Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - January 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   01/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOYNE VALLEY 4 1 11 1   13 1 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 0.94  
JUST LIKE YOU 2 9 9 78   3 2 (gorosti)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 12% 7.70 10.10 P
NEXT DOT 1 4 31 3   23 3 (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 110 10.00 35.78  
TAMBARELLA 3 5 5 43   56 410¾ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 6.78  
OUTRAGEOUSLY 6 3 21 2   4 511¼ (thomas jona)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 15% 5.90 3.47  
LIPSTICK N LASHES 8 8 6 6   6 613½ (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00 12% 7.70 34.74  
AKARI 5 2 7 810½   8 716 (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 8.00 15% 5.90 14.80  
TIZ JOSEPHINE 7 6 8 910¾   911¼ 816¼ (waltermire bru)PAULY SUMMER 110 20.00 26.46  
10  LANDY 9 7 42 5   7 918¼ (ewing michael )CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 8.78  
SCR  DON'T TOUCH               (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00    
 
TP-2   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUPENDOUS 7 4 2nk 1½ 1 1 13 (riley donna)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00 11.88  
TOP HAT TIGRESS 5 11 6 42 33 32 23 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 20.00 40.20  
CAPTIVE STAR 8 6 43 53 2 2 3 (cline r)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.33 S
ENGLISH CHARM 3 2 9 96 66 4 4 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00 9.60  
PINK ROBE 1 1 7 7 4 56 56 (short ricky)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00 38.04  
11  CASINO ANNIE 11 8 8 107 7 67 69 (parker r)MCKEE J 122 4.00 11% 7.80 12.54  
12  ALTER THE STARS 12 10 11 117 9 7 713¼ (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00 15.56  
TEXAS PRINCESS 6 9 10 64 8 810 814 (cristel j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 23.75  
BACK UP GHOST 2 12 12 12 10 911 917¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 46% 1.20 2.67  
DELOVELY 4 3 5 8 1111¼ 1013½ 1024¾ (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 7.15  
10  HONEYTOWN 10 7 1nk 2½ 56 1115 1127 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.50 18% 4.50 2.61  
LEA ANN'S PRINCESS 9 5 3 3 1214¾ 1223 1247¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 10.20  
SCR  EMERSON'S DREAM               (greenhill jeff)LEON SONNY 122 10.00    
 
TP-3   01/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUT GLASS 3 4 11 1½   12 13 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00 2.45  
JARETH 6 1 42 2½   22 23 (brooks )DE CRUZ 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.47 P
BOISE 5 2 3 42   5 3 (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 4.78  
HAIG POINT 2 6 66 6   66 4 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 13% 6.80 5.10  
MILITARY DRILL 1 5 55 54   4 5 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00 8.36  
INDEFATIGABLE 4 3 21 32   34 6 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 11% 7.80 4.22  
SCR  DRAGON DREW               (cook brian)RAMOS D 121 8.00    
SCR  GIACOMETTI               (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.50    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT               (martinez a)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
 
TP-4   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:134 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRESIDE KITTEN 2 3 6 6 5 3½ 1¼ (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 29% 2.50 0.83 W
10  MIZZEN ASH 8 8 8 5 2nk 1nk 2¼ (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 10.00 12% 7.70 6.87 P
CASCADE PARK 6 4 3½ 31 1nk 2nk 3 (estvanko)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 12.97  
KICK OUT THE JAMS 3 9 96 9 8 6 4 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 12.00 14% 6.10 17.43  
GAMBLIN TRAIN 1 1 2½ 1nk 3½ 43 511¼ (sandy stephen)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 20.49  
ABIGAIL LEE 7 6 52 7 7 7 612 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 20.00 58.15  
11  HOPE OVER FEAR 9 5 1½ 2nk 42 5 715¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 20% 4.10 7.67  
LUNAR ICE 5 7 7 8 9 8 815½ (garcia israe)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 18.58  
BUOY 4 2 41 4 6 9 921¼ (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.41  
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER               (peach chadwick )BAYS BROOKE 110 3.50    
SCR  KING'S LEGACY               (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
 
TP-5   01/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABERNEIGH 3 2 1 1   14 1 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 8.82  
  (by MUNNINGS out of BOUDICEA'S REVENGE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
10  MOON FLEET 8 5 8 6   24 2 (o'neill d)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.48 P
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
11  HAND IT OVER 9 8 10 9   7 3 (miller darri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 46.25  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of POCKET GIFT by GREAT NOTION)
SPELLCHECK 5 9 5 53   6 44 (carroll josie)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.78  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LITERARY CRITIC by CITY ZIP)
13  SILK 10 1 2 2   4 5 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.00 29% 2.40 1.19  
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FINAL DRAFT 4 7 6 75   5 6 (casse ma)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 7.51  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
COUNTY FAIR 7 4 4 4   34 76 (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 21.81  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LADY HIPSTER 2 6 7 8   88 8 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 13.45  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MS KNAUSS by MALIBU MOON)
BERNAR MOSA 1 10 9 108   10 99 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 51.71  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
TOFFEE APPLE 6 3 33 3   98 1011 (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 5.00 26% 2.80 7.02  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
SCR  BENET               (hiles a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  GIN GIN'S APPROVAL               (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHOCOLATE POP by CUVEE)
SCR  TAMMY'S CRUISER               (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of STOP THE LIGHTS by STORM CAT)
SCR  THESE APPLES               (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DIVINE TRICK by DIVINE PARK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.