1/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00  10-8-1 $171.81 $121.81 244%
TP-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.48 $7.48 125%
TP-7   TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-4 $36.50 $24.50 204%
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $15.88 $3.88 32%
TP-9   EXA (10/6/13/3)-(10/6/13/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-6 $35.72 $3.72 12%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST HILL 2 6 7 64   32 1nk (watkins m)MCKEE J 124 6.00 6.01 DQ↓7
PHAT CHANCE FANCY 6 1 11 1nk   12 2nk (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 116 2.50 31% 2.20 2.04 W
ROCKABILLIE 5 7 6 53   43 3 (garcia ge)CORREA L 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.31 P
R QUEEN CANDY 3 4 3 42   22 43 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 41% 1.40 3.74 S
MIDNIGHT GRIND 7 2 21 2nk   5 5 (ewing michael )CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 5% 18.00 5.72  
LONG BLACK VEIL 4 5 53 76   79 614 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00 59.32  
KAYA'S HALO 8 3 4 31   66 715½ (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 2.81  
MISS SOVELIA 1 8 8 88   811 820 (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 114 30.00 67.74  
SCR  CLASSIC JULIA               (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  ISA LEI               (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FORGE IN FIRE 9 1 53 32   1nk 1¼ (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 7% 13.70 4.18 W
STONKS 5 8 86 64   2nk 2¼ (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 125 2.50 21% 3.80 1.54 P
SMOKE WAGON 8 3 7 53   42 34 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 43% 1.30 3.98 S
GOLD FRANC (IRE) 3 5 11 1nk   3½ 48 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 5.20  
11  TEXAS TOAST 10 2 9 10   53 58 (bicknell )CORREA L 125 8.00 11.46  
HOOSIER DADDY NOW 6 9 109 9   9 6 (kendall elise)LEON SONNY 118 30.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
PAIGE PERFECT 4 6 21 2nk   7 711¼ (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00 5% 19.00 12.95  
MONBA QUAKE 7 7 4 4   6 811½ (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 30.00 35.72  
FREAKY Z 2 10 6 75   8 915¼ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00 28.49  
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN 1 4 3 8   1015¼ 1033½ (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 125 30.00 ######  
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY               (hughes g)LEON SONNY 125 10.00    
 
TP-3   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIAL 8 3 7 7   6 1hd (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 23% 3.30 5.24 W
RIETTA 7 2 32 3   4 2hd (boyce m)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 10% 8.70 24.19 P
PRINCESA CELINA 2 5 2 21   3½ 3 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 12% 7.70 2.06 S
THESE APPLES 5 7 53 4   2½ 4 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 4.73  
PINOTSLILGIRL 6 1 6 54   5 5 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 7.05  
CABERNEIGH 3 4 1 11   1½ 6 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 6.00 9.71  
HAPPY WORLD 4 8 8 8   7 7 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00 11.92  
STREAMING NOW 1 6 4 6   8 810¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 26% 2.90 3.61  
 
TP-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:152 1:274   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INHERENT POWERS 1 4 42 4 3½ 11 12 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 8.00 14% 6.10 5.24 W
COMMAND CENTRAL 2 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 21 22 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 121 4.00 14% 6.00 4.36 P
MAJOR SPARKS 4 8 10 11 10 64 3 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.50 28% 2.50 3.04 S
12  NOT SO EASY 11 11 11 10 64 4 4 (adams nan)CORREA L 121 8.00 13.34  
JOB SECURITY 3 7 8 8 8 5 5 (stinson willia)ROMAN A 121 4.50 9% 10.30 3.05  
VIOLIN MAKER 5 5 6 53 4 33 6 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 8% 12.00 27.06  
10  SMOKEY LEE 10 6 5 64 9 7 7 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 12.49  
NOT YET CHARLIE 9 9 7 7 53 9 8 (cline c)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00 9.77  
MONKEY ZONE 6 10 9 9 11 10 9 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 30.00 75.07  
MERLIN'S SONG 8 3 31 31 1½ 8 1012¼ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 14.46  
MACHO JUSTICE 7 1 1nk 2nk 7 11 1116½ (rechy chaz)PAULY SUMMER 111 30.00 45.92  
SCR  JINGLE               (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00    
 
TP-5   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNABLE 3 1 32 3 3.2 12 1 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 14.14  
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 7 5 8 85 74 4 2 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.99 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GUINEVERE 1 7 4 53 5 64 3 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 18% 4.40 1.80 S
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SPELLCHECK 2 2 65 74 4 54 4 (carroll )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 20% 3.90 3.79  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LITERARY CRITIC by CITY ZIP)
MY SEXY BLONDE 4 9 7 63 8 76 5 (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 20.00 31.66  
  (by TAPITURE out of BARBETTE by HIGH YIELD)
PINK MOON 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 22 6 (navarrete anna)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 56.17  
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRD SWING by BIRDSTONE)
STAKEOUT 6 3 21 2½ 2nk 33 711¼ (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.42  
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  TOFFEE APPLE 8 8 9 9 9 87 814¼ (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
12  SHARPER GAL 9 6 5 42 6 9 915½ (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 60.93  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GAL FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  ALDORA               (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
SCR  JANEY CREED               (hughes g)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MOTHER FREEDOM               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MOTHER by LION HEARTED)
SCR  NELLIE THURSDAY               (devaux cherie)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of DOLL FACE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  WAGGLE PASS               (medina robert)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ROSSEZZA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
TP-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABITIBI 1 5 41 4   12 1 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.50 21% 3.90 5.74 W
O'BABE 4 1 2nk 2½   22 2 (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 5.38  
QUARTERFLASH 6 6 6 66   56 3 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 5.25  
BEL ARIA 2 4 52 53   44 4 (foster )DE CRUZ 120 2.50 17% 5.00 1.54  
CACTUS FLOWER 3 3 1nk 1½   32 5 (matthews randy)ROMAN A 120 3.00 30% 2.40 4.62  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 5 2 3½ 3½   6 614½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 4.66  
SCR  CALTHA               (salas felipe)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
 
TP-7   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:142 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOICE FROM ABOVE 1 5 7 8 43 1nk 1 (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 51% 1.00 1.26 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of HOW FAR TO HEAVEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CLASSY'N CONNECTED 3 4 54 6 54 31 2 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.62 P
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
KITTEN'S TEMPER 4 7 8 7 7 7 3 (beck rowena)FELIX E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.51 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNO TEMPER by DYNAFORMER)
REAL QUEEN 5 6 64 5 32 5 48 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 14.29  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
OONDIRI 7 8 2½ 1 12 2nk 5 (upton m)MOJICA JR 120 15.00 10.85  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of QUEEN ANNE'S LACE by LONHRO (AUS))
EVOCATION 2 2 43 44 6 4 610 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 9% 9.60 3.04  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
PASSING BAYOU 8 1 1½ 2 22 6 719½ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 42.81  
  (by CHITU out of HOW'S BAYOU by FLATTER)
FLOWERY PATH 6 3 3 34 8 817¾ 851½ (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 8.34  
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  ROSELEE MAY               (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
 
TP-8   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISPY RICE 5 3 8 5   21 1½ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 7.53  
ROSIA BAY 7 5 7 1nk   11 2½ (bush s)HESS SARA 117 8.00 18% 4.50 17.76 P
MS TEMPTATION 6 4 6 7   5 34 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00 13.14  
RECINTO ROMPERE 1 7 3½ 4   33 4 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60 1.49 DH
PUFFIN 3 8 5 6   7 4 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 34.35 DH
RUTHLESS RUA 2 6 4 8   9 6 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 27% 2.70 2.36  
DIVINA DULCE 4 9 93 9   8 7 (delacour arnau)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 25.29  
11  R KATIEBUG 9 1 2½ 3.2   6 87 (boyce michele)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.42  
10  ECHO FOXTROT 8 2 1½ 2nk   4 9 (murphy cono)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.87  
SCR  NO TAPPIN OUT               (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 124 12.00    
 
TP-9   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MESMERIZING ME 7 5 2 2   22 1 (ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.50 61% 0.60 1.58 W
PICCANTE 4 3 1 1   12 2 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00 8% 10.90 5.04 P
LINDSEY (GB) 5 7 7 7   56 3 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 5.50  
LITTLE MUSIC 3 4 63 65   66 46 (holsapp)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.31  
13  INTERCEPTION 9 1 4 33   34 56 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 113 8.00 6% 15.60 11.84  
SEAU N'TAP 2 8 8 87   8 6 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 4.80  
ROYAL ITCH 1 6 32 43   4 77 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 27.31  
12  QUALITY MOON 8 2 53 5   7 8 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00 14.02  
BEAKER 6 9 9 910   915¾ 928¼ (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00 28.98  
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES               (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
SCR  TAMBARELLA               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
SCR  TIZ JOSEPHINE               (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  YEHAWMEMAW               (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.