The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (3/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.08 $6.08 -1.92
TP-2   Win (9/6/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $10.36 $10.36 0.36
TP-3   Win (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.48 $12.48 4.48
TP-4   Win (4/2/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.48 $12.48 2.48
TP-5   Win (9/2/1/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $30.28 -10.00
TP-6   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.48 $13.48 7.48
TP-7   Win (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.52 $4.52 -3.48
TP-8   Win (1/2/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $17.06 -10.00
TP-9   Win (10/6/13/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $5.16 $5.16 -2.84

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST HILL 2 6 7 64   32 1nk (watkins m)MCKEE J 124 6.00 6.01 DQ↓7
PHAT CHANCE FANCY 6 1 11 1nk   12 2nk (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 116 2.50 31% 2.20 2.04 W
ROCKABILLIE 5 7 6 53   43 3(garcia gena)CORREA L 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.31 P
R QUEEN CANDY 3 4 3 42   22 43 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 41% 1.40 3.74 S
MIDNIGHT GRIND 7 2 21 2nk   55(ewing an)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 5% 18.00 5.72  
LONG BLACK VEIL 4 5 53 76   79 614 (jarvis kathy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00 59.32  
KAYA'S HALO 8 3 4 31   66 715½ (wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 2.81  
MISS SOVELIA 1 8 8 88   811 820 (quezada inocenci)PAULY SUMMER 114 30.00 67.74  
SCR  CLASSIC JULIA               (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  ISA LEI               (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FORGE IN FIRE 9 1 53 32   1nk 1¼ (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 7% 13.70 4.18 W
STONKS 5 8 86 64   2nk 2¼ (maker j)CEDILLO ABEL 125 2.50 21% 3.80 1.54 P
SMOKE WAGON 8 3 7 53   42 34 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 43% 1.30 3.98 S
GOLD FRANC (IRE) 3 5 11 1nk   3½ 48 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 5.20  
11  TEXAS TOAST 10 2 9 10   53 58 (bicknell wh)CORREA L 125 8.00 11.46  
HOOSIER DADDY NOW 6 9 109 9   96(kendall elise)LEON SONNY 118 30.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
PAIGE PERFECT 4 6 21 2nk   7711¼ (wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00 5% 19.00 12.95  
MONBA QUAKE 7 7 4 4   6811½ (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 30.00 35.72  
FREAKY Z 2 10 6 75   8915¼ (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00 28.49  
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN 1 4 3 8   1015¼ 1033½ (raines lindse)JIMENEZ J 125 30.00 ######  
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY               (hughes g)LEON SONNY 125 10.00    
 
TP-3   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIAL 8 3 7 7   61hd (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 23% 3.30 5.24 W
RIETTA 7 2 32 3   42hd (boyce mic)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 10% 8.70 24.19 P
PRINCESA CELINA 2 5 2 21   3½ 3(ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 12% 7.70 2.06 S
THESE APPLES 5 7 53 4   2½ 4(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 4.73  
PINOTSLILGIRL 6 1 6 54   55(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 7.05  
CABERNEIGH 3 4 1 11   1½ 6(smith larry)OUZTS W 122 6.00 9.71  
HAPPY WORLD 4 8 8 8   77(irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00 11.92  
STREAMING NOW 1 6 4 6   8810¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 26% 2.90 3.61  
 
TP-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:152 1:274   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INHERENT POWERS 1 4 42 4 3½ 11 12 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 8.00 14% 6.10 5.24 W
COMMAND CENTRAL 2 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 21 22 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 121 4.00 14% 6.00 4.36 P
MAJOR SPARKS 4 8 10 11 10 64 3(wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.50 28% 2.50 3.04 S
12  NOT SO EASY 11 11 11 10 64 44(adams nancy)CORREA L 121 8.00 13.34  
JOB SECURITY 3 7 8 8 8 55(stinson william )ROMAN A 121 4.50 9% 10.30 3.05  
VIOLIN MAKER 5 5 6 53 4 33 6(hernandez deb)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 8% 12.00 27.06  
10  SMOKEY LEE 10 6 5 64 9 77(estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 12.49  
NOT YET CHARLIE 9 9 7 7 53 98(cline c)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00 9.77  
MONKEY ZONE 6 10 9 9 11 109(curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 30.00 75.07  
MERLIN'S SONG 8 3 31 31 1½ 81012¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 14.46  
MACHO JUSTICE 7 1 1nk 2nk 7 111116½ (rechy chaz)PAULY SUMMER 111 30.00 45.92  
SCR  JINGLE               (matthews randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00    
 
TP-5   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNABLE 3 1 32 3 3.2 12 1(mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 14.14  
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 7 5 8 85 74 42(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.99 P
GUINEVERE 1 7 4 53 5 64 3(ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 18% 4.40 1.80 S
SPELLCHECK 2 2 65 74 4 54 4(carroll jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 20% 3.90 3.79  
MY SEXY BLONDE 4 9 7 63 8 76 5(taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 20.00 31.66  
PINK MOON 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 22 6(navarrete anna)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 56.17  
STAKEOUT 6 3 21 2½ 2nk 33 711¼ (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.42  
11  TOFFEE APPLE 8 8 9 9 9 87 814¼ (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
12  SHARPER GAL 9 6 5 42 6 9915½ (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 60.93  
SCR  ALDORA               (catalano m)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
SCR  JANEY CREED               (hughes g)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
SCR  MOTHER FREEDOM               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
SCR  NELLIE THURSDAY               (devaux cherie)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
SCR  WAGGLE PASS               (medina robert)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
 
TP-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABITIBI 1 5 41 4   12 1(esquivel je)CORREA L 120 3.50 21% 3.90 5.74 W
O'BABE 4 1 2nk 2½   22 2(greenhill jeff)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 5.38  
QUARTERFLASH 6 6 6 66   56 3(fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 5.25  
BEL ARIA 2 4 52 53   44 4(foster er)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 17% 5.00 1.54  
CACTUS FLOWER 3 3 1nk 1½   32 5(matthews randy)ROMAN A 120 3.00 30% 2.40 4.62  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 5 2 3½ 3½   6614½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 4.66  
SCR  CALTHA               (salas felipe)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
 
TP-7   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:142 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOICE FROM ABOVE 1 5 7 8 43 1nk 1(danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 51% 1.00 1.26 W
CLASSY'N CONNECTED 3 4 54 6 54 31 2(drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.62 P
KITTEN'S TEMPER 4 7 8 7 7 73(beck rowena)FELIX E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.51 S
REAL QUEEN 5 6 64 5 32 548 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 14.29  
OONDIRI 7 8 2½ 1 12 2nk 5(upton m)MOJICA JR 120 15.00 10.85  
EVOCATION 2 2 43 44 6 4610 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 9% 9.60 3.04  
PASSING BAYOU 8 1 1½ 2 22 6719½ (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 42.81  
FLOWERY PATH 6 3 3 34 8 817¾ 851½ (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 8.34  
SCR  ROSELEE MAY               (mccarthy michael)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
 
TP-8   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISPY RICE 5 3 8 5   21 1½ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 7.53  
ROSIA BAY 7 5 7 1nk   11 2½ (bush s)HESS SARA 117 8.00 18% 4.50 17.76 P
MS TEMPTATION 6 4 6 7   534 (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00 13.14  
RECINTO ROMPERE 1 7 3½ 4   33 4(delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60 1.49 DH
PUFFIN 3 8 5 6   74(west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 34.35 DH
RUTHLESS RUA 2 6 4 8   96(leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 27% 2.70 2.36  
DIVINA DULCE 4 9 93 9   87(delacour arnaud)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 25.29  
11  R KATIEBUG 9 1 2½ 3.2   687 (boyce michele)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.42  
10  ECHO FOXTROT 8 2 1½ 2nk   49(murphy conor)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.87  
SCR  NO TAPPIN OUT               (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 124 12.00    
 
TP-9   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MESMERIZING ME 7 5 2 2   22 1(ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.50 61% 0.60 1.58 W
PICCANTE 4 3 1 1   12 2(maker j)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00 8% 10.90 5.04 P
LINDSEY (GB) 5 7 7 7   56 3(wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 5.50  
LITTLE MUSIC 3 4 63 65   66 46 (holsapple)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.31  
13  INTERCEPTION 9 1 4 33   34 56 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 113 8.00 6% 15.60 11.84  
SEAU N'TAP 2 8 8 87   86(caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 4.80  
ROYAL ITCH 1 6 32 43   477 (davis d)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 27.31  
12  QUALITY MOON 8 2 53 5   78(foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00 14.02  
BEAKER 6 9 9 910   915¾ 928¼ (aceved)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00 28.98  
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES               (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
SCR  TAMBARELLA               (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
SCR  TIZ JOSEPHINE               (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  YEHAWMEMAW               (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.