Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (3/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/6)-(9/6/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/6)-(9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (9/6/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/5/7)-(9/6/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/5/7)-(9/6/10/5/7)-(9/6/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/10/5/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(4/2/1/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/7)-(4/2/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/7)-(4/2/1/3/5)-(9/2/1/11/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-4   WIN (4/2/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5)-(4/2/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3/5)-(9/2/1/11/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/3/5)-(9/2/1/11/8)-(4/1/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-5   WIN (9/2/1/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/11/8)-(9/2/1/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/11/8)-(9/2/1/11/8)-(9/2/1/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/1/11/8)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/11/8)-(4/1/2)-(1/3/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/2/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(1/2/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(1/2/8/11/10)-(10/6/13/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/2/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/11/10)-(1/2/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/11/10)-(1/2/8/11/10)-(1/2/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/8/11/10)-(10/6/13/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (10/6/13/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/13/3)-(10/6/13/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/13/3)-(10/6/13/2/3)-(10/6/13/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SOVELIA Dec28 Dec09 Oct07 Sep29 Jun14 (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 114 30.00    
2  FIRST HILL Jan13 Dec15 Oct10 Aug24 Aug06 (watkins m)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
3  R QUEEN CANDY Feb03 Jan03       (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  LONG BLACK VEIL Jan31 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Nov17 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC JULIA Sep06 Aug08 Jul11     (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
6  ROCKABILLIE Jan25 Dec22 Dec02 Nov04 Aug03 (garcia ge)CORREA L 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PHAT CHANCE FANCY Feb02 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17   (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 116 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  MIDNIGHT GRIND Jan31 Sep07 Aug01 Jul03 May22 (ewing michael )CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
9  KAYA'S HALO Dec09 Nov09 Oct11 Sep27   (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50    
SCR  ISA LEI Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Nov17 Sep27 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Feb02 Jan10 Dec20     (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 125 30.00    
2  FREAKY Z Feb02 Jan06 Dec09     (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00    
3  GOLD FRANC (IRE) Sep10 Aug13 Jul01 May14 Apr20 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY Feb03 Jan06 Jun23 Jun01 May06 (hughes g)LEON SONNY 125 10.00    
5  PAIGE PERFECT Jan26 Jan10 Dec07 Nov13 Oct23 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  STONKS Feb03 Dec09 Nov22 Sep10 Jul29 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  HOOSIER DADDY NOW         (kendall elise)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  MONBA QUAKE Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Mar25 Feb24 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 30.00    
9  SMOKE WAGON Feb02 Dec24 Dec16 Nov09 Oct12 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
10  FORGE IN FIRE Jun01 Apr20 Mar17     (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 7% 13.70    
11  TEXAS TOAST Dec28 Nov14 Oct25 Jul14 Jun18 (bicknell )CORREA L 125 8.00    
 
TP-3   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREAMING NOW Sep14 Aug06 Jun16     (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  PRINCESA CELINA Aug06 May04       (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
3  CABERNEIGH Jan17 Nov18 Oct19 Sep16   (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 6.00    
4  HAPPY WORLD Jan10 Dec15 Sep30     (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
5  THESE APPLES Jan31 Dec20       (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00    
6  PINOTSLILGIRL Jan26 Dec23 Nov25 Oct08 Sep09 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00    
7  RIETTA Aug16         (boyce m)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 10% 8.70    
8  TRIAL Dec23 Nov18       (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
TP-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INHERENT POWERS Feb07 Jan12 Dec22 Dec06 Nov08 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 8.00 14% 6.10    
2  COMMAND CENTRAL Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
3  JOB SECURITY Jan12 Dec22 Dec13 Nov29 Oct30 (stinson willia)ROMAN A 121 4.50 9% 10.30    
4  MAJOR SPARKS Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 Nov13 Oct25 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  VIOLIN MAKER Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 Sep01 Aug17 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 8% 12.00    
6  MONKEY ZONE Jan31 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 Oct20 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 30.00    
7  MACHO JUSTICE Feb01 Jan03 Nov08 Oct28 Oct11 (rechy chaz)PAULY SUMMER 111 30.00    
8  MERLIN'S SONG Feb10 Jan04 Dec07 Oct18 Oct09 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00    
9  NOT YET CHARLIE Feb07 Jan04 Dec10 Nov01 Oct18 (cline c)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00    
10  SMOKEY LEE Jan31 Jan03 Dec02 Oct24 Sep02 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00    
SCR  JINGLE Feb07 Jan12 Nov08 Sep26 Sep14 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00    
12  NOT SO EASY Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Jul05 Jun25 (adams nan)CORREA L 121 8.00    
 
TP-5   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUINEVERE         (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SPELLCHECK Jan17 Dec09       (carroll )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LITERARY CRITIC by CITY ZIP)
3  WINNABLE         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MY SEXY BLONDE Jan10 Nov25       (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BARBETTE by HIGH YIELD)
5  PINK MOON Jan03         (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRD SWING by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  WAGGLE PASS Jan03 Oct25       (medina robert)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ROSSEZZA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ALDORA Jan03 Dec06 Oct29 Sep16   (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
8  STAKEOUT Dec27         (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER Oct27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug13   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  NELLIE THURSDAY         (devaux cherie)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of DOLL FACE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
11  TOFFEE APPLE Jan17 Dec14       (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
12  SHARPER GAL Dec29 Aug05       (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GAL FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  JANEY CREED Jan24 Dec13 Nov07 Oct04   (hughes g)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MOTHER FREEDOM Jan24 Dec27 Nov22 Oct25   (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MOTHER by LION HEARTED)
 
TP-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABITIBI Jan24 Dec27 Oct19 Sep16 Aug23 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  BEL ARIA Feb07 Jan10 Dec06 Oct10 Sep13 (foster )DE CRUZ 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  CALTHA Feb03 Dec28 Dec06 Oct20 Sep16 (salas felipe)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
4  CACTUS FLOWER Feb03 Dec28 Nov26 Oct17 Aug31 (matthews randy)ROMAN A 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  O'BABE Feb03 Jan11 Dec22 Nov26 Sep13 (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
6  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jan24 Dec13 Nov19 Nov06 May30 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
7  QUARTERFLASH Jan11 Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug16 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
 
TP-7   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOICE FROM ABOVE Jan18 Dec09 Nov16     (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of HOW FAR TO HEAVEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  EVOCATION Jan27 Dec30 Dec09 Nov19   (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
3  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Jan18 Dec13 Oct26 Sep16 Jul16 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
4  KITTEN'S TEMPER Jan10 Sep11       (beck rowena)FELIX E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNO TEMPER by DYNAFORMER)
5  REAL QUEEN Jan19 Dec31       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  FLOWERY PATH Dec30         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
7  OONDIRI Dec13         (upton m)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of QUEEN ANNE'S LACE by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  ROSELEE MAY Jan18 Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 Sep09 (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
9  PASSING BAYOU Jan18         (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
  (by CHITU out of HOW'S BAYOU by FLATTER)
 
TP-8   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECINTO ROMPERE Jan10 Dec13 Nov02 Sep22 Nov05 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  RUTHLESS RUA Jan24 Nov19 Oct26 Sep10 Aug13 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  PUFFIN Jan31 Aug26 Jul07 Apr27 Mar02 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
4  DIVINA DULCE Jan04 Mar05 Jan14 Dec19   (delacour arnau)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
5  KRISPY RICE Jan04 Nov29 Sep18 Aug16 Jul05 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00    
6  MS TEMPTATION Feb07 Jan24 Dec14 Jun29 Jun10 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Jan24 Dec27 Dec06 Oct11 Sep07 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 124 12.00    
8  ROSIA BAY Mar02 Jan28 Dec15 Sep18 Jun17 (bush s)HESS SARA 117 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  NO TAPPIN OUT Nov29 Oct18 Sep28 Jan21   (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
10  ECHO FOXTROT Jan24 Dec14 Sep17 Aug11 Jun23 (murphy cono)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  R KATIEBUG Aug24 Jul30 Jul12 Jun07   (boyce michele)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-9   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL ITCH Jan24 Aug08       (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
2  SEAU N'TAP Feb07 Jan24 Dec28 Dec02 Nov16 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 ★    
3  LITTLE MUSIC Feb07 Jan24 Jan10 Aug12 Jul21 (holsapp)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES Jan24 Jan10 Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
SCR  YEHAWMEMAW Jan10 Jul20 Jul06     (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
6  PICCANTE Feb08 Dec27 Nov17     (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
7  LINDSEY (GB) Jan24 Jan10 Nov17 Oct21 Sep10 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00    
8  BEAKER Dec23         (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00    
SCR  TAMBARELLA Jan17 Jan03 Dec16     (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
10  MESMERIZING ME         (ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  TIZ JOSEPHINE Jan17         (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
12  QUALITY MOON Feb07 Jan10 Dec23     (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00    
13  INTERCEPTION Feb03 Jan10 Nov02 Sep21   (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 6% 15.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.